Trans States CQFO
#41
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jul 2013
Posts: 10,518
These numbers make it painfully obvious what is actually going to happen to a "CQFO". You are not getting the plain old FOs needed to ensure CQFOs actually get ahead. For those bad at math, you seem to be attracting some CQFOs for sure, but the average 1500 hr guy out there won't come near you guys. Who would? Why come fly hand me down 50 seaters with a short shelf life, when one can go to virtually any other regional out there and do better?
Listen old man, I know when you went to college, they didn't use calculating machines, but that doesn't give you an excuse to make outlandish statements.
Those numbers tell no story at all. In the 6 months prior to the growth announcement, TSA managed to hire over 60 FOs. While not a lot of pilots at a place like ExpressJet, this resulted in a nearly 20 growth in the pilot group; all this without any promise of growth and an upgrade that had been hovering around 1-2 years. Isn't it possible that the lack of FOs in classes is because recruiting is focusing on CQFOs? No, that couldn't be it. The company will need 100 more Captains, in less than a year, than there are pilots on the current seniority list. It also couldn't be because, as of the announcement, TSA was very overstaffed on FOs. Nope, that couldn't be it either. Confirmation bias is a strong thing. Most ignorant people are unaware of its affects on opinions.
#42
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Dec 2013
Posts: 1,054
Oooo!! I want to play. Okay, here goes: Envoy will cease to exist in 8 months. See? I can make unfounded conclusions based on a qualitative "analysis" of an incomplete data set and completely ignore any kind of context.
Listen old man, I know when you went to college, they didn't use calculating machines, but that doesn't give you an excuse to make outlandish statements.
Those numbers tell no story at all. In the 6 months prior to the growth announcement, TSA managed to hire over 60 FOs. While not a lot of pilots at a place like ExpressJet, this resulted in a nearly 20 growth in the pilot group; all this without any promise of growth and an upgrade that had been hovering around 1-2 years. Isn't it possible that the lack of FOs in classes is because recruiting is focusing on CQFOs? No, that couldn't be it. The company will need 100 more Captains, in less than a year, than there are pilots on the current seniority list. It also couldn't be because, as of the announcement, TSA was very overstaffed on FOs. Nope, that couldn't be it either. Confirmation bias is a strong thing. Most ignorant people are unaware of its affects on opinions.
Listen old man, I know when you went to college, they didn't use calculating machines, but that doesn't give you an excuse to make outlandish statements.
Those numbers tell no story at all. In the 6 months prior to the growth announcement, TSA managed to hire over 60 FOs. While not a lot of pilots at a place like ExpressJet, this resulted in a nearly 20 growth in the pilot group; all this without any promise of growth and an upgrade that had been hovering around 1-2 years. Isn't it possible that the lack of FOs in classes is because recruiting is focusing on CQFOs? No, that couldn't be it. The company will need 100 more Captains, in less than a year, than there are pilots on the current seniority list. It also couldn't be because, as of the announcement, TSA was very overstaffed on FOs. Nope, that couldn't be it either. Confirmation bias is a strong thing. Most ignorant people are unaware of its affects on opinions.
As far as the rest of your statement, perhaps 5 classes is not enough of a "data set", I could agree with that. I most likely have inserted a little "old man" 20+ years experience watching this stuff as well.
So, how about a bet? I'll bet $1000 that this little experiment fails for most.
#43
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Dec 2010
Position: Left-out 145
Posts: 136
Says who? You? Put it in writing. All of that is only IF you can actually attract regular FOs, which you so far have not been able to do in any certain numbers. TSA management knew this from the start. Why do you think they came out of the gate with a "CQFO" program? The whole thing will fail if you don't get normal FOs though. How could TSA actually survive if they were paying the majority of their FOs substantially more than Envoy, the company they are supposed to be undercutting?
Does any airline on earth put your upgrade time in writing? Since we all know the answer to that, let's not waste any time on it.
Bottom line: Its MY opinion that any pilot entering the regionals with the intention to move on to a major, they'd be doing themselves a disservice not to go to an airline that is almost tripling in size in the next 12 months.
#44
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Dec 2013
Posts: 1,054
Does any airline on earth put your upgrade time in writing? Since we all know the answer to that, let's not waste any time on it.
Bottom line: Its MY opinion that any pilot entering the regionals with the intention to move on to a major, they'd be doing themselves a disservice not to go to an airline that is almost tripling in size in the next 12 months.
Bottom line: Its MY opinion that any pilot entering the regionals with the intention to move on to a major, they'd be doing themselves a disservice not to go to an airline that is almost tripling in size in the next 12 months.
#45
Line Holder
Joined APC: Oct 2010
Posts: 59
The CQFO 'program' is not a 'program'. The language has been in the contract for years. The company is just now able to put it to use. It is working, will continue to work and TSA will prosper.
You need to build a bridge and get over it!
You need to build a bridge and get over it!
#46
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Nov 2014
Posts: 558
Actually that is true: I learned weight and balance with a slide rule. Learned to navigate without a magenta line present in the aircraft, and how to calculate a precise descent without the use of an FMS; the old man could out fly one of you self entitled spoiled rotten kiddos any day
As far as the rest of your statement, perhaps 5 classes is not enough of a "data set", I could agree with that. I most likely have inserted a little "old man" 20+ years experience watching this stuff as well.
So, how about a bet? I'll bet $1000 that this little experiment fails for most.
As far as the rest of your statement, perhaps 5 classes is not enough of a "data set", I could agree with that. I most likely have inserted a little "old man" 20+ years experience watching this stuff as well.
So, how about a bet? I'll bet $1000 that this little experiment fails for most.
#47
Banned
Joined APC: Oct 2014
Position: 6 Train - Panhandler
Posts: 2,001
Besides, who effing makes bets under a pseudonym whom can simply turn into a welcher when he loses.
#48
For those doubters, even myself. They already gave me a 4 stripe thing your supposed to wear. Then we are PIC typed left Seat, go to Captain IOE, then do our Fed ride and then at some point we do our right Seat qual. If I'm a betting man it sounds like they are hiring captains. Just my.02!
#49
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Dec 2013
Posts: 1,054
You are right: you didn't take concessions or anything but obviously a CQFO program is designed to pilfer from other regionals so don't act all high and mighty about what it is your pilot group is playing along with.
I don't hope you fail, I'm betting you fail. Whether you do or not does not affect in me even a miniscule way.
#50
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Nov 2014
Posts: 558
Eagle lifer and not bitter at all - My name says it all - I just don't want to see new guys duped.
You are right: you didn't take concessions or anything but obviously a CQFO program is designed to pilfer from other regionals so don't act all high and mighty about what it is your pilot group is playing along with.
I don't hope you fail, I'm betting you fail. Whether you do or not does not affect in even a miniscule way.
You are right: you didn't take concessions or anything but obviously a CQFO program is designed to pilfer from other regionals so don't act all high and mighty about what it is your pilot group is playing along with.
I don't hope you fail, I'm betting you fail. Whether you do or not does not affect in even a miniscule way.
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