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Old 04-21-2022, 03:46 AM
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Default United loses $1.4 billion, BUT . . .

So if we turn profitable in Q2 of 2022 what's the over and under on when we finally get a contract? Enquiring minds want to know

UAL 1Q 22 Earnings




“I’ve never seen in my career, and I’ve been in this industry a long time ... such a hockey stick increase of demand,” CEO Scott Kirby told CNBC Wednesday.

For the second quarter, United is forecasting a 10% operating margin, and the highest quarterly sales in its history, with revenue per passenger mile up 17% over 2019, as higher fares help cover an increase in expenses.
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Old 04-21-2022, 05:48 AM
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AAL in the same boat. $1.4-1.5B loss for 1Q also.
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Old 04-21-2022, 06:14 AM
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Originally Posted by Sunvox
So if we turn profitable in Q2 of 2022 what's the over and under on when we finally get a contract? Enquiring minds want to know

UAL 1Q 22 Earnings
We didn't get one when they were making billions....all we got were side deals even after Insler gave himself another term.
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Old 04-21-2022, 08:06 AM
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Originally Posted by JoePatroni
We didn't get one when they were making billions....all we got were side deals even after Insler gave himself another term.

still same MEC Chair just a different last name
unfortunately
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Old 04-21-2022, 11:17 AM
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Originally Posted by Sniper66
still same MEC Chair just a different last name
unfortunately
What’s to be upset about? Quick upgrades, yearly pay bumps, shiny new jets, and we’re gonna kick American out of ORD.
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Old 04-21-2022, 04:22 PM
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Although I like Scott's optimism, can we just revisit a few of his quotes from the 2nd quarter of 2021 earnings call (which was also quite bullish)?

Before I really begin, I thought I'd take a moment to address the most talked-about issue among airline investors recently, the delta variant. As you'll hear from our bullishness today, we haven't seen any impact at all on bookings, which continue to just get stronger and stronger every week [...]

That all said, we think the most likely outcome is that the continued recovery in demand continues largely unabated. [...]

But if I was going to briefly summarize where things stand right now, I'd say the demand is recovering even faster than we had hoped domestically, both leisure and business demand. [...]

Today with the robust demand trends that we see and our return to profitability, we don't just see the light at the end of the tunnel. We're exiting the tunnel.
And from the CFO as well:

In closing, our expectation for adjusted pre-tax profitability in both the third and fourth quarters represent a milestone that the entire United family has worked toward since the beginning of the pandemic. Gone are the days of talking about empty aircraft, cash burn and job losses.

Last edited by SquawkIdent; 04-21-2022 at 04:40 PM.
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Old 04-21-2022, 04:55 PM
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Originally Posted by SquawkIdent
Although I like Scott's optimism, can we just revisit a few of his quotes from the 2nd quarter of 2021 earnings call (which was also quite bullish)?



And from the CFO as well:
Agreed. Scott is selling positivity to keep the wheels on the wagon... weirdly enough it seems to be working both within the pilot group and the shareholder group. The all electric regional jets, the hydrogen powered regional jet, 100% sustainable super-sonic air travel, "definitely profitable.... but next quarter, not this one..." Just ignore those oil prices and interest rates, please.
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Old 04-21-2022, 05:29 PM
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Originally Posted by threeighteen
Agreed. Scott is selling positivity to keep the wheels on the wagon... weirdly enough it seems to be working both within the pilot group and the shareholder group. The all electric regional jets, the hydrogen powered regional jet, 100% sustainable super-sonic air travel, "definitely profitable.... but next quarter, not this one..." Just ignore those oil prices and interest rates, please.
With 52 777-AB models parked... ugly math in public is 15 fo and 5 ca per airplane conservatively = 275m a year in pilot salary + 50m benefits + maintenance/fa staffing + a few million per airplane in engine shrouds plus oil coolers. If we get those airplanes flying we would have drastically improved our numbers. The number might seem far from delta initially but with deltas lack of unionized labor and their international outsourcing we will outperform them easily if we get a full fleet. We are fighting a battle with one hand behind our back right now.
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Old 04-21-2022, 06:42 PM
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How long will it take to kick AA out of ord?
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Old 04-21-2022, 07:01 PM
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Originally Posted by Gooselives
How long will it take to kick AA out of ord?
We'll get 'em next time...just ask Insler.
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