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Old 07-23-2021, 07:47 AM
  #531  
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Originally Posted by RJSAviator76
17 year upgrade, eh? Is that like 10 years to be a plug FO in ATL?
For him its 17. I looked at mine with 6 more months until all EXTOS are back, and then 0% seniority list growth and I would hit 60% system seniority around early to mid 2025. So we got that going for us!
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Old 07-23-2021, 08:23 AM
  #532  
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Originally Posted by ZapBrannigan
There's a 2010 hire on the SWAPA forum who is looking at a 17 year upgrade and brings up some pretty good points as to why the rumors from check airmen and chief pilots may not truly come to fruition. I don't think he is being pessimistic, but rather pragmatic considering the 1000 pilots who had bypassed prior to the pandemic and the contradiction between rumors and aircraft orders and plans announced in the Q2 earnings call.
The pilot in the SWAPA forums has some justification for being bitter. He would have been a Captain if it weren't for the MAX issues then COVID.

However, I disagree with everything he says. He's going to have the opportunity to upgrade very soon if he chooses.
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Old 07-23-2021, 08:41 AM
  #533  
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Originally Posted by ZapBrannigan
There's a 2010 hire on the SWAPA forum who is looking at a 17 year upgrade and brings up some pretty good points as to why the rumors from check airmen and chief pilots may not truly come to fruition. I don't think he is being pessimistic, but rather pragmatic considering the 1000 pilots who had bypassed prior to the pandemic and the contradiction between rumors and aircraft orders and plans announced in the Q2 earnings call.
If absolutely zero growth or additional retirements happen in the next SIX years. Highly unlikely.
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Old 07-23-2021, 08:42 AM
  #534  
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Originally Posted by ZapBrannigan
For him its 17. I looked at mine with 6 more months until all EXTOS are back, and then 0% seniority list growth and I would hit 60% system seniority around early to mid 2025. So we got that going for us!

Wow!! 0% growth! Optimism…

Come on dude… gotta Eeyore this thing up a bit and put something like -3% or -4%.

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Old 07-23-2021, 08:59 AM
  #535  
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Originally Posted by jetset
If absolutely zero growth or additional retirements happen in the next SIX years. Highly unlikely.
I'm pretty sure (by context) that he is using myseniority.com. That takes into account age 65 retirements.
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Old 07-23-2021, 09:06 AM
  #536  
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Originally Posted by ZapBrannigan
I'm pretty sure (by context) that he is using myseniority.com. That takes into account age 65 retirements.
I meant no additional (early) retirements, medical out, etc.
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Old 07-23-2021, 09:20 AM
  #537  
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Originally Posted by ZapBrannigan
I'm pretty sure (by context) that he is using myseniority.com. That takes into account age 65 retirements.
According to mysenority, he will be in the mid 40s system seniority by the time he has 17 years in at the company, if you set it to 0% growth.
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Old 07-23-2021, 11:15 AM
  #538  
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Originally Posted by Proximity
According to mysenority, he will be in the mid 40s system seniority by the time he has 17 years in at the company, if you set it to 0% growth.
how about age 70?
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Old 07-23-2021, 11:39 AM
  #539  
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Originally Posted by Psycho18th;[url=tel:3267889
3267889[/url]]how about age 70?

Age 70 will just add 5 years to upgrade since most of those approaching 65 will stay around longer. Other than those who will medically dequal, it won’t help with upgrades.
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Old 07-23-2021, 11:43 AM
  #540  
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Originally Posted by Proximity
The pilot in the SWAPA forums has some justification for being bitter. He would have been a Captain if it weren't for the MAX issues then COVID.

However, I disagree with everything he says. He's going to have the opportunity to upgrade very soon if he chooses.

Yeah same here. 2010-12 were bad years to get hired. Lots of stagnation and then the double whammy max and COVID right when they were in the window to upgrade.

That was the group of pilots who had to commute cross country to OAK for 2-3 years.

If you look at the organic employee numbers on the seniority list vs date of hire, that group definitely took it in the shorts for many reasons. Very little hiring and then zero hiring from MAR 2012 to DEC 2013.
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