Furlough estimate
04-28-2020, 03:55 PM
#73
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jun 2007
Position: 767/757 CA
Posts: 2,737
If the company were to do that (furlough 8000 right away all at once) pretty much all the FOs are gone, and you’re just left with CAs. You’ve got narrow body fleets that have virtually no one qualified to fly them from the right seat. They’d need to start training the bulk of the widebody pilots en-masse now to have everyone in their new seats by October (for those avoiding the furlough). And you haven’t even had the displacement bid yet.
And much of American is still closed down. People aren’t traveling because there’s no where to travel to. Weddings, sporting events, Vegas, Disney, business meetings, conferences, conventions, etc, etc all on hold. Of course airports are still deserted. The outlook for summer 2021 will drive a lot of what the industry will look like going into the 4th quarter.
And much of American is still closed down. People aren’t traveling because there’s no where to travel to. Weddings, sporting events, Vegas, Disney, business meetings, conferences, conventions, etc, etc all on hold. Of course airports are still deserted. The outlook for summer 2021 will drive a lot of what the industry will look like going into the 4th quarter.
04-28-2020, 04:10 PM
#75
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jan 2018
Posts: 104
04-28-2020, 04:19 PM
#79
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Aug 2013
Posts: 2,159
world wide trade and commerce has hit a few speed bumps over the centuries.
current estimate is close identical to 2008 contraction. next closest model is 90 years ago in depression.
It will suck, but the up-swing on the otherside should be a nice wave to ride. Now that the world knows how to deal with C19 and the health care system was protected against a sudden surge due to lockdowns and social distancing the world will try to get back to normal.
The lockdowns and travel bans were all about protecting our health care capacity and our supply chain of PPE, and respirators.
current estimate is close identical to 2008 contraction. next closest model is 90 years ago in depression.
It will suck, but the up-swing on the otherside should be a nice wave to ride. Now that the world knows how to deal with C19 and the health care system was protected against a sudden surge due to lockdowns and social distancing the world will try to get back to normal.
The lockdowns and travel bans were all about protecting our health care capacity and our supply chain of PPE, and respirators.
04-28-2020, 04:38 PM
#80
Banned
Joined APC: Oct 2019
Posts: 923
I wish the absolute best for my airline colleagues, I have multiple friends who have been hired in the last 18 months, I can’t even imagine what they must be feeling, wife, kids, house, food, etc. I will say this, even if I had no desire, I would be hedging my bets right now with UPS and Fedex. If you don’t end up getting furloughed, no harm no foul, just some time inputting app. I would be hedging my bets just in case.
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