Vacancy 23-01V
09-21-2022, 07:23 AM
#11
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Joined APC: Dec 2010
Posts: 3,123
No idea, but with 8,000 more new hires coming in the next 3-4 years only the majors (United, Delta, American, Southwest) will have pilots. Most hires at the small carriers and regionals are only replacing pilots leaving for the 4 majors. The LCCs are going to be drained of pilots and that will limit their growth. Plus good luck buying planes for the next 5 years.
By the end of 2025 a pilot hired at United in 2021 will have 10,000 pilots junior to them.
By the end of 2025 a pilot hired at United in 2021 will have 10,000 pilots junior to them.
09-21-2022, 09:07 AM
#12
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Joined APC: Jan 2017
Posts: 594
09-21-2022, 02:10 PM
#13
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Thread Starter
Joined APC: Sep 2020
Posts: 377
8,000 is going to happen with 500 airplanes to be delivered in the next 5 years.
09-21-2022, 05:16 PM
#14
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Joined APC: Oct 2009
Posts: 3,108
No idea, but with 8,000 more new hires coming in the next 3-4 years only the majors (United, Delta, American, Southwest) will have pilots. Most hires at the small carriers and regionals are only replacing pilots leaving for the 4 majors. The LCCs are going to be drained of pilots and that will limit their growth. Plus good luck buying planes for the next 5 years.
By the end of 2025 a pilot hired at United in 2021 will have 10,000 pilots junior to them.
By the end of 2025 a pilot hired at United in 2021 will have 10,000 pilots junior to them.
Southwest is in the same boat as Frontier etc.
09-21-2022, 07:01 PM
#17
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Joined APC: Dec 2010
Posts: 3,123
The economy is also taking a massive dump and we’ll be chin-deep in a recession by March of next year. New plane orders can be cancelled, deferred, old planes can be parked. Once this period of revenge travel passes, expect demand to plummet as people exhaust their Covid savings and suddenly realize how worthless their income has become in the last 16-18 months and they start to struggle with affording the basics.
09-21-2022, 07:05 PM
#18
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Joined APC: Dec 2018
Posts: 1,090
500 airplanes will be delivered, how many will be parked? The current fleet isn’t exactly comprised of spring chickens.
The economy is also taking a massive dump and we’ll be chin-deep in a recession by March of next year. New plane orders can be cancelled, deferred, old planes can be parked. Once this period of revenge travel passes, expect demand to plummet as people exhaust their Covid savings and suddenly realize how worthless their income has become in the last 16-18 months and they start to struggle with affording the basics.
The economy is also taking a massive dump and we’ll be chin-deep in a recession by March of next year. New plane orders can be cancelled, deferred, old planes can be parked. Once this period of revenge travel passes, expect demand to plummet as people exhaust their Covid savings and suddenly realize how worthless their income has become in the last 16-18 months and they start to struggle with affording the basics.
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