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Old 09-22-2023, 03:07 PM
  #41  
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Originally Posted by hindsight2020
The time to have this epiphany was 2014. Given the amount of people younger than you hired since 2014, the hiring wave as a motivator is specious in present circumstances. I would personally complete the LEO pension, then go play airline pilot as a second payer career. Now, if your PD pension plan is non-competitive (at least 50%-75% immediate), or you're simply that miserable in your vocation that it's destroying your home life, then I guess it's a push. Good luck to ya.
It's certainly a rough decision. It's not so much the decision perhaps, but to figure out how to do it.

If theres a will, theres a way. I'm just trying to figure out the way.
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Old 09-23-2023, 03:56 AM
  #42  
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Originally Posted by RemoveB4flght
Yeah, I’ve been here since before I made this account
<————

If you’re single digits in system seniority and just now questioning the ULCC model and anguishing over a merger approval to finally decide on a late career hop to a legacy I formally call BS
I’ll be the first to admit I was wrong. I thought the ULCC could be the future of aviation and grow as large as it is in Europe. I thought we were the next southwest. I honestly believed we would be the first to profitability after Covid. I was wrong. So very wrong. The profit sharing checks at delta and United this year are going to be huge!

I think between spirit and frontier we have saturated the market and collected all the low hanging fruit available. Growing from here is going to prove challenging imo. Maintaining this size is going to be challenging with our current management wants a merger no matter what.

Working for indigo also not a viable option. Same business model and market forces, and we all know how it worked out the first time around.
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Old 09-23-2023, 05:49 AM
  #43  
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What is ULCC?

and how does the profit sharing bonus work. My wife gets something similar from Walgreens, but not sure how it works. This year it's pretty low lol

I gotta say I'm getting excited about this. I watched a little snippet from the CEO of the company and I liked how he presented himself and what he had to say. There seems to be military aviation structure there since he was a topgun inst and his higher up peers are as well, which I'll fit in very goo to.

I also contacted a colleauge who says she can certainly get me a job at the police academy doing general and firearms instructing which is around $45 an hour. part time and they are desperate for good instructors. I am the training coordinator at my agency. If I could do both, I should be ok for about 1-2 years I think.
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Old 09-23-2023, 07:04 AM
  #44  
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Originally Posted by Noisecanceller
I’ll be the first to admit I was wrong. I thought the ULCC could be the future of aviation and grow as large as it is in Europe. I thought we were the next southwest. I honestly believed we would be the first to profitability after Covid. I was wrong. So very wrong. The profit sharing checks at delta and United this year are going to be huge!

I think between spirit and frontier we have saturated the market and collected all the low hanging fruit available. Growing from here is going to prove challenging imo. Maintaining this size is going to be challenging with our current management wants a merger no matter what.

Working for indigo also not a viable option. Same business model and market forces, and we all know how it worked out the first time around.
Ok but we are a growth company and a growth stock. Other than paying down debts a bit faster or funding expansion, the amount of net profit we make is not the biggest economic factor. Revenues have consistently trended upwards over the last decade, and continue to do so. I don’t know how else to explain that huge leftover profits are not the goal of the company at this time. United and Delta are large mature companies that no longer rely on growth and expansion to boost share price, instead they focus on profits. They pay a dividend to shareholders, and the pilots get a slice of that. Spirit, or even a combined Spirit/JetBlue, is a long way from being large enough to take their foot of the growth accelerator and start divvying money to shareholders. As long as the bills are paid, profitability isn’t my chief concern. That’s not to say there aren’t improvements that management needs to make, but we keep adding routes, adding planes, and I see no market saturation in sight.

But hey, if your opinion is otherwise, why hang around? If you’re old enough to have more seniority than me, every day that passes makes your switch to a legacy less palatable. I’ll tell ya buddy, the Jet Blue merger isn’t some magic pill. If B6 is saddled with 3 billion of Spirit debt, they ain’t handing our profit sharing checks anytime soon, especially with several hundred aircraft and several thousand pilots and crew to train to get into legacy territory. If the uncertainty of a merger is excruciating for you, the uncertainty of the future after the court decision will be the same.
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Old 09-23-2023, 07:50 AM
  #45  
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Originally Posted by razorseal
What is ULCC?

and how does the profit sharing bonus work. My wife gets something similar from Walgreens, but not sure how it works. This year it's pretty low lol

I gotta say I'm getting excited about this. I watched a little snippet from the CEO of the company and I liked how he presented himself and what he had to say. There seems to be military aviation structure there since he was a topgun inst and his higher up peers are as well, which I'll fit in very goo to.

I also contacted a colleauge who says she can certainly get me a job at the police academy doing general and firearms instructing which is around $45 an hour. part time and they are desperate for good instructors. I am the training coordinator at my agency. If I could do both, I should be ok for about 1-2 years I think.
Where to begin.

If you don’t know what an ULCC is, you need to study. It isn’t just an acronym. It’s like saying you want to buy a McDonalds franchise and ask “what’s a Happy Meal and a Big Mac”

Profit sharing is simple, zero.

Our CEO is a clueless clown who gets lost in his own office. He has taken a profitable company and ran it into a loss every quarter. Many mistakes including self admitted that we shouldn’t have tried to grow through the pandemic recovery, ooops. So maybe you’re talking about your time building CEO. If you like a military style organization, you won’t find that at Spirit.
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Old 09-23-2023, 09:22 AM
  #46  
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Originally Posted by Noisecanceller
I’ll be the first to admit I was wrong. I thought the ULCC could be the future of aviation and grow as large as it is in Europe. I thought we were the next southwest. I honestly believed we would be the first to profitability after Covid. I was wrong. So very wrong. The profit sharing checks at delta and United this year are going to be huge!

I think between spirit and frontier we have saturated the market and collected all the low hanging fruit available. Growing from here is going to prove challenging imo. Maintaining this size is going to be challenging with our current management wants a merger no matter what.

Working for indigo also not a viable option. Same business model and market forces, and we all know how it worked out the first time around.
one good hope for the future of ULCC is that the USA’s middle classes will continue to shrink as the rich get richer and the poor get poorer.

so eventually, these people that are on the fringe with flying a legacy will eventually have to switch over to a ULCC as their relative income dwindles over time.
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Old 09-23-2023, 09:52 AM
  #47  
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Originally Posted by CincoDeMayo
Where to begin.

If you don’t know what an ULCC is, you need to study. It isn’t just an acronym. It’s like saying you want to buy a McDonalds franchise and ask “what’s a Happy Meal and a Big Mac”

Profit sharing is simple, zero.

Our CEO is a clueless clown who gets lost in his own office. He has taken a profitable company and ran it into a loss every quarter. Many mistakes including self admitted that we shouldn’t have tried to grow through the pandemic recovery, ooops. So maybe you’re talking about your time building CEO. If you like a military style organization, you won’t find that at Spirit.
Thank you for your insight and suggestion to study.
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Old 09-23-2023, 11:13 AM
  #48  
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Originally Posted by Halon1211
one good hope for the future of ULCC is that the USA’s middle classes will continue to shrink as the rich get richer and the poor get poorer.

so eventually, these people that are on the fringe with flying a legacy will eventually have to switch over to a ULCC as their relative income dwindles over time.
Doubtful, the opposite is happening; more and more passengers are looking to fly business/first, and pay for it. The article discussing the demise of the ULCC addresses this and how ULCCs might need to offer more products like BFS versus steerage.

And our rates are not that much cheaper,
sometimes higher, than legacy counterparts. They price match us like crazy and our dumb management trolls can’t find a way to compete. Can’t imagine people are saying “if I can get they raise, I can fly legacy, versus NK”
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Old 09-23-2023, 11:45 AM
  #49  
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Originally Posted by CincoDeMayo
Doubtful, the opposite is happening; more and more passengers are looking to fly business/first, and pay for it. The article discussing the demise of the ULCC addresses this and how ULCCs might need to offer more products like BFS versus steerage.

And our rates are not that much cheaper,
sometimes higher, than legacy counterparts. They price match us like crazy and our dumb management trolls can’t find a way to compete. Can’t imagine people are saying “if I can get they raise, I can fly legacy, versus NK”
I don’t think price is everything. I’ve been flying a lot for events where I needed a ticket, and Spirit/Frontier are multiples cheaper than AA out of DFW, even with a bag. For example, on Monday, DFW to LAS is $70-80 on Spirit and $388 on AA. This has been my experience in different markets, as well.

ULCC can absolutely be profitable if done properly. Ted checked out a while back.
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Old 09-24-2023, 05:38 AM
  #50  
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You've had a lot of responses on this, let me add a few more thoughts as someone who made the same jump (LE to airlines) 2.5 years ago. I'm a little older than you but you're old enough to be more or less in the same boat. You can likely remember when LE was a dream job and something that you really looked forward to doing, now it's just a job. Airline flying will be the same thing- eventually it will settle in to being just a job. Granted its a job that I really enjoy, but it has it's downsides like any job. Just be prepared for that when the honeymoon period wears off.

Drama? You're going to find that in any line of work. It's less so than at the PD but it's still there. There are a lot of 25 year old kids (I'm at a regional, but the LLCs are not far behind that curve) on their first job and fresh out of mommy's basement, who think they know everything there is to know. There are crusty old timers who hate everything in the world including themselves. There's everything in between. Mix them all together and there is going to be some drama. That said 90% of the people I work with are great, even the CAs that I fly with who are barely old enough to be my kids. When I walk into the crew room and close my eyes it sounds like I'm right back in the squad room- same personalities, same loud voices *****ing about the contract, the union, management, blah blah blah. The environment felt strangely familiar the first time I walked in the door.

Speaking of home- you're going to be home less since you'll be on the road for between 3-6 days at a time, with 3-5 days off in between (rough average.) Make sure that the family can handle that. Now here's the upside- when you are home, you are truly home, fully present and not stressed. For most of my LE career I had jobs that were 24/7/365 on call, so even your off time is never fully your own. Plus you bring home all the stress and issues from the job (read Dr. Gilmartin's book if you haven't.) At the airline, once you set the brake at the end of a trip and go home, you are truly off duty. I don't take any stress home, I don't need a day to decompress, I don't answer a phone on my days off, I don't think about work much at all until it's time to go back for my next trip. In other words, the quality of time that you are home is much better. This can be a big deal in some families.

Training- the training model at the airlines is very similar to that in LE. You show up on day one and come out the other end as a newly type-rated pilot who knows your company books inside and out. Just like a fresh academy graduate, you know everything and nothing at the same time. You then go through a period of field training (we call it IOE or some variation) where a seasoned FTO-type teaches you how to apply all that knowledge "on the street." You then go back for periodic refresher/ in-service training to practice skills that you are likely to never need in real like, but nevertheless need to keep sharp. Most pilots go their entire career without a real engine failure, just like most cops go their entire career without firing a shot in anger. But both of them must maintain those skills just in case today becomes "that day."

While we're on training, think about this when you're looking at ways of building your time. Buying yourself 1000 hours in a 152 is one way to get it done, but what is the quality of that experience? I'd guide you towards actual flying employment where you will get some real world experience in the big-boy IFR system. Airlines expect you to show up on day with with this background, and without it you will really struggle. I work part time in the training dept at my airline and I see this with new hires. The more real world experience you have the better prepared you will be. Not to mention, the older you get the more calcified your brain becomes and the harder it is to absorb new material. You're not that old yet but old enough that you will start to notice that when you "drink from the fire hose."

You mentioned looking at specific airlines based on their proximity to your home and the ability to drive to work. I think that is a great plan- being able to drive to work and not have the added stress of commuting (via airline) to work is a huge quality of life factor. The standard caveats apply- bases come and go so you have to do your research. Some bases are more secure than others, and what is plan B if your base closes.

There are some folks who will tell you that you haven't succeeded unless/ until you have a job at a legacy. Hogwash. I think you have the right idea of finding a mid-level job and settling in, if it balances out the money/ family/ QOL equation. Hell I'm at a regional and I'm pretty content- upgrading soon and will be making pretty good money (better than I ever did at the PD) and driving to work. With single digits of years left, I may well just ride it out where I am (assuming my company still exists, which is always a gamble.) There is very little that is certain or stable in this business. Like you I got back in to aviation after getting out in leaner times (early 90s) and I settled in to LE with its job security. One of my favorite comparisons is this- LE is a great career, but it's a lousy job. Airline flying is a great job but it's a lousy career. You've seen enough in LE to know the difference.
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