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Old 11-30-2015, 02:57 PM
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Default AIP->TA->Ratification Timeline

From the myriad of rumors it seems like this "deal" allegedly begins on Jan 1, 2016. I don't see how everything can be completed within 31 days (as of Nov 30) to make that deadline.

To be completely transparent, based on rumored info, I would vote NO on this agreement. My point about the timeline is that it would be more reasonable for the process to take 2-3 months thus making March a realistic "start date". In other words, if you're expecting a pay bump in January, I don't think it will happen. Furthermore, don't forget our current TA negotiations are set to open in May which is only two months away from (the theoretical) implementation of this extension.

Does anyone have any more concrete info or logical explanation on when the company expects or wants this extension implemented?
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Old 11-30-2015, 03:28 PM
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Originally Posted by Mitch Rapp05
From the myriad of rumors it seems like this "deal" allegedly begins on Jan 1, 2016. I don't see how everything can be completed within 31 days (as of Nov 30) to make that deadline.

To be completely transparent, based on rumored info, I would vote NO on this agreement. My point about the timeline is that it would be more reasonable for the process to take 2-3 months thus making March a realistic "start date". In other words, if you're expecting a pay bump in January, I don't think it will happen. Furthermore, don't forget our current TA negotiations are set to open in May which is only two months away from (the theoretical) implementation of this extension.

Does anyone have any more concrete info or logical explanation on when the company expects or wants this extension implemented?
Who cares that talks for full Sec 6 will commence in May!!! If it takes them the standard 4-6 years to get an agreement, that's 4-6 years of lost increase wages that we never ever get retro pay for. How idiotic. And you have a lot of faith in our economy thinking it will be in a bull run still which would set the all time record for bull runs. And of course the interest rate hikes will have no affect on the economy, housing market, stock market, etc. Very optimistic are you?! Why not have the pay raise and still go into full Sec 6 talks. If they drag it out, which they always do then we lose nothing. Plus we have the Me Too DAL clause so we won't be left behind. Too many dreamers out there.
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Old 11-30-2015, 03:37 PM
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Originally Posted by fanaticalflyer
Why not have the pay raise and still go into full Sec 6 talks. If they drag it out, which they always do then we lose nothing. Plus we have the Me Too DAL clause so we won't be left behind.
FF,
These are definitely valid points. I think the me-too clause, depending on how it's written, could make this vote a lot more difficult than it looks.

My NO vote is based on:
1. The company wants something
2. Extending the current UPA just pushes us even further into the unknown as far as a new contract (think 4-6 more years).
3. 13% equals a $500-800/month net for most FO's. I'm willing to wager that amount on getting a more complete Contract from Sec 6 openers in May especially since the company wants long haul flying relief among other things.

Regardless, I think you make some great points and if the actual language shows more than the actual rumors I think a YES vote would be more than reasonable.
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Old 11-30-2015, 03:43 PM
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Originally Posted by Mitch Rapp05
FF,
These are definitely valid points. I think the me-too clause, depending on how it's written, could make this vote a lot more difficult than it looks.

My NO vote is based on:
1. The company wants something
2. Extending the current UPA just pushes us even further into the unknown as far as a new contract (think 4-6 more years).
3. 13% equals a $500-800/month net for most FO's. I'm willing to wager that amount on getting a more complete Contract from Sec 6 openers in May especially since the company wants long haul flying relief among other things.
Then this is what we do. We wait another year or 2 and really negotiate like crazy to get a couple more % pay and some work rule improvements. Then when its all said and done we say to ourselves, "If the company is really giving us all these good things, they must really want something from us badly. Let's vote no and negotiate something better."

Then repeat, using the same negotiators on our side.

Makes total sense.
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Old 11-30-2015, 04:05 PM
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Originally Posted by Mitch Rapp05
FF,
These are definitely valid points. I think the me-too clause, depending on how it's written, could make this vote a lot more difficult than it looks.

My NO vote is based on:
1. The company wants something
2. Extending the current UPA just pushes us even further into the unknown as far as a new contract (think 4-6 more years).
3. 13% equals a $500-800/month net for most FO's. I'm willing to wager that amount on getting a more complete Contract from Sec 6 openers in May especially since the company wants long haul flying relief among other things.

Regardless, I think you make some great points and if the actual language shows more than the actual rumors I think a YES vote would be more than reasonable.
#3... $5-800 sounds pretty low for the avg FO. And there's also 16% more into the 401k from that extra 13%.

Too new here to have a "valid enough" opinion on the whole deal, but just saying that the company "wants" something so we should automatically demand more seems like a useless circular argument. Back it up with facts and I'm all ears. The Delta me-too sounds like a nice insurance policy in the mean time. Time value of money and all that.... It seems tough to imagine a few years of negotiations is going to have good odds of working out better.

...back to my seat in the peanut gallery...
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Old 11-30-2015, 04:40 PM
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Mitch....really? Since January is paid in Feb, the vote could happen in January and we could still get paid on time. Chuck, Svergin, and Fanatical NAILED it. We have an experienced Negotiating Committee. They didn't get duped. Sounds like you've been listening to all the Monday morning cockpit jockeys out there...."never take the first offer, if they want it that bad, they'll pay more"...yada, yada, yada. If the rumors are true, this is a slam dunk. Watch and see.

Sled
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Old 11-30-2015, 04:41 PM
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Maybe the Hogan test is working better than we all thought - for the company.

If anybody knows how hey are going to vote before any official information is a serious fail IMO.

Hope the MEC really considers the ramifications of sending this out to a vote. If it does then I will evaluate the official TA in final language.
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Old 11-30-2015, 04:46 PM
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Leverage and non wage contractual improvements have value. Squander away the leverage and I'll guarantee you won't see non wage contractual improvements for years.

It all comes down to are we leaving money on the table? I was told by a wise person that you normally come out behind when you have to have something.
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Old 11-30-2015, 04:55 PM
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Originally Posted by SpecialTracking
Leverage and non wage contractual improvements have value. Squander away the leverage and I'll guarantee you won't see non wage contractual improvements for years.

It all comes down to are we leaving money on the table? I was told by a wise person that you normally come out behind when you have to have something.
With pay raises now, and DAL "me too", we are under far less pressure to get a contract done, and the lower minions are less likely to vote in a substandard contract because they are tired of being underpaid for 4-6 years.

I think this puts us in a far better negotiating position in 2 years, regardless of what the economy does. When we are being paid 20% less than the industry, for YEARS, the company has all the leverage. This swings that pendulum back to us.
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Old 11-30-2015, 05:01 PM
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Originally Posted by Probe
With pay raises now, and DAL "me too", we are under far less pressure to get a contract done, and the lower minions are less likely to vote in a substandard contract because they are tired of being underpaid for 4-6 years.

I think this puts us in a far better negotiating position in 2 years, regardless of what the economy does. When we are being paid 20% less than the industry, for YEARS, the company has all the leverage. This swings that pendulum back to us.
The difference between you and I is when you say underpaid, you're fixated on section 3. When I talk of underpaid I'm referencing the whole contract.
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