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Old 05-20-2021, 06:55 AM
  #321  
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Originally Posted by ZapBrannigan
You want some varsity level Eeyore stuff? Even with 1000 new hires and a 1000 upgrades in the next 24 months, it's only about a 6% increase in relative seniority.

Not enough to switch seats by the 10 year point, which means you my friend are still on the hook for a big meal and some cold ones.




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Sorry? We are 9014 pilots right now. With 18 retirements next month alone. So basically let’s say 8950 by the time the first new hire sets on property. Add 1000 pilots and we are still below the 9890 pilots we had prior to everything stopping. Then let’s add 323 pilots retiring in the next 24 months that 1323. For sake of argument let’s do 1323 by 8950. That’s roughly 15% movement in our list with 0 growth. Meaning just getting back to our previous size!! So what are you basing your math on? Just curious ?
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Old 05-20-2021, 07:05 AM
  #322  
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Originally Posted by Zman81
Sorry? We are 9014 pilots right now. With 18 retirements next month alone. So basically let’s say 8950 by the time the first new hire sets on property. Add 1000 pilots and we are still below the 9890 pilots we had prior to everything stopping. Then let’s add 323 pilots retiring in the next 24 months that 1323. For sake of argument let’s do 1323 by 8950. That’s roughly 15% movement in our list with 0 growth. Meaning just getting back to our previous size!! So what are you basing your math on? Just curious ?

So basically what you're saying is you're going boat shopping this afternoon
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Old 05-20-2021, 07:34 AM
  #323  
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Originally Posted by Caveman
So basically what you're saying is you're going boat shopping this afternoon

I am already a captain just not far from the bottom plug. I want to see upgrades just as much as you guys do. But to help I need them to go junior to the bulk of the bypassing FO’s
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Old 05-20-2021, 07:43 AM
  #324  
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Originally Posted by Zman81
Sorry? We are 9014 pilots right now. With 18 retirements next month alone. So basically let’s say 8950 by the time the first new hire sets on property. Add 1000 pilots and we are still below the 9890 pilots we had prior to everything stopping. Then let’s add 323 pilots retiring in the next 24 months that 1323. For sake of argument let’s do 1323 by 8950. That’s roughly 15% movement in our list with 0 growth. Meaning just getting back to our previous size!! So what are you basing your math on? Just curious ?
I looked at my system seniority today (in the mid 60s%)
Then I just took the 9014 and added 1000. Rounded to 10,000 for simplicity.
Took my current seniority number from the SWAPA seniority snapshot and divided it by 10,000 (#5XXX / 10,000)

Ended up with something just shy of 60% so, for me in particular, just about a 5% improvement. I admittedly didn't get as granular as you did. If I'm mathing wrong though, please correct me.
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Old 05-20-2021, 07:54 AM
  #325  
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Originally Posted by ZapBrannigan
I can't imagine the training center could handle more than about 1000 pilots per year but who knows? That would be full initials too which I don't believe the EXTOS will need.
We did 800+ new hires plus supporting upgrades in either 2017 or 2018 I believe, in the old training center. Our current training capability would be well over 1000+ new hires per year without even resorting to stuff like E periods.
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Old 05-20-2021, 07:54 AM
  #326  
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Old 05-20-2021, 08:06 AM
  #327  
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Originally Posted by RJSAviator76

So you're saying I might be able to hold a june or July vacation next year?


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Old 05-20-2021, 08:13 AM
  #328  
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Originally Posted by ZapBrannigan
So you're saying I might be able to hold a june or July vacation next year?


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No telling. But I do know you’ll be awarded captain before your 10th year on the property and buying BBQ and booze.
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Old 05-20-2021, 08:16 AM
  #329  
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Originally Posted by Salukidawg
Well see that’s your problem. Stay out of the CPO. When I get to my last flight the day I retire and the Chief comes out of his office. I want his last words to me to be, who are you again?
Ha! That was actually a question I got when I interviewed here. "If we called your chief pilot right now and asked about you, what would he say?"

"He'd say, 'Who?'"

Guess it worked.
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Old 05-20-2021, 08:30 AM
  #330  
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So if the rumor of new hires in Oct are true then when would the 500 ExTOs have to start training to get them all done? They cant even train the June ones in June. I still say upgrades in Sept and Oct, maybe a sprinkling of recalls in Nov then everyone back Jan/Feb with a new hire class at the end of Feb.
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