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Old 11-02-2021, 05:53 PM
  #981  
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Raven Careers says AA is hiring 440 pilots before the end of the year.
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Old 11-03-2021, 04:01 AM
  #982  
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They gonna flow 300 of them?
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Old 11-12-2021, 06:22 PM
  #983  
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There is a video in your company inbox with upgrade numbers for 2022 significantly revised downwards compared to the numbers our leaders were throwing out just a few weeks ago. I'm guessing our instructor issues are the cause of this...I would have never believed that Southwest would let hiring/retaining instructors get to the point where it would constrain plans, but here we are.

Meanwhile at United, there is the potential for Captain positions to remain unfilled in their next bid, leading theoretically to street Captain positions. Something to think about for those coming to class soon or among the more junior.
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Old 11-12-2021, 06:27 PM
  #984  
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Originally Posted by Proximity
There is a video in your company inbox with upgrade numbers for 2022 significantly revised downwards compared to the numbers our leaders were throwing out just a few weeks ago. I'm guessing our instructor issues are the cause of this...I would have never believed that Southwest would let hiring/retaining instructors get to the point where it would constrain plans, but here we are.

Meanwhile at United, there is the potential for Captain positions to remain unfilled in their next bid, leading theoretically to street Captain positions. Something to think about for those coming to class soon or among the more junior.
I didn’t take take that video as a downward revision. More it’s what they can commit to today based on current capacity. With the goal of 1400/1000 still remaining. “*subject to change” was added for a reason. They know they are up against an instructor issue…
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Old 11-12-2021, 06:41 PM
  #985  
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I was figuring more like 700. But that’s still a good number.
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Old 11-12-2021, 08:53 PM
  #986  
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Originally Posted by Proximity
There is a video in your company inbox with upgrade numbers for 2022 significantly revised downwards compared to the numbers our leaders were throwing out just a few weeks ago. I'm guessing our instructor issues are the cause of this...I would have never believed that Southwest would let hiring/retaining instructors get to the point where it would constrain plans, but here we are.

Meanwhile at United, there is the potential for Captain positions to remain unfilled in their next bid, leading theoretically to street Captain positions. Something to think about for those coming to class soon or among the more junior.
UAL buddy said street captains can’t happen under the current CBA. Require hours at UAL which pretty much eliminates probies. 2nd yr is possible though if you hate yourself or live close to EWR/SFO
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Old 11-13-2021, 02:12 AM
  #987  
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Originally Posted by flyguy81
UAL buddy said street captains can’t happen under the current CBA. Require hours at UAL which pretty much eliminates probies. 2nd yr is possible though if you hate yourself or live close to EWR/SFO
Technically correct.

So big picture, upgrade time at United for the NorCal area....3 years and projected to go much lower.

Upgrade time for the same NorCal area at Southwest (no east coast early upgrade option here)...currently 10+ years but in an optimistic scenario, might fall to 6-7 years, mostly benefiting those hired at the beginning of the last hiring wave.
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Old 11-13-2021, 05:06 AM
  #988  
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Originally Posted by Proximity
Upgrade time for the same NorCal area at Southwest (no east coast early upgrade option here)...currently 10+ years but in an optimistic scenario, might fall to 6-7 years, mostly benefiting those hired at the beginning of the last hiring wave.
I’m usually an optimistic person. That last wave started December 2013, 8 years ago. There’s nearly 1,000 FOs senior to the first pilot in the last wave. 10+ year upgrades for the foreseeable future.
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Old 11-13-2021, 05:11 AM
  #989  
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Originally Posted by itsokimapilot
I’m usually an optimistic person. That last wave started December 2013, 8 years ago. There’s nearly 1,000 FOs senior to the first pilot in the last wave. 10+ year upgrades for the foreseeable future.
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Old 11-13-2021, 05:23 AM
  #990  
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But how many will commute to the west coast? Especially when premium will be easy for the foreseeable future?
Bypass numbers are still the deciding factor. I could see 7 year upgrades, I could also see 10 year upgrades.

Commuting to the west doesn’t seem appealing to a senior east of Phoenix FO doing 150 tfp without even thinking about It.
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