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Old 06-08-2021, 02:33 PM
  #441  
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I’m PHX based. I’ll do a junior upgrade to the west side. Screw it.
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Old 06-08-2021, 02:53 PM
  #442  
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I’ll cross that bridge when I get to it, but I’m not necessarily opposed to commuting to a west coast base for an earlier upgrade. Nor am I opposed to the six-month bid lock for ETOPS flying. But as an early 2017 hire I think it’ll be a while. That said, with the proposed growth, VSPs and a trickle of attrition it may happen sooner than we think, especially if Hawaii flying booms. Let’s hope the aviation recovery continues to be strong.

From where I live commuting to LAX wouldn’t be that hard.
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Old 06-08-2021, 02:56 PM
  #443  
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Originally Posted by flyguy81
I’ll take the first upgrade in my base. I won’t commute to another time zone or to a Etops seat lock. Getting premium now is like shooting fish in a barrel with a bazooka. There’s gonna be plenty of people who bypass for QOL.
let's not let the easy premium get to our head while negotiating a contract. That is what has happened in the past and why they negotiated at 108tfp instead of the guarantee we all have been sitting on for the last yr.
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Old 06-08-2021, 02:59 PM
  #444  
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Originally Posted by saab2000
As long as nobody loses seniority or longevity I don’t know that anyone would care. At least I won’t. If I get recalled for September or October I assume I’ll get paid regular pay whether I’m working or not. If not, that’s OK too. I signed up for 5 years. Any earlier recall is financially to my benefit. Any delay means I get partial pay for no work. Seems like a win/win, at least for me.

For those who actually expected the full time I suppose it’s not great. But the deal was a 30 day recall notice, so it’s not like we didn’t know what we were agreeing to.
didnt something come out that if recalled and waiting for training you dont get guarantee you get what you've worked/trained?
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Old 06-08-2021, 03:21 PM
  #445  
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Originally Posted by hoover
didnt something come out that if recalled and waiting for training you dont get guarantee you get what you've worked/trained?
Based on a recent SWAPA email this seems to be correct. We’ll see what happens. Meanwhile, I’ll enjoy the time off. I think we will all be back plenty soon.
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Old 06-08-2021, 03:29 PM
  #446  
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Originally Posted by hoover
didnt something come out that if recalled and waiting for training you dont get guarantee you get what you've worked/trained?
Based on the CA's experience I just flew with, you'll be paid LG for the month. Any flying you pick up after training is complete will just reduce the LG they pay you. So he basically flew a couple legs for free, unintentionally. Not sure if that's changed but it sounds like a fairly recent deal.
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Old 06-08-2021, 04:54 PM
  #447  
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Min guarantee or training plus trips flown, whatever is more. No incentive to pick up unless you train early in the month and are at/over guarantee with training and remaining flying…unless you just enjoy working for no extra pay…kinda the antithesis of anyone who took ExTO.
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Old 06-08-2021, 09:25 PM
  #448  
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Originally Posted by hoover
let's not let the easy premium get to our head while negotiating a contract. That is what has happened in the past and why they negotiated at 108tfp instead of the guarantee we all have been sitting on for the last yr.
I agree. Raise the pay or guarantee or both. Trips in open time need to be rigged. Premium should happen on duty rigged days. Medical needs fixed. Paid parking. Among other things.

I won’t turn away easy money while it’s here though.
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Old 06-09-2021, 02:37 AM
  #449  
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Been doing some napkin math:

Retirements:

2021: 67
2022: 126
2023: 174

Aircraft Orders / Retirements / Net Gain
2022: 104 / 15 (estimate) / 89
2023: 100 / 30 (estimate) / 70

Additional Pilots Required (2021 hiring folded into 2022 estimates):
2022 - (89 * 13) + (67 + 126) = 1,350
2023 - (70 * 13) + 174 = 1,084

Currently we have 9100 pilots.

Hypothetical seniority of a very pessimistic 2014 hire today - 65%

At the end of 2022 - 57%
At the end of 2023 - 50%

By the end of 2023 we should be upgrading pilots hired in 2017, or 6 year upgrades. I'm going to assume if times are good, the most junior captain will 62% seniority.

Last edited by Proximity; 06-09-2021 at 02:58 AM.
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Old 06-09-2021, 03:39 AM
  #450  
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Originally Posted by Proximity
Been doing some napkin math:

Retirements:

2021: 67
2022: 126
2023: 174

Aircraft Orders / Retirements / Net Gain
2022: 104 / 15 (estimate) / 89
2023: 100 / 30 (estimate) / 70

Additional Pilots Required (2021 hiring folded into 2022 estimates):
2022 - (89 * 13) + (67 + 126) = 1,350
2023 - (70 * 13) + 174 = 1,084

Currently we have 9100 pilots.

Hypothetical seniority of a very pessimistic 2014 hire today - 65%

At the end of 2022 - 57%
At the end of 2023 - 50%

By the end of 2023 we should be upgrading pilots hired in 2017, or 6 year upgrades. I'm going to assume if times are good, the most junior captain will 62% seniority.

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