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Old 04-21-2018, 03:02 PM
  #91  
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Originally Posted by 757Driver
Since you don't really know how much we we're getting the -700's for, your comment is simply conjecture.
As are your comments. But your comparison to DAL's older airplanes is simply erroneous as they didn't buy 717s when they were new like United was about to do with the 737-700s. Again, airliners have a 25 year lifespan. Having 40 20-year old 737-700s and 65 new 737-700s is not advisable. United is smartly buying up to 50 mid-life A319s like DAL's 717s.
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Old 04-21-2018, 03:06 PM
  #92  
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Originally Posted by Flytolive
As are your comments. But your comparison to DAL's older airplanes is simply erroneous as they didn't buy 717s when they were new like United was about to do. Again, airliners have a 25 year lifespan. Having 40 20-year old 737-700s and 65 new 737-700s is not advisable.
Not if the original price was simply too good to pass up on and rumor has it, they were.

Adding 65 air frames in a 2 year period would have been incredibly good for our Pilot group but again, don't let that get in the way of your analysis. All you salivating over the CS-100's might want to take a peak at the rates they pay and compare them to the 737-700's that you would have been flying.
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Old 04-21-2018, 03:20 PM
  #93  
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Originally Posted by 757Driver
I'm crushed.

Guess deflection is your way of saying that you're wrong so in actuality, you did answer. Can we rustle up a couple of pair of rose colored lenses for our highly uniformed friends please?
I'll apologize for my harshness first.

The delta plan started many years ago, either by luck in timing, or their mgmt was simply just smarter than everyone else. I always say delta got the best German scientists so there's my take...

When your #1 cost is highly variable and susceptible to significant short term fluctuations, you live and die by your risk decisions. Cheap, old, inefficient airframes during an extended period of low oil---smart. 14% fuel savings on 35/barrel is nothing. 100/barrel obviously a different story. Additionally, those 717s were genius for opening and/or upgauging mkts. If they stick with this gameplan and oil is sustained above 80 for an extended period, I bet their margin decline exceeds ours without a doubt. Of course, their German scientists already signaled the call with their c series order and impending Maddog retirements.

The oil increase has just taken off the last year or so... Nothing happens overnight, pal.

I am glad we deferred the 700s, with one exception if true, and that would be if we gave away markets because we didn't have lift available to compete. Can anyone validate that to be true though?
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Old 04-21-2018, 05:17 PM
  #94  
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Originally Posted by 757Driver
So using your logic Delta should be losing there a$$ with all their "less efficient, old" aircraft. Wonder how that's turning out for them?
Do you see DAL buying POS Guppies? No, the new airplanes they’re buying are 321neos and CSeries.

Originally Posted by 757Driver
Not if the original price was simply too good to pass up on and rumor has it, they were.

Adding 65 air frames in a 2 year period would have been incredibly good for our Pilot group but again, don't let that get in the way of your analysis. All you salivating over the CS-100's might want to take a peak at the rates they pay and compare them to the 737-700's that you would have been flying.
What’s most profitable? That’s what’s best for the pilot group. A captain bid doesn’t do me much good if I flow back at the next down turn and guys get furloughed.
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Old 04-21-2018, 06:19 PM
  #95  
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Originally Posted by 757Driver
Not if the original price was simply too good to pass up on and rumor has it, they were.
Oh, the rumor has it. As you said, nothing but "conjecture."

The people who made the deal were the same ones who bought 737-900s and wanted to dehub LAX, IAD and DEN not to mention pulling out of JFK. Just to name a few. Kirby's moves and rationale for those moves makes infinitely more sense than the gross mismanagement of the prior misfits..

Just say no to weakening scope. Pretty simple.
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Old 04-21-2018, 06:22 PM
  #96  
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Originally Posted by 757Driver
Not if the original price was simply too good to pass up on and rumor has it, they were.

Adding 65 air frames in a 2 year period would have been incredibly good for our Pilot group but again, don't let that get in the way of your analysis. All you salivating over the CS-100's might want to take a peak at the rates they pay and compare them to the 737-700's that you would have been flying.
The price being too good to be true was just a rumor. We don’t get to see the books and we’ll never know what the actual numbers for any deal are. Boeing could have cut a pretty good deal for changing them to max orders as well.

As far as not getting the 65 -700’s when we could, would getting 65 max 7’s or 319 neo instead be ok? Being that those planes would most likely do a bunch of up and down flying that the rj’s are doing now, I hope they don’t pick the max. I’m on the 737 and would rather that type of flying be done by someone else. Pairings with 4 legs a day are unproductive and hard to commute on both ends.
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Old 04-21-2018, 06:25 PM
  #97  
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Originally Posted by Half wing
“We haven't had increased utilization of aircraft. If we did, block hours and pilot staffing would go up”

Zoomie,

We have had/are having increased utilization in aircraft. In non-peak months. Pilot staffing doesn’t go up unless peak period pilot block hours goes up. Source: March 16th crew resources update.
United has also added mainline aircraft.
In 2016, the number of mainline aircraft increased by 22 aircraft.
In 2017 (in spite of retiring the 747), the number of mainline aircraft increased by 7 aircraft.
2018 is projected to have an additional 24 mainline aircraft.

Source: united.com / investor relations / investor update
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Old 04-21-2018, 06:38 PM
  #98  
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Originally Posted by Grumble
Really? If they start flying 90 seaters for a competitor, they forfeit DAL and UAL flying?

Source?
Republic Airways Holdings a number of years ago created the Republic certificate to fly 80 seat 175’s for U.S. Air/American and 99 seat 190’s for Frontier while the Delta flying was done on the Chautauqua and Shuttle certificates to circumvent scope. The Frontier flying is gone and they had to take 4 seats out of the 80 seat 175’s when they combined into one certificate flying for all three legacies.

If anything, please vote to tighten scope so these scenarios don’t happen again.
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Old 04-21-2018, 06:59 PM
  #99  
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Originally Posted by Flytolive
Then he is doing a really bad job because he has ****ed off Wall Street by completely violating their holy grail of capacity constraint.

All evidence to the contrary. Smisek was shrinking the airline while Kirby is growing UA and the mid-continent hubs.

Just say no to scope relaxation. Simple.
We all should have said no in 2013
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Old 04-21-2018, 07:08 PM
  #100  
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Originally Posted by Zoomie
Wow, that seems like an incredibly naive statement. Care to share where you pulled this nugget from?

The point behind the original 737-700 deal was because Boeing needed a "stop-gap" in their production line between 737 NG and the MAX. They needed time to retool their assembly line to accept the MAX and the -700 order was basically funding the "down time" while still keeping people at Boeing working. This was also why the -700 order was supposed to be all those aircraft in a 1 year period. There is no possible way we are getting the MAX's for the same price as those discounted -700s.
This paragraph doesn't make sense to me because Boeing is building the NG and MAX concurrently

Originally Posted by Grumble
Do you see DAL buying POS Guppies? No, the new airplanes they’re buying are 321neos and CSeries.
We're still receiving new 737-900s (NGs not maxes).
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