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Old 05-14-2020, 03:26 PM
  #521  
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Originally Posted by ugleeual
I think you are probably right... IMO the Initial number of furloughs will be based off the Jan 23, 2016 date in the contract and occur sometime between the 120-90 day point.

One question, does anyone know the CCS seniority number for the pilot hired after this date? I was surprised that they don’t show this date on the master seniority list like they did in the past...
I don’t have that number as it relates to the magic DOH. The SSC does though.

My WAG is based on the last vacancy bid prior to this displacement and the scope of this displacement. It may not be far off from that DOH.

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Old 05-14-2020, 03:46 PM
  #522  
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There are lots of 175’s just sitting around right now. Much of the cost in removing seats is taking the plane out of service to do the work. Many are already out of service. If they want to dramatically reduce our payroll, they can start pulling seats now. I don’t put put too much faith in the January 2016 date. They are going to go as deep as they want regardless. If most of the analyst are right, we could furlough 30%, and still be flexible to respond with recovery if we find ourselves down around 50-60% this fall.
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Old 05-14-2020, 04:01 PM
  #523  
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Originally Posted by Itsajob
There are lots of 175’s just sitting around right now. Much of the cost in removing seats is taking the plane out of service to do the work. Many are already out of service. If they want to dramatically reduce our payroll, they can start pulling seats now. I don’t put put too much faith in the January 2016 date. They are going to go as deep as they want regardless. If most of the analyst are right, we could furlough 30%, and still be flexible to respond with recovery if we find ourselves down around 50-60% this fall.
You could be spot on. I gave a wag looking at the numbers they could do 1 OCT. Didn’t say how deep it might go after that.

As for 175s, I hope Whiteferg burns in hell. He unilaterally let that camel into the tent.

Hang in there everyone.

Lee
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Old 05-14-2020, 04:31 PM
  #524  
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Originally Posted by LeeFXDWG
I don’t have that number as it relates to the magic DOH. The SSC does though.

My WAG is based on the last vacancy bid prior to this displacement and the scope of this displacement. It may not be far off from that DOH.

Lee
2325 pilots hired since Jan 23, 2016.
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Old 05-14-2020, 05:15 PM
  #525  
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Originally Posted by ugleeual
2325 pilots hired since Jan 23, 2016.
Man does it suck to read that, it's easy to forget that all these numbers are actually guys/girls with families and bills. Hopefully things start to turn around sooner than later.
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Old 05-14-2020, 05:48 PM
  #526  
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Originally Posted by ugleeual
2325 pilots hired since Jan 23, 2016.
lets hope it doesn’t get to it but I doubt it matters to them. A bump in the road to deeper savings / cuts if necessary.
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Old 05-14-2020, 06:02 PM
  #527  
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Originally Posted by ugleeual
2325 pilots hired since Jan 23, 2016.
That sadly validates my other numbers.

Sucks but I think that will be the announcement.

Lee
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Old 05-14-2020, 07:11 PM
  #528  
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2325 is still a big number, but why would they necessarily stop there? Why make several smaller cuts after that when making one big cut would instantly save money, and they only train who they need? If we’re not predicted to be anywhere near their 70% number, what would prevent them from furloughing 3,000 plus? If we end up in better shape, they simply cancel some furloughs. Taking seats out of planes that are mostly just sitting anyway shouldn’t be that big of a deal. I obviously don’t want any of this to happen, but since we push the contract to the limits for our advantage, we can only expect them to do the same for theirs.
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Old 05-14-2020, 09:19 PM
  #529  
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Training center instructor seniority and throughput could have a serious effect on furlough timing.
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Old 05-14-2020, 09:29 PM
  #530  
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Originally Posted by Itsajob
2325 is still a big number, but why would they necessarily stop there? Why make several smaller cuts after that when making one big cut would instantly save money, and they only train who they need? If we’re not predicted to be anywhere near their 70% number, what would prevent them from furloughing 3,000 plus? If we end up in better shape, they simply cancel some furloughs. Taking seats out of planes that are mostly just sitting anyway shouldn’t be that big of a deal. I obviously don’t want any of this to happen, but since we push the contract to the limits for our advantage, we can only expect them to do the same for theirs.
Delta is floating a 6000 to 7000 furlough number. I think we will see 3000 to start but it could easily go up to 5 or 6 thousand before this BS “Flu” doomsday nonsense is over.
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