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Old 09-27-2022, 06:56 AM
  #81  
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Originally Posted by KnightNight
Seniority is over 15000 now, with 138 deliveries next year and 350 for 2024 (obviously not all growth but even at a 1/4 growth that’s huge numbers. You’re adding 2000 odd pilots if that’s a quarter growth. Now we just need the music to keep playing. Despite economic indications I am optimistic, it’s a rush to get as many pilots as possible before the regionals implode. It’s about 2025 at this point, not end of this year. I think we will have TA2 in short order to accommodate the training needs
The plan, at this point, is nearly all growth airplanes. Of course they have a branches to the plan that involve retiring older airplanes if necessary - but they ALWAYS have that option. The current throughput of TK is huge - and they are still adding FFSs! In the past we would handle growth surges by contracting sim time from other companies (in 1997 I did my initial A320 training in Nottingham). We're not adding permanent training capacity for a temporary growth spurt....that capacity is necessary for the (soon to be) normal CQ/Transition/Upgrade/other training requirements.
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Old 09-27-2022, 08:21 AM
  #82  
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Originally Posted by NotMrNiceGuy
For some reason 20,000 sticks out. Might’ve been AA, but I thought it was UAL for some reason.
Not UA. As AxlF16 said, Steve Forte predicted 15,000 pilots based on nothing pre-9/11 I believe.

The United Next plan is unprecedented at United and is based on strengthening the chronically underdeveloped UA domestic network and hubs. Will it work? Who knows, but it offers us an enormous amount of leverage as long as Kirby is determined to make it a reality. From everything I have seen he is quite determined.
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Old 09-27-2022, 09:35 AM
  #83  
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Originally Posted by jerryleber
Not UA. As AxlF16 said, Steve Forte predicted 15,000 pilots based on nothing pre-9/11 I believe.

The United Next plan is unprecedented at United and is based on strengthening the chronically underdeveloped UA domestic network and hubs. Will it work? Who knows, but it offers us an enormous amount of leverage as long as Kirby is determined to make it a reality. From everything I have seen he is quite determined.
Lots of untapped potential for the domestic network that was torn down by Jeff Smisek……
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Old 09-27-2022, 10:20 AM
  #84  
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Originally Posted by Swakid8
Lots of untapped potential for the domestic network that was torn down by Jeff Smisek……
Explain that.

Simesk was CEO alongside Tilton during the CAL/UAL merger which was heralded as “a no overlap” route structure combination. It’s true that to pass DOJ antitrust scrutiny, some routes were divested.

UAL pilots got shafted on the pre-merger 737 fleet shutdown and were frozen out of the west coast. But overall, I’m interested in hearing more about how the domestic route structure was torn down. CAL pilots got full access to the west coast, UAL pilots got to bid CLE and EWR. I mean a win win, right?
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Old 09-27-2022, 10:46 AM
  #85  
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Originally Posted by awax
Explain that.

Simesk was CEO alongside Tilton during the CAL/UAL merger which was heralded as “a no overlap” route structure combination. It’s true that to pass DOJ antitrust scrutiny, some routes were divested.

UAL pilots got shafted on the pre-merger 737 fleet shutdown and were frozen out of the west coast. But overall, I’m interested in hearing more about how the domestic route structure was torn down. CAL pilots got full access to the west coast, UAL pilots got to bid CLE and EWR. I mean a win win, right?
Because after the UA/CO merger, Jeff pushed for capacity discipline across the network, parking the 752 PWs didn’t help, and relying heavily on 50 seat RJs to round the network out. Jeff believed that domestic market wasn’t important and wanted to focus on the international market. During this time, Delta was increasing mainline capacity domestically, decreasing their RJ count which resulted in leading the industry in RASM on domestic segments.

It’s in my opinion that United, should held onto those 757 PWs a bit longer to shore up the domestic network and taken a more aggressive approach to increased mainline capacity domestically after the merger. The network needed it then, I am glad that Scott sees it now….
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Old 09-27-2022, 11:28 AM
  #86  
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Originally Posted by awax
Explain that.

Simesk was CEO alongside Tilton during the CAL/UAL merger which was heralded as “a no overlap” route structure combination. It’s true that to pass DOJ antitrust scrutiny, some routes were divested.

UAL pilots got shafted on the pre-merger 737 fleet shutdown and were frozen out of the west coast. But overall, I’m interested in hearing more about how the domestic route structure was torn down. CAL pilots got full access to the west coast, UAL pilots got to bid CLE and EWR. I mean a win win, right?
CAL had an LAX base prior to the merger.
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Old 09-27-2022, 12:15 PM
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Originally Posted by Knotcher
CAL had an LAX base prior to the merger.
How many pilots?
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Old 09-27-2022, 12:30 PM
  #88  
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Originally Posted by Swakid8
Because after the UA/CO merger, Jeff pushed for capacity discipline across the network, parking the 752 PWs didn’t help, and relying heavily on 50 seat RJs to round the network out. Jeff believed that domestic market wasn’t important and wanted to focus on the international market. During this time, Delta was increasing mainline capacity domestically, decreasing their RJ count which resulted in leading the industry in RASM on domestic segments.
All good points and illustrates the difference between a management team that truly wants to run an airline and one that's just trying to make a direct path to the golden parachute. I expect management to pay us what we're worth, or more accurately, to have a union that can compel them to do so. Despite all the recent turmoil, I hope we don't lose track of what management is trying to do. It's not perfect but after 8 CEOs it's the most encouraging direction yet.
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Old 09-27-2022, 12:45 PM
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Originally Posted by awax
All good points and illustrates the difference between a management team that truly wants to run an airline and one that's just trying to make a direct path to the golden parachute. I expect management to pay us what we're worth, or more accurately, to have a union that can compel them to do so. Despite all the recent turmoil, I hope we don't lose track of what management is trying to do. It's not perfect but after 8 CEOs it's the most encouraging direction yet.
Absolutely. It was frustrating as a United FF at the time to see DL and AA/US serve my market with mainline equipment and see UA try to compete with RJs or Dash 8s.. I can’t imagine what other United FFs felt like in other similar markets.
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Old 09-27-2022, 12:46 PM
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Originally Posted by Knotcher
CAL had an LAX base prior to the merger.
CAL did have an LAX base, but it was closed about two decades before the merger. CAL brought EWR and IAH, as well as CLE and GUM. UAL brought ORD, IAD, DEN, SFO, and LAX. Of those, I would only consider only EWR, ORD, IAH, DEN, and SFO to be be massive hubs.
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