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View Poll Results: Domiciles where vacancies will most likely be
OAK
37
28.91%
LAX
19
14.84%
LAS
23
17.97%
PHX
11
8.59%
DEN
79
61.72%
DAL
8
6.25%
HOU
5
3.91%
MDW
11
8.59%
BWI
31
24.22%
MCO
3
2.34%
Multiple Choice Poll. Voters: 128. You may not vote on this poll

2200 NH / 1100 UG Vacancy Bingo

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Old 12-21-2022, 01:02 PM
  #31  
Strike averted!
 
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25 captains for PHX! 15 FOs.
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Old 12-21-2022, 01:17 PM
  #32  
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Originally Posted by flyguy81
I’ll allow it. Lol. Now, how low will it go?
itll be interesting. January is a good month to go to training I think. Maybe we'll see a few more bypassers take the plunge and go. I would think it might hit a 114k# but I think they'll be more 80-90 k people.
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Old 12-21-2022, 03:17 PM
  #33  
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Originally Posted by flyguy81
I’ll allow it. Lol. Now, how low will it go?
I don't think too low with 0s in OAK and LAX...but we'll see! Maybe some junior secondary vacancies out west depending on how many are released from their 6 month locks.
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Old 12-21-2022, 03:36 PM
  #34  
Furloughed Again?!
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Position: Boeing 737
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Originally Posted by Proximity;[url=tel:3557007
3557007[/url]]Now is that huge increase in Dallas gonna enough to push Zap out of Oakland?
Thanks for the well wishes, but I'm not based in OAK.

According to the SWAPA individual vacancy view there are 34 people ahead of me that have DAL as their #1 choice, and 29 in HOU.
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Old 12-21-2022, 04:39 PM
  #35  
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Originally Posted by hoover
itll be interesting. January is a good month to go to training I think. Maybe we'll see a few more bypassers take the plunge and go. I would think it might hit a 114k# but I think they'll be more 80-90 k people.
114k? That is some wishful thinking. It has barely cracked the 107s. With zero Oakland vacancies and a prime training month, this one is going to go relatively senior (108k). Give it a couple of months and if they keep executing like this, I would expect to see a pretty big dip.
Of course, a lot of those etops locks are expiring next month too, so maybe a few junior oaklanders will sneak in as others move east now that they are released from their island prison.

I am very interested to see what the SWAPA vacancy prediction looks like.
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Old 12-21-2022, 04:44 PM
  #36  
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Originally Posted by e6bpilot
114k? That is some wishful thinking. It has barely cracked the 107s. With zero Oakland vacancies and a prime training month, this one is going to go relatively senior (108k). Give it a couple of months and if they keep executing like this, I would expect to see a pretty big dip.
Of course, a lot of those etops locks are expiring next month too, so maybe a few junior oaklanders will sneak in as others move east now that they are released from their island prison.

I am very interested to see what the SWAPA vacancy prediction looks like.
yeah 114 does seem too optimistic. I'll change my guess to 110k
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Old 12-21-2022, 07:05 PM
  #37  
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Originally Posted by hoover
yeah 114 does seem too optimistic. I'll change my guess to 110k
I’m betting on 116xxx and around Oct 2015 DOH just based on percentages…
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Old 12-21-2022, 07:09 PM
  #38  
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Originally Posted by jetset
I’m betting on 116xxx and around Oct 2015 DOH just based on percentages…
Gutsiest move I ever saw, Mav….
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Old 12-21-2022, 07:26 PM
  #39  
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Originally Posted by e6bpilot
114k? That is some wishful thinking. It has barely cracked the 107s. With zero Oakland vacancies and a prime training month, this one is going to go relatively senior (108k). Give it a couple of months and if they keep executing like this, I would expect to see a pretty big dip.
Of course, a lot of those etops locks are expiring next month too, so maybe a few junior oaklanders will sneak in as others move east now that they are released from their island prison.

I am very interested to see what the SWAPA vacancy prediction looks like.
Once we hit Oct ‘14, there’s a 9 month gap in hiring to July ‘15. I think the most jr now is a June ‘14? So we’re close to ‘15 hires depending on who bypasses.

I’ve talked to a bunch of guys in the ‘14-15 hire range who are bypassing because the QOL is too good with young kids and they don’t want to commute to weekend reserve.

Will see if they were blowing smoke up my rear in the next 4-6 mos…..I’m a late ‘15 and I’m guessing I’ll have an extended DAL stay before June.
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Old 12-22-2022, 08:25 AM
  #40  
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Initial vacancy projection shows junior captain award being 846x...that's a high 114k employee number
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