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Old 03-16-2020, 05:11 PM
  #21  
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Originally Posted by OOfff
I’m going to go ahead and listen to people who “know their science” as public health policy workers instead of some self-appointed pilot expert on what should be done.

but don’t let me get in the way of your being an expert on every ****ing topic ever discussed here
Weren't you the one to quickly tell people to "stay classy" not so long ago?

Take some of your own advice man. No need for language like that when everyone is already on edge.
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Old 03-16-2020, 05:18 PM
  #22  
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Originally Posted by El Peso
That’s one way of looking at it. This LOA is pretty generous. One might say too generous, particularly letting a guy retire at 62 and collect 50 hrs/month for three years. plus 401k and PS.

Maybe AA sees this blowing over quickly and these leaves and early outs being a very limited offering.

If you are way overstaffed in the WB CAP seat you have three
ways of fixing it.
1. Bumping/Training/Bumping/TrainingBumping/Training--repeat--repeat--repeat until you furlough the junior guy off the bottom of the list. This takes months/years in which you prob actually increase total costs, before you actually start decreasing total costs on a monthly basis. So, you will have no near term cash savings.
2. Allow retirements to take care of the overstaffing. Will work, but based on how overstaffed you are versus how many retirements you have coming up it may not achieve very much cash savings very quickly.
3. accelerate #2 by giving some portion of the cash savings you achieve to the pilot that retires early. So, in their case if you get 100 guys to leave now that weren't due to retire until Sept or beyond and pay them 50 per month instead of 75, you get 2500 hours of pay saved per month during the critical months you are trying to save cash. This plan allows them to save all that money without writing a check right now.

Option 3 is the only one that really achieves any savings that you need immediately. Given the massive drawdown of the WB flying, I am sure they would be happy to have 100 guys leave. While that is only about $1M per month, I think that at this point every $M counts.

Unfortunately, on the bottom of the seniority list, they could furlough any narrowbody FOs that are not needed for the next few months and start saving immediately there as well. Any bump/train process even from 767 back to 737/320 would be too time consuming to have any short term cash savings benefit. So, if there is a furlough, I would expect it to be small in number and short in duration.
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Old 03-16-2020, 06:08 PM
  #23  
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This is a good post, you broke it down well. I know everybody laughs as us (AA), but I really think we got a nice deal out of this. We have about 3000 wide body pilots right now, and no use for them for months, they got creative and I think will have plenty of takers.


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Old 03-16-2020, 06:24 PM
  #24  
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Originally Posted by Back2future
Italy is about to stop treating anyone over 80 because their hospitals are being overwhelmed and they need to save the beds for people who are more likely to survive All these precautions are about not overwhelming the medical system; they're about protecting the community but, that might require people to have some perspective and not be selfish DBs. In other words we're screwed...
looks like we’re finally going to get those death panels the Rs have been talking about
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Old 03-18-2020, 09:04 AM
  #25  
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Originally Posted by OOfff
which public health experts?
When I hear some unknown “expert” giving me the answers I feel like a contestant on this game show.
[img]blob:https://www.airlinepilotforums.com/257e3440-2fc2-4aa0-b3eb-4b8d08051414[/img]
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Old 03-18-2020, 11:35 AM
  #26  
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Originally Posted by contrails12
looks like we’re finally going to get those death panels the Rs have been talking about
As dark as it is, this made me chuckle.
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Old 03-18-2020, 11:56 AM
  #27  
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Originally Posted by El Peso
That’s one way of looking at it. This LOA is pretty generous. One might say too generous, particularly letting a guy retire at 62 and collect 50 hrs/month for three years. plus 401k and PS.

Maybe AA sees this blowing over quickly and these leaves and early outs being a very limited offering.
Or they know those deals will be **** canned in a bankruptcy
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Old 03-18-2020, 03:49 PM
  #28  
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Originally Posted by 5and20
Or they know those deals will be **** canned in a bankruptcy
Anyone have any idea how fat we are on the WBs?
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Old 03-19-2020, 03:01 AM
  #29  
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Originally Posted by Regularguy
In a Colorado mountain county they just ordered no one over 60 will be allowed in a bar. Wonder why? Maybe people my age will talk some sense in to the younger who are panicking. Wouldn’t want common sense to prevail.
Too funny. Now you will have teenagers and old guys with fake ID's to get into bars.
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Old 03-19-2020, 04:33 AM
  #30  
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Originally Posted by 5and20
Or they know those deals will be **** canned in a bankruptcy
It would be a shame to see those guys go out then have the deal scrapped a few months later. Makes you wonder if they’re planning something.
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