Furlough estimate
04-28-2020, 07:33 PM
#92
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Joined APC: Aug 2013
Posts: 2,159
04-28-2020, 07:36 PM
#93
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Sep 2017
Posts: 149
I gotta agree. Plus bailout 2. The public optics of us not coming back just prior to the election could be a serious black swan. Kick it another 4-6 months and things shift yet again. Just a wag. Best to all.
04-28-2020, 07:37 PM
#94
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Sep 2017
Posts: 149
I like your optimism!! We truly have no clue what is going to happen. No one has a crystal ball when (not if but when) people start flying again. Just my opinion, I think this will come back faster as well, however, I don’t think with the same numbers. If I were a betting man, my prediction is 50% pre Corona traffic by end of year. 75% by end of 2021. No idea when/if return to pre Corona traffic. Hey, 50% is better than nothing 
I wish the absolute best for my airline colleagues, I have multiple friends who have been hired in the last 18 months, I can’t even imagine what they must be feeling, wife, kids, house, food, etc. I will say this, even if I had no desire, I would be hedging my bets right now with UPS and Fedex. If you don’t end up getting furloughed, no harm no foul, just some time inputting app. I would be hedging my bets just in case.
I wish the absolute best for my airline colleagues, I have multiple friends who have been hired in the last 18 months, I can’t even imagine what they must be feeling, wife, kids, house, food, etc. I will say this, even if I had no desire, I would be hedging my bets right now with UPS and Fedex. If you don’t end up getting furloughed, no harm no foul, just some time inputting app. I would be hedging my bets just in case.
Yes^^^^^^^^^
04-28-2020, 07:39 PM
#95
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Joined APC: Aug 2007
Posts: 2,013
Sorry, I’m not at United...but most AQP programs are predicated on the length of time you’ve been out in terms of what type of training program you’ll need to complete to qualify again. Maybe search to see if there’s an AQP manual to reference that.
04-29-2020, 03:01 AM
#99
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Joined APC: Mar 2014
Posts: 802
These big furlough estimates don’t make sense to me. The big 3 all have substantial cost that require a decent amount of revenue to cover. If United cut itself in half, I seriously doubt it could pay its fixed bills. I’m sure there’s a number out there for every carrier where the business model doesn’t make sense below a certain size and then it’s time to go to court.
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