Age 67 fallout
#71
Also... ALPA *should* be planning for and lobbying for appropriate language to control the fallout if it does pass. That's what they did last time, at the last minute.
I'm not sure that ALPA will just stay outside on the sidewalk protesting and let it all go down without their input.. there might already be some coordination occurring along those lines. National should have the expertise to strike that balance; there's a reason they're inside the beltway and not in OKC.
Senate leadership isn't going to let ALPA wag the dog, but they might invite them to the table. That would be prudent, like last time.
I'm not sure that ALPA will just stay outside on the sidewalk protesting and let it all go down without their input.. there might already be some coordination occurring along those lines. National should have the expertise to strike that balance; there's a reason they're inside the beltway and not in OKC.
Senate leadership isn't going to let ALPA wag the dog, but they might invite them to the table. That would be prudent, like last time.
How much exactly does ALPA spend lobbying Washington? I don't know the number but here is what other prominent groups have spent.
2020
NRA $2.2 Mil
Planned Parenthood $ 45 Mil
2021
Big Tech $70Mil
2021 Q1 Big Pharma $92Mil
I'm curious what IATA, the Regional Airline Association, Boeing, and Airbus have spent. Are we even on the radar as far as Congress is concerned?
#72
Line Holder
Joined APC: Oct 2022
Posts: 36
This may have been brought up before but I missed it. A huge limiting factor on airlines running smoothly is ATC staffing, why aren’t their retirement ages raised? Shoot, they also have a min age to be accepted in the program.
#73
Because civil service politics and .gov pensions. If they "can" retire later, then they'll end up "having" to work longer for full pension and they know it.
They also have a max age to be accepted, because they don't want a "B" scale of controllers who cannot mathematically qualify for the pension before the max age.
Cognitive ability isn't that big of a deal anymore (same as for pilots). Most of those guys are video gamers these days, even over age 50... that goes a long way towards staying sharp in their specific cognitive niche. My buddies say they could all easily go to 60, probably even 65. Worst case, after age 60 they take you off the busy TRACONS and assign you to KZCA or the tower at KCID.
#74
Some one holds a gun to your head and tells you to give him your wallet - you do.
Using your theory, you just voluntarily gave up your wallet - right?
Now you could say no and this guy may shoot you and take your wallet anyway, or he may pistol whip you and take your wallet anyway, but he is going to take your wallet. You just have to decide how much additional and unnecessary pain you want to suffer before you give him your wallet.
That’s how BK works.
Using your theory, you just voluntarily gave up your wallet - right?
Now you could say no and this guy may shoot you and take your wallet anyway, or he may pistol whip you and take your wallet anyway, but he is going to take your wallet. You just have to decide how much additional and unnecessary pain you want to suffer before you give him your wallet.
That’s how BK works.
That's ok though because Congress may or may not change the age regardless if we write to them or Santa Clause as we have virtually zero lobbying clout compared to other parties.
for the record I'm opposed to raising the age but then again I've been conditioned to not getting everything I want.
#75
How much exactly does ALPA spend lobbying Washington? I don't know the number but here is what other prominent groups have spent.
2020
NRA $2.2 Mil
Planned Parenthood $ 45 Mil
2021
Big Tech $70Mil
2021 Q1 Big Pharma $92Mil
I'm curious what IATA, the Regional Airline Association, Boeing, and Airbus have spent. Are we even on the radar as far as Congress is concerned?
2020
NRA $2.2 Mil
Planned Parenthood $ 45 Mil
2021
Big Tech $70Mil
2021 Q1 Big Pharma $92Mil
I'm curious what IATA, the Regional Airline Association, Boeing, and Airbus have spent. Are we even on the radar as far as Congress is concerned?
NRA only spent $2M? That seems awfully low, but I guess it depends on how they account for it. I know a couple ranchers in MT who could easily write a $2M check to the NRA, and might be inclined to do so.
I would assume we are on the radar, and I assume ALPA spends more than $2M??? In addition to $, we do have at least *some* political clout, as a prime example of successful organized labor.
#76
NRA only spent $2M? That seems awfully low, but I guess it depends on how they account for it. I know a couple ranchers in MT who could easily write a $2M check to the NRA, and might be inclined to do so.
I would assume we are on the radar, and I assume ALPA spends more than $2M??? In addition to $, we do have at least *some* political clout, as a prime example of successful organized labor.
I would assume we are on the radar, and I assume ALPA spends more than $2M??? In addition to $, we do have at least *some* political clout, as a prime example of successful organized labor.
#77
I don't think we have much political clout, but barely enough that the Dems can't come out openly and say they don't GAF about old rich white pilots.
Case in point: WH issued a statement supporting ALPA's opposition to 67. But Biden's not going to actually veto the re-authorization that HIS senate sends to his desk, just because of age 67. Despite what some very naive pilots seem to think.
#78
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Nov 2012
Position: A330 FO
Posts: 275
Does anybody really think there is an actual pilot shortage anymore? Is hiring still going crazy with airlines unable to fill classes? Seems like the boom is already over. Which usually means they will change the age, followed by furloughs. Same old boom bust cycle.
#79
A bunch of student starts came out of the woodwork before and after covid, but I suspect that most everybody age 25-45 who's so inclined is already in the system or will be soon.
Once those folks shake out of the tree, they're going to be waiting for kids to grow up to finish school and that can't be surged. They can however use various tools to encourage, incentivize, and recruit
... that will get them some additional bodies. Especually if the pay for primary training.
But I suspect they still might be in for challenges. Not the legacies necessarily, except for their regional feed, but other sectors of aviation who are losing people left and right.
Youth tend not to be attracted to aviation for it's own sake in this era... some of them will come around after a few years of soul-crushing white-collar grind, but you have to wait for them to learn the hard way. Plus many of them *really* like to smoke...
#80
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Nov 2009
Posts: 5,243
Some one holds a gun to your head and tells you to give him your wallet - you do.
Using your theory, you just voluntarily gave up your wallet - right?
Now you could say no and this guy may shoot you and take your wallet anyway, or he may pistol whip you and take your wallet anyway, but he is going to take your wallet. You just have to decide how much additional and unnecessary pain you want to suffer before you give him your wallet.
That’s how BK works.
Using your theory, you just voluntarily gave up your wallet - right?
Now you could say no and this guy may shoot you and take your wallet anyway, or he may pistol whip you and take your wallet anyway, but he is going to take your wallet. You just have to decide how much additional and unnecessary pain you want to suffer before you give him your wallet.
That’s how BK works.
Grumble doesn't want to hear any "Nam" stories about 9/11, Chapter 11, the threat of the 1113 process, parking 120 planes ,loss of pensions, loss of ESOP stock value, Bond Allocation malfeasance, loss of all work rules, parking additional 100 planes to facilitate a merger, Double Furloughs, massive displacements, getting short sticked in an SLI arbitration, etc. etc. as he doesn't GAF. Grumble thinks you voluntarily gave away your pension and he probably thinks you voted to give away the RJ flying. He is a hypocrite as he will stay to the bitter end just like everyone else who says they won't if it changes. It happened when they changed it to 65 and it'll happen again. I do take comfort in that the Yutes today have Captain Vacancies just waiting for them right out of the birth canal practically. Along with all the crap that happened in the lost decade, how long was it before you could hold NB Captain anywhere? I bet it was more than a year. A 2000 UAL hire took what 16 years to make Captain? Again Grumble doesn't GAF.
That's ok though because Congress may or may not change the age regardless if we write to them or Santa Clause as we have virtually zero lobbying clout compared to other parties.
for the record I'm opposed to raising the age but then again I've been conditioned to not getting everything I want.
That's ok though because Congress may or may not change the age regardless if we write to them or Santa Clause as we have virtually zero lobbying clout compared to other parties.
for the record I'm opposed to raising the age but then again I've been conditioned to not getting everything I want.
If a windfall of five extra yeas hasn’t solved your retirement woes, two more won’t.
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