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Old 06-05-2016, 02:33 PM
  #1501  
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Originally Posted by jeffpete
Any idea how long it would take to hold LAX? Not too worried about sitting reserve forever, so long as I live in base.
One of my CRJ classmates bid for LAX and got it one month and a half after completing IOE (last month). I would say your chances of bidding for it successfully and receiving it within less than a year are fairly good ceteris paribus.
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Old 06-05-2016, 02:48 PM
  #1502  
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Originally Posted by Apokleros
One of my CRJ classmates bid for LAX and got it one month and a half after completing IOE (last month). I would say your chances of bidding for it successfully and receiving it within less than a year are fairly good ceteris paribus.
Doesn't sound so bad. Thanks for the info!
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Old 06-05-2016, 03:42 PM
  #1503  
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Originally Posted by JB22
I wish it was a myth. Unfortunately, United has a boat load of 737s and Airbus coming to replace regional flying, and specifically many of the crjs. So it's only a matter of time now and not if but when. On the united videos that we can watch, they outline the plan. So I'm thinking my upgrade will be a while.

United et al have jets coming because they know their regional partners can't staff their fleet. The -200 is the new Brasilia. SkyWest will keep it flying because they make money on them and we'll keep flying as many as we can staff. Although some -700 are being parked or brought to other paint, there is no scope limit on the 50 seaters. You and others keep saying the sky is falling, but it's not. If you want a pilot job, you can have a pilot job. In other words, SkyWest will shrink, not because of what United tells us what to fly. We'll shrink when we can't find enough pilots. At least until the next big economic downturn.


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Old 06-05-2016, 05:24 PM
  #1504  
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New Guy here,

I currently live in Houston & hoping to hold IAH eventually, but some have warned me it is a shrinking base and that alot of the 700s are leaving IAH and leading to a possible closure eventually. (I don't necessarily hope to hold IAH for a CA upgrade one day, but my goal is to live on base here at least while im an FO).

What are my best resources for understanding base shrinkage?
...I've heard many things from other friends warning me that trying to hold IAH is a dumb thing to do (1 SLC Skywest FO, a few envoy guys, and a mutual friend at Delta)... honestly i'm just not even sure what to look for or what questions to ask when considering whether trying to hold a line at IAH is a poor decision or not. Any help?

(yes I used search function, only found page 18 of this thread and one other page of relevance).

Thanks in advance, and sorry if this was a stupid question.
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Old 06-05-2016, 06:02 PM
  #1505  
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Originally Posted by Tom Kazansky
New Guy here,

I currently live in Houston & hoping to hold IAH eventually, but some have warned me it is a shrinking base and that alot of the 700s are leaving IAH and leading to a possible closure eventually. (I don't necessarily hope to hold IAH for a CA upgrade one day, but my goal is to live on base here at least while im an FO).

What are my best resources for understanding base shrinkage?
...I've heard many things from other friends warning me that trying to hold IAH is a dumb thing to do (1 SLC Skywest FO, a few envoy guys, and a mutual friend at Delta)... honestly i'm just not even sure what to look for or what questions to ask when considering whether trying to hold a line at IAH is a poor decision or not. Any help?

(yes I used search function, only found page 18 of this thread and one other page of relevance).

Thanks in advance, and sorry if this was a stupid question.
It's hard to say. There's always Mesa and ExpressJet if you really want IAH. I've also heard that IAH is going to remain open, albeit a very small base. This is to be certain to cover any flying one of our competitors can't do.
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Old 06-05-2016, 06:36 PM
  #1506  
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So 12 guys you have flown with in a pilot group are complaining about not getting called? Sorry man but 3 months is nothing and the amount of people you have flown with is a minuscule percentage of the entire pilot group. People are getting hired right and left. I just got a class date and I'm an FO with no military. The hiring is happening.
Originally Posted by Apokleros
I find this rather hard to believe. I will admit that I am new to SkyWest, but going into three months of flying here, captains that have thousands of hours of turbojet time are struggling to get a call from a major if they are not prior military-pilots.
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Old 06-05-2016, 06:37 PM
  #1507  
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Originally Posted by Tom Kazansky
New Guy here,

I currently live in Houston & hoping to hold IAH eventually, but some have warned me it is a shrinking base and that alot of the 700s are leaving IAH and leading to a possible closure eventually. (I don't necessarily hope to hold IAH for a CA upgrade one day, but my goal is to live on base here at least while im an FO).

What are my best resources for understanding base shrinkage?
...I've heard many things from other friends warning me that trying to hold IAH is a dumb thing to do (1 SLC Skywest FO, a few envoy guys, and a mutual friend at Delta)... honestly i'm just not even sure what to look for or what questions to ask when considering whether trying to hold a line at IAH is a poor decision or not. Any help?

(yes I used search function, only found page 18 of this thread and one other page of relevance).

Thanks in advance, and sorry if this was a stupid question.
You can get Houston for now but who knows the future of the base? It's the only united hub we have that doesn't have 175's so it wouldn't be hard to see them bringing a few there.

Do not go to Mesa. That is a 50% pay cut compared to here.
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Old 06-05-2016, 07:01 PM
  #1508  
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Originally Posted by saxman66
United et al have jets coming because they know their regional partners can't staff their fleet. The -200 is the new Brasilia. SkyWest will keep it flying because they make money on them and we'll keep flying as many as we can staff. Although some -700 are being parked or brought to other paint, there is no scope limit on the 50 seaters. You and others keep saying the sky is falling, but it's not. If you want a pilot job, you can have a pilot job. In other words, SkyWest will shrink, not because of what United tells us what to fly. We'll shrink when we can't find enough pilots. At least until the next big economic downturn.


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And.........your wrong.

50 seaters are capped at 90% of the total narrow body fleet. ~475 total, that's if the whole UAX fleet was 50 seaters but it's not. So for every 76 seater, roughly ~2 50 seaters get removed. There is also a cap on the total RJs based on the total narrow body fleet.

The fact that JB22 watched the united network planning videos tells me he's not much of a troll at all. FYI the current plan is to shrink the RJ flying by 30% over the next 5 years and in a month or 2 there will be no RJs flying bewtween UAL hubs. Keep trolling the the lifers JB22!
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Old 06-05-2016, 07:19 PM
  #1509  
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Originally Posted by UALfoLIFE
And.........your wrong.

50 seaters are capped at 90% of the total narrow body fleet. ~475 total, that's if the whole UAX fleet was 50 seaters but it's not. So for every 76 seater, roughly ~2 50 seaters get removed. There is also a cap on the total RJs based on the total narrow body fleet.

The fact that JB22 watched the united network planning videos tells me he's not much of a troll at all. FYI the current plan is to shrink the RJ flying by 30% over the next 5 years and in a month or 2 there will be no RJs flying bewtween UAL hubs. Keep trolling the the lifers JB22!
I stand corrected. Where are these videos? I can't find them on Skynet.
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Old 06-05-2016, 07:19 PM
  #1510  
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Originally Posted by UALfoLIFE
And.........your wrong.

50 seaters are capped at 90% of the total narrow body fleet. ~475 total, that's if the whole UAX fleet was 50 seaters but it's not. So for every 76 seater, roughly ~2 50 seaters get removed. There is also a cap on the total RJs based on the total narrow body fleet.

The fact that JB22 watched the united network planning videos tells me he's not much of a troll at all. FYI the current plan is to shrink the RJ flying by 30% over the next 5 years and in a month or 2 there will be no RJs flying bewtween UAL hubs. Keep trolling the the lifers JB22!

That may all be true.

But why would anyone stop the RJ flying as long as it can be staffed, there is gate space and there are new routes where marginal revenue exceeds marginal cost?

Many former RJ routes may go mainline. But there are plenty of Nowhere Nebraskas out there that an RJ can and will go to. Just look at all the EAS locations. So the 50 sweaters will just go lower down the foot chain but they won't go away.

And while UA or DL may not be really all that interested, SKYW can do it as at-risk flying. Just look at the service to places like DVL. I doubt it is high on the UA route strategy but we serve it under the UA brand.... Plenty of more DVL out there that can be served.

As long as there is no scope limitation they will stay around...

Having said that, more mainline jobs are great for everyone.
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