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Old 06-03-2023, 05:01 AM
  #21  
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Originally Posted by hummingbear
Disagree. There was nothing real about the TUMI vote. The contract had been DOA for months & the company was already offering to make big improvements to it once it was rejected. There was no logical reason to vote yes by that time which made the no vote essentially meaningless.

A strike vote is only “symbolic” to the extent you understand the nuances of the authorization process, which I’m not sure everyone here does. In either case, the possibility of a strike- however unlikely- is pretty meaningful & I don't think we’ll get the same consensus in this that we got from TUMI. That’s just my hunch, though, & I hope I’m wrong.
I agree that the Tumi vote was dead in the water, but it was real and failure to shoot it down would resulted in the TA immediately becoming our next contract. A strike vote is a necessary procedural step in the RLA game, but it is nowhere near an immediate threat. It provides a few days of bad press for the company, but all a strike vote means is that we will strike years down the road if we ever get released into self help. The odds of us getting to that point are slim to none. Kirby won’t be able to hold out that long considering that the competition far exceeds what we offer. He’ll have to at least match AA and DL long before the RLA plays out.
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Old 06-03-2023, 05:26 AM
  #22  
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Originally Posted by hummingbear
We didn’t even get 99% no on TUMI & the union & company were basically endorsing a no vote. We like to tout that 94% as proof of our resolve, but the pessimist in me fears this strike vote could be a “careful what you ask for” situation, as it will be- for better or worse- a much more accurate measure of our unity. Will that be a number we’re proud of? I don’t know.

SK is certain to go right to the playbook & tell us all how close we are to a deal, & how unnecessary this vote is. That they only need a few more weeks to make sure they can get us the best possible contract & in the meantime this vote only serves to worry our customers & potentially hurt UAL’s bottom line & future growth plans. How many will fall for it?

To be clear, I support this action by the MEC & I really hope we get a strong, unified outcome. But it’s far from guaranteed.
i had the same fear at AA and our vote exceeded expectations
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Old 06-03-2023, 05:46 AM
  #23  
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Originally Posted by hummingbear
Disagree. There was nothing real about the TUMI vote. The contract had been DOA for months & the company was already offering to make big improvements to it once it was rejected. There was no logical reason to vote yes by that time which made the no vote essentially meaningless.

A strike vote is only “symbolic” to the extent you understand the nuances of the authorization process, which I’m not sure everyone here does. In either case, the possibility of a strike- however unlikely- is pretty meaningful & I don't think we’ll get the same consensus in this that we got from TUMI. That’s just my hunch, though, & I hope I’m wrong.
Looking back at the TUMI vote, I had a real problem trying to square that 6% of our pilots voted yes for that. I think there were some legitimate yes voters (I’ve flown with at least 2 that proudly proclaimed such…unbelievably), but I also think there were some early yes voters that simply were too lazy to go in and change their votes and left them as-is, knowing it wasn’t going to pass. At least that makes it easier to cope…
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Old 06-06-2023, 12:29 PM
  #24  
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So if the strike vote intention was to make the public think we are striking, it might be working.
Had two relatives talking right now and one said he heard that United pilots are going on strike. They’re older and not very up to date on aviation.
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Old 06-06-2023, 09:03 PM
  #25  
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Originally Posted by LJ Driver
Looking back at the TUMI vote, I had a real problem trying to square that 6% of our pilots voted yes for that. I think there were some legitimate yes voters (I’ve flown with at least 2 that proudly proclaimed such…unbelievably), but I also think there were some early yes voters that simply were too lazy to go in and change their votes and left them as-is, knowing it wasn’t going to pass. At least that makes it easier to cope…
I've been wondering about that 6% ever since. This isn't a rhetorical post. If other people have thoughts or explanations, I'd be very curious to hear.
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Old 06-06-2023, 09:46 PM
  #26  
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Originally Posted by Ice Bear
I've been wondering about that 6% ever since. This isn't a rhetorical post. If other people have thoughts or explanations, I'd be very curious to hear.
I’ve found a few. One was a die hard recession chicken little, the other was 64 and just wanted some rainy day cash before he retired.
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Old 06-07-2023, 04:21 AM
  #27  
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Originally Posted by DarkSideMoon
I’ve found a few. One was a die hard recession chicken little, the other was 64 and just wanted some rainy day cash before he retired.
Yup. I met/heard about 2 or 3 who were about to retire and wanted their lump sum before hitting 65.
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Old 06-07-2023, 04:28 AM
  #28  
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Originally Posted by LJ Driver
Looking back at the TUMI vote, I had a real problem trying to square that 6% of our pilots voted yes for that. I think there were some legitimate yes voters (I’ve flown with at least 2 that proudly proclaimed such…unbelievably), but I also think there were some early yes voters that simply were too lazy to go in and change their votes and left them as-is, knowing it wasn’t going to pass. At least that makes it easier to cope…
I have met more than one such individual and can confirm such persons do exist. We can be our own worst enemy in our complacency sometimes, and that includes myself for not getting involved in ALPA politics at my local level when I was young.
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Old 06-07-2023, 09:01 AM
  #29  
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Originally Posted by DarkSideMoon
I’ve found a few. One was a die hard recession chicken little, the other was 64 and just wanted some rainy day cash before he retired.
I’d assume this makes up the bulk of the yes voters. Maybe a sprinkling of guys who were just hard up for fast cash for whatever reason & a few who forgot/didn’t know they could change their vote, as mentioned above.

When the vote finally took place the company was essentially promising to make a better offer, so you’d have to have some pretty overwhelming “bird in the hand” rationale for a yes vote to make any logical sense. Still, 6% under those circumstances was, in my opinion, troublingly high.
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Old 06-07-2023, 09:35 AM
  #30  
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We live in a country where many political elections are won and lost by 51/49 margins, 70/30 would be considered a “landslide,” and we are pontificating at length over 94/6.

Delta’s contract is widely accepted as very good and it was a 74/26 vote IIRC. That makes 94/6 look…dare I say it… unified.
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