China flights
01-30-2020, 06:16 PM
#32
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Joined APC: Mar 2011
Posts: 332
Please enlighten us as to what the mortality rate is for this illness, because that information I have not seen. It is certainly more deadly than the flu (1:1,000 die). It sure seems to be spreading at an alarming rate (over 9,000 confirmed cases as of today and that’s if you believe Chinas numbers). If you look at the daily numbers, it has been doubling almost every two days. No reason to panic, but certainly no reason to ignore it or not take it seriously.
01-30-2020, 06:19 PM
#33
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Joined APC: Sep 2006
Posts: 621
Please enlighten us as to what the mortality rate is for this illness, because that information I have not seen. It is certainly more deadly than the flu (1:1,000 die). It sure seems to be spreading at an alarming rate (over 9,000 confirmed cases as of today and that’s if you believe Chinas numbers). If you look at the daily numbers, it has been doubling almost every two days. No reason to panic, but certainly no reason to ignore it or not take it seriously.
01-30-2020, 06:26 PM
#34
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Joined APC: May 2019
Posts: 432
Please enlighten us as to what the mortality rate is for this illness, because that information I have not seen. It is certainly more deadly than the flu (1:1,000 die). It sure seems to be spreading at an alarming rate (over 9,000 confirmed cases as of today and that’s if you believe Chinas numbers). If you look at the daily numbers, it has been doubling almost every two days. No reason to panic, but certainly no reason to ignore it or not take it seriously.
And seasonal flu...
”So far, 8,200 people have died and 140,000 people have been hospitalized during the 2019-2020 flu season, according to preliminary estimates from the CDC.” Abcnews
com
Yes the new Chinese virus sounds nasty and highly contagious, but this BS about touching door knobs could kill you is absurd. I’m more worried about seasonal flu than this Wuhan stuff at the moment. That’s just me and I’ve been known to be very wrong on many occasions though.
Last edited by JimLaheyTPS; 01-30-2020 at 06:41 PM.
01-30-2020, 06:42 PM
#35
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Joined APC: Mar 2011
Posts: 332
Well going off the current numbers, assuming every active case has been cured and there are no more deaths you are looking at 213 dead and 9,262 infected. That is 1:43. Obviously most, if not all, are still hospitalized or being treated, so that mortality rate is probably on the conservative side. Typical flu mortality rate is 1:1,000. Current flu deaths are 8,200 for 15 million infected. So yeah it’s a little more deadly.
01-30-2020, 07:20 PM
#36
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Joined APC: Oct 2019
Posts: 439
I think what’s alarming is the pneumonia cases and how many have been labeled as severe condition
“As of 24:00 on January 30, 2020, Hubei Province has reported a total of 5806 cases of pneumonia caused by new coronavirus infections (including 2639 cases in Wuhan
At present, 5486 cases are still being treated in the hospital (among them: 804 cases of severe cases and 290 cases of critical cases).”
“As of 24:00 on January 30, 2020, Hubei Province has reported a total of 5806 cases of pneumonia caused by new coronavirus infections (including 2639 cases in Wuhan
At present, 5486 cases are still being treated in the hospital (among them: 804 cases of severe cases and 290 cases of critical cases).”
01-30-2020, 07:48 PM
#37
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Joined APC: Sep 2006
Posts: 621
Well going off the current numbers, assuming every active case has been cured and there are no more deaths you are looking at 213 dead and 9,262 infected. That is 1:43. Obviously most, if not all, are still hospitalized or being treated, so that mortality rate is probably on the conservative side. Typical flu mortality rate is 1:1,000. Current flu deaths are 8,200 for 15 million infected. So yeah it’s a little more deadly.
Typical flu mortality rate? If you’re going to compare the flu to Wuhan then you need to look at current flu data for the same period of time. The flu stats change constantly and vary from season to season and year to year. The cdc has the mortality rate for the US as 7% in January. Of course that’s the us, not China. So you’d have to have numbers from China for both the flu and Wuhan to even be the same ballpark. Further, you’d probably have to have compare numbers for specific regions of China. In short, we are pilots not statisticians. It’s dangerous when unqualified people make definitive statements.
01-30-2020, 09:52 PM
#38
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Joined APC: Jul 2007
Position: 756 left
Posts: 771
“213 deaths 9692 cases” for Coronavirus”.
And seasonal flu...
”So far, 8,200 people have died and 140,000 people have been hospitalized during the 2019-2020 flu season, according to preliminary estimates from the CDC.” Abcnews
com
Yes the new Chinese virus sounds nasty and highly contagious, but this BS about touching door knobs could kill you is absurd. I’m more worried about seasonal flu than this Wuhan stuff at the moment. That’s just me and I’ve been known to be very wrong on many occasions though.
And seasonal flu...
”So far, 8,200 people have died and 140,000 people have been hospitalized during the 2019-2020 flu season, according to preliminary estimates from the CDC.” Abcnews
com
Yes the new Chinese virus sounds nasty and highly contagious, but this BS about touching door knobs could kill you is absurd. I’m more worried about seasonal flu than this Wuhan stuff at the moment. That’s just me and I’ve been known to be very wrong on many occasions though.
01-31-2020, 06:47 AM
#39
Squawking 2000
Joined APC: Jul 2015
Position: Skeptical
Posts: 737
Is the BBC considered an acceptable news source by this crowd? 🤔
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-51237225
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-51237225
For example, about 10% of infected people died during the 2003 Sars epidemic, compared with under 0.1% for a "typical" flu epidemic.
01-31-2020, 07:11 AM
#40
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Joined APC: Jun 2007
Position: 767/757 CA
Posts: 2,737
CNN reports that one 6-pack of corona per night fir an entire week will reduce your chance of getting the virus by 69%... sales of corona has skyrocketed...
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