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Old 08-16-2024, 09:45 AM
  #351  
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Originally Posted by REF 5
BJ has already said they are working with Boeing to reshuffle the order book. Code words for "we'll move those orders to a later date". Capacity has already been reduced for the second half of the year. Canceling is outright giving up the slots which I don't think SWA has ever done. SWA isn't the only airline that is doing this. Every other carrier has and will reduce capacity for the 3rd and 4th quarter. Some airlines already deferred some orders. Although SWA has somewhat of a capacity problem, it's real problem is on the revenue side of the equation. Bottom line is before Elliott decided to take a stake in SWA, BJ had already slowed and then stopped growth anyway. ASM growth will be in the low single digits for a long time. Unlike most other carriers, SWA will not fund growth through debt. If cap ex can't be paid through cash flow, it will use what assets it currently has to increase ASM's. Most other airlines have had healthy cash flows to fund Cap ex, SWA not so much. Remember, SWA has about 3 Billion in debt maturites coming due in 2025. I think part of that is owned by Elliott, which can convert it to shares.
History with Elliot just repeats itself. We have not divested any assets yet, as Elliot likes to call it yet. Which is just a fancy word to sell assets. That is Elliot's calling card to get the stock price up is to divest assets that will happen here if they get their way. They are only interested in the stock price and that it is it. Get in make waves, force management changes, force cuts, sell assets and create layoffs to get the stock to move and they cash in. Look at AT&T and look at Cabela's and there are many more just like it, go look it up. Their history is not good for companies they buy stakes in, why would this one be any different?
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Old 08-16-2024, 09:49 AM
  #352  
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Originally Posted by Mozam
Stop quoting the angry FA. She/it is ruining this board .
Thats all you can do there is cry because you don't like others opninions? You have no input on the topic whatsoever? You want to give up thousands of pilots jobs and most likey concesssoins to this contract, then you go ahead and keep cheerleading for Elliot as SWAPA is doing. Won't suprise me if you're a SWAPA rep. You stay up late last night trying to figure another way to steal some Elitt time?
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Old 08-16-2024, 11:35 AM
  #353  
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Originally Posted by REF 5
BJ has already said they are working with Boeing to reshuffle the order book. Code words for "we'll move those orders to a later date". Capacity has already been reduced for the second half of the year. Canceling is outright giving up the slots which I don't think SWA has ever done. SWA isn't the only airline that is doing this. Every other carrier has and will reduce capacity for the 3rd and 4th quarter. Some airlines already deferred some orders. Although SWA has somewhat of a capacity problem, it's real problem is on the revenue side of the equation. Bottom line is before Elliott decided to take a stake in SWA, BJ had already slowed and then stopped growth anyway. ASM growth will be in the low single digits for a long time. Unlike most other carriers, SWA will not fund growth through debt. If cap ex can't be paid through cash flow, it will use what assets it currently has to increase ASM's. Most other airlines have had healthy cash flows to fund Cap ex, SWA not so much. Remember, SWA has about 3 Billion in debt maturites coming due in 2025. I think part of that is owned by Elliott, which can convert it to shares.
in a podcast in July they said sw was going slightly into debt to buy the planes and now that the delivery rate has slowed sw is no longer burning cash to buy planes and that's a good thing. Also they said SW is the only airline not going into debt to buy planes. Everyone else is.
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Old 08-16-2024, 12:53 PM
  #354  
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Originally Posted by hoover
in a podcast in July they said sw was going slightly into debt to buy the planes and now that the delivery rate has slowed sw is no longer burning cash to buy planes and that's a good thing. Also they said SW is the only airline not going into debt to buy planes. Everyone else is.
A quick glance at the statement of cash flows from the second quarter, they burned 225 million in cash. They used their cash. I guess leasing airplanes is not beneficial or they believe cash flow will return to better levels in future quarters to fund cap ex. They didn't take on any collateralized debt. Total debt was actually down from the first quarter. Interesting they still plan on spending 2.5 billion this year. American is twice the size and spending about the same. UAL, AAL and Delta all generating free cash flow. The gold star. Until that happens, more of the same.
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Old 08-16-2024, 02:53 PM
  #355  
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Mercy

someone sure is an angry elf
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Old 08-16-2024, 07:33 PM
  #356  
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When does Elitt open again? Oh, it does not matter for SWAPA reps they get theirs at different hours of the night than the rest of the dues paying members on here.
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Old 08-26-2024, 12:04 PM
  #357  
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https://seekingalpha.com/news/414370...pArticle=false

Activist investor Elliott Investment Management plans to meet with Southwest Airlines (NYSE:LUV) on Sept. 9.

"It is time for a reconstituted Board to finally step up and put in place a transparent and credible process for addressing the challenges Southwest faces today," Elliott partner John Pike and portfolio manager Bobby Xu wrote in a letter to shareholders

The latest Elliott comments come after the activist earlier this month said it plans to nominate 10 director candidates for the airline's 15-person board.

Elliott in June confirmed that it had a $2 billion stake in Southwest (LUV) and the activist pushed for the airline to do a business review and believes the airline stock can reach $49 a share. Elliott called for new leadership, including the company's CEO Bob Jordan and Chairman Gary Kelly.

"We are hopeful that we will find individuals on the Board willing to look past the personal interests of Mr. Jordan and Mr. Kelly in favor of what is best for Southwest and its many other constituents," the Elliott executives said in the letter on Monday.
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Old 08-26-2024, 02:47 PM
  #358  
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Originally Posted by FA24
https://seekingalpha.com/news/414370...pArticle=false

Activist investor Elliott Investment Management plans to meet with Southwest Airlines (NYSE:LUV) on Sept. 9.

"It is time for a reconstituted Board to finally step up and put in place a transparent and credible process for addressing the challenges Southwest faces today," Elliott partner John Pike and portfolio manager Bobby Xu wrote in a letter to shareholders

The latest Elliott comments come after the activist earlier this month said it plans to nominate 10 director candidates for the airline's 15-person board.

Elliott in June confirmed that it had a $2 billion stake in Southwest (LUV) and the activist pushed for the airline to do a business review and believes the airline stock can reach $49 a share. Elliott called for new leadership, including the company's CEO Bob Jordan and Chairman Gary Kelly.

"We are hopeful that we will find individuals on the Board willing to look past the personal interests of Mr. Jordan and Mr. Kelly in favor of what is best for Southwest and its many other constituents," the Elliott executives said in the letter on Monday.
I’m thinking that this is going to be a rare time that Elliott is unsuccessful. SWA has already announced premium/assigned seating and they are starting redeyes. There is a very high likelihood that a codeshare of some sort will be announced next month.

What more could new leadership do to generate meaningful revenue other than that? GK has dedicated his career to pleasing Wall Street. I don’t see the majority of investors kicking him to the curb when he is in the process of implementing pretty much all the changes an airline like SWA can reasonably make.
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Old 08-26-2024, 03:42 PM
  #359  
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I've been thinking the same thing. A lot of airline analysts, pundits, podcasters, and talking heads out there are concluding that Elliott doesn't seem to know the first thing about running an airline....let alone what it takes to improve one.
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Old 08-26-2024, 06:42 PM
  #360  
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Originally Posted by 9thAmendment
I’m thinking that this is going to be a rare time that Elliott is unsuccessful. SWA has already announced premium/assigned seating and they are starting redeyes. There is a very high likelihood that a codeshare of some sort will be announced next month.

What more could new leadership do to generate meaningful revenue other than that? GK has dedicated his career to pleasing Wall Street. I don’t see the majority of investors kicking him to the curb when he is in the process of implementing pretty much all the changes an airline like SWA can reasonably make.

There’s enough people ****ed off at Gary and Co over their BS that it doesn’t matter. I’d vote right now to have them removed. Get people on the BOD who have a “Good” history in dealing with airlines and a CEO who wasn’t a consolation prize when their top pick retires quickly to take care of a sick wife.
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