Spirit Airlines Ch.11
#501
LOL you're kidding me right? I just watched it. Nowhere does he actually show any money from actual financial statements other than the total revenue and total costs. He then "assumes" that Delta gets $5B in free cash from AMEX and then says United "probably does too" and then says those airlines lose Billions a year. If this was so lucrative, then why wouldn't these credit card companies do the same with Jetblue Spirit etc?
This is absolutely misinformation. The whole video is a joke and he's stitching random uncorrelated information together to sound like he knows what he's talking about.
If you read the comments they are not only scathing but hilarious.
If this is your source of information I have some flat earth and chemtrail videos you should watch as well.
This is absolutely misinformation. The whole video is a joke and he's stitching random uncorrelated information together to sound like he knows what he's talking about.
If you read the comments they are not only scathing but hilarious.
If this is your source of information I have some flat earth and chemtrail videos you should watch as well.
if you don't like this video here is a "woke" news source for you...
"Last year, Delta Air Lines received $6.8 billion in revenue from American Express on its co-branded Delta Amex card. American Airlines reported revenue of $5.2 billion from co-branded cards and other partnerships. United reported a mere $3.2 billion on its other operating line that came primarily on payments to its frequent flyer program. And when considering the adjusted incomes of 2023 for Delta ($4 billion) American ($1.9 billion) and United ($3.3 billion), it’s easy to understand why the major carriers rely so heavily on frequent flyer programs."
https://www.cnn.com/2024/09/08/busin...nes/index.html
If you can't see how that is a issue with record high CC debt then that's on you. These companies would not be profitbale without CC programs.
you do you, go ahead and live in fantasy land, but without CC programs no legacy could compete for econmy tickets prices. The american consumer is in debt and has about 2-4 weeks of savings. If ******* hits the fan economically the whole premuim model falls apart.
#502
Almost there
Joined APC: Apr 2021
Posts: 1,320
No legacy has "copied" the ULCC model. Just offering an additional fare class, basic economy, because those airlines have stopped competing for business travel and are now going after leisure travelers. If that's all it took to completely wreak havoc on the ULCCs then they really didn't have a defensible business model in the first place.
Also if scale was so important, why is Spirit getting crushed as a larger airline when it was profitable as a smaller one?
No ULCC is unprofitable because its not large enough. They are unprofitable because they do not have a product most travelers want and the people that flew on them are finding that other airlines offer the same fares with more travel options, exposing that ULCC was not really a long-term viable business model, but more of a short term income opportunity.
There was a time when the ULCC model could work consistently, but that time has passed.
Also if scale was so important, why is Spirit getting crushed as a larger airline when it was profitable as a smaller one?
No ULCC is unprofitable because its not large enough. They are unprofitable because they do not have a product most travelers want and the people that flew on them are finding that other airlines offer the same fares with more travel options, exposing that ULCC was not really a long-term viable business model, but more of a short term income opportunity.
There was a time when the ULCC model could work consistently, but that time has passed.
Spirit is getting crushed through a myriad of factors. Slow to bring up utilization, slow to adapt, Pratt & Whitney leading to staffing problems, higher fuel prices, and the supply and demand economics of basic seats.
Let’s do some simple and admittedly not highly accurate math. Spirit and Frontier fleet is around 350 planes. Legacy fleet is greater than 2500ish? All they needed is 1 out of every 7 seats to be basic economy to double the ULCC seat market in the US. So 30 seats a plane? And then they could make all the money they want with the rest.
As a passenger I don’t give a hoot what airline I fly as long as it matches my schedule and price. But if I only have one option every few days or heck even 1 option a day vs 9 it’s a nice peace of mind to fly on the airline with a huge fleet.
Another note…everybody talks about ULCC costing the same as a legacy after all the bags. Unfortunately for the ULCCs passengers have learned how to travel without bags. I rarely see more than 20% bag to pax ratio. My flight currently has 11%. It’s still way cheaper to fly ULCC if you know how the game works.
#504
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jul 2017
Posts: 257
I agree with that, I do think the legacies basic economy was a smart move that ended up being sucessful product that makes them a ton of money. Did the DOJs decision help them? absolutely. Is basic economy on united that much better than a ride on Spirit? Personally a seat in the back is a seat in the back to me, but the general flying public has voted with their dollar and would much rather fly on the legacies. And to your point, the scale of the legacies allows them to charge just about the same price as the ULCCs. At this point I think it might be too late for the ULCCs like Spirit. I think the Allegiant's, Avelo's and Breeze's of the aviation world who purposely stay of the legacies way are feasible way to stay afloat without being absolutely crushed by the legacies.
#505
Basic economy does not make the legacies “a ton of money.” It retains leisure customers they would otherwise lose to the competition and simultaneously is putting said competition out of business. The legacies are not making money on the basic economy product. It’s a loss leader. They’re just able to offset the that loss with revenue from CC and premium products.
#506
On Reserve
Joined APC: Apr 2024
Posts: 20
I already talked about fleet size in the Frontier thread but here is a repeat for your convenience.
“…combined NK/Spirit will still grow pretty fast with the current order book. I know, I know, subject to change…Lots of variables…Yada yada.
The current order book would have a possible combined size of:
2024-374
2025-397
2026-419
2027-446?
2028-464?
2029-483?
2030-503?
Question marks are at the end of 2027 and on because Spirit hasn’t published their order book past then.”
That’s still huge growth. Taking on an additional 42 airplanes when the fleet size is only 150 is a huge ask for any airline and hard to scale correctly. Instead they deferred orders (but BB didn’t mention they have extended every 8 yr lease to 12 years thus far) to make it more manageable in an overcapacity domestic market. So while the big news is that they deferred orders, the growth rate is actually the same since they are keeping 20 airplanes that were scheduled to be returned.
I would say the ULCC model has been wildly successful. So successful that the legacies copied it with more seats in the market than the ULCCs could dream of. But instead of 1 option per day on Frontier and 1 on Spirit maybe you have 9 now with 7 of those options being on a legacy. Another reason to merge.
LCCs are pushing hard to pivot already. Bundled packages, free cancelations, stretched seating….It will take time but they will get there.
“…combined NK/Spirit will still grow pretty fast with the current order book. I know, I know, subject to change…Lots of variables…Yada yada.
The current order book would have a possible combined size of:
2024-374
2025-397
2026-419
2027-446?
2028-464?
2029-483?
2030-503?
Question marks are at the end of 2027 and on because Spirit hasn’t published their order book past then.”
That’s still huge growth. Taking on an additional 42 airplanes when the fleet size is only 150 is a huge ask for any airline and hard to scale correctly. Instead they deferred orders (but BB didn’t mention they have extended every 8 yr lease to 12 years thus far) to make it more manageable in an overcapacity domestic market. So while the big news is that they deferred orders, the growth rate is actually the same since they are keeping 20 airplanes that were scheduled to be returned.
I would say the ULCC model has been wildly successful. So successful that the legacies copied it with more seats in the market than the ULCCs could dream of. But instead of 1 option per day on Frontier and 1 on Spirit maybe you have 9 now with 7 of those options being on a legacy. Another reason to merge.
LCCs are pushing hard to pivot already. Bundled packages, free cancelations, stretched seating….It will take time but they will get there.
#507
#508
Almost there
Joined APC: Apr 2021
Posts: 1,320
I do admit I use copying loosely. It’s copying the fare structure for a portion of their aircraft with better inherent customer service.
#510
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