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Old 05-18-2018, 05:30 AM
  #10811  
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Originally Posted by amcnd
Attrition numbers are higher then normal because we have a big pilot group. Average 80 people leaving a month. For a 4500 count pilot group is about what they forecasted when we had 1500 pilots. 20~% attrition . Thats the plan going forward. Training plans to go on indefinitely. You can’t stop like a smaller 600 count pilot group for a few months. Won’t work. And they know it.
Size is unrelated. We have a larger pilot group but also a larger training capacity than others. Bottom line is we are currently losing more than we are hiring.
Honestly the best thing that can happen in my opinion is that the TA next week is a flop. I’m looking forward to the straw that breaks the camels back.
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Old 05-18-2018, 06:34 AM
  #10812  
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Originally Posted by RemoveB4Flight
Size is unrelated. We have a larger pilot group but also a larger training capacity than others. Bottom line is we are currently losing more than we are hiring.
Honestly the best thing that can happen in my opinion is that the TA next week is a flop. I’m looking forward to the straw that breaks the camels back.
I totally agree. I've stopped picking up open time from the company, just pilots offering trips so they can get time off. When scheduling calls on my day off, I don't answer (I'm kinda afraid I'll say something inappropriate). I'm sure there will be an increasing number of crew cancellations, that will coincide with some crazy weather phenomenon.

March and April is the first time our pilot count has gone down ever, as I recall. The TA will be heavily weighted to the new hire and thanks to SAPA it will go through. I too am hoping it will be voted down but I've never seen this pilot group have the back bone to stand up for them selves. Right now the tide is swelling to consistent attrition and I'm sure management is concerned.
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Old 05-18-2018, 07:53 AM
  #10813  
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Originally Posted by Check Complete
The TA will be heavily weighted to the new hire and thanks to SAPA it will go through. I too am hoping it will be voted down but I've never seen this pilot group have the back bone to stand up for them selves. Right now the tide is swelling to consistent attrition and I'm sure management is concerned.
It took us 3 years and a loss of 20% of our pilot pool with IBT to get a good contract. It takes quite a lot to shake the bean counters into submission. I hope you're right but I'm guessing your shareholders will completely swap your executive team before any significant raises come through for the group that matters.
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Old 05-18-2018, 07:58 AM
  #10814  
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Originally Posted by boschpilot
It took us 3 years and a loss of 20% of our pilot pool with IBT to get a good contract. It takes quite a lot to shake the bean counters into submission. I hope you're right but I'm guessing your shareholders will completely swap your executive team before any significant raises come through for the group that matters.


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Old 05-18-2018, 08:57 AM
  #10815  
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Originally Posted by boschpilot
It took us 3 years and a loss of 20% of our pilot pool with IBT to get a good contract. It takes quite a lot to shake the bean counters into submission. I hope you're right but I'm guessing your shareholders will completely swap your executive team before any significant raises come through for the group that matters.


Seconded. My thoughts are similar; when an exec team has a vision and are compensated as much as they are, they are basically betting their jobs that they’re right. Hence no notable compromise on pay rates.
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Old 05-18-2018, 12:32 PM
  #10816  
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Rumor, there will be no significant changes until people stop showing for new hire class. Also said several hundred Aussies lined up in the pipeline, hard to believe but might have some validity.
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Old 05-18-2018, 01:02 PM
  #10817  
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Originally Posted by trip
Rumor, there will be no significant changes until people stop showing for new hire class. Also said several hundred Aussies lined up in the pipeline, hard to believe but might have some validity.
This ^^^^^ I fully believe.

We will never get any where close to Endeavor or Republic.

Because management would have to come up with the money, which they would hate to do because it shows the necessity of pilots. But mostly because it would signal they made a mistake in their judgement and that scares them more than anything.
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Old 05-19-2018, 05:41 AM
  #10818  
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Originally Posted by trip
Rumor, there will be no significant changes until people stop showing for new hire class. Also said several hundred Aussies lined up in the pipeline, hard to believe but might have some validity.
They could have thousands, but it really doesn't matter. The visa and steps Aussies have to go through to get over here takes years. Even if they had some ready to come now, only a handful make it into each new hire class. There were 3 in my class - 1 washed out - and was then heading to PHX to try to get an interview at Mesaba before she had to leave the country.

I also think we're still bringing in a decent new hire size because of the new ATL base. The only other option for ATL is Endeavor and they've even stopped interviewing, much less having class dates 6+ months in advance.
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Old 05-19-2018, 06:09 AM
  #10819  
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I’m starting to think that we have a really safety issue on our hands with English being a second language and accents impeding communication with so many new hires.

I rarely have a guy in the left seat I can’t understand but on the radio I’ve noticed things are getting muddied.
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Old 05-19-2018, 06:25 AM
  #10820  
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Originally Posted by E6BAV8R
They could have thousands, but it really doesn't matter. The visa and steps Aussies have to go through to get over here takes years. Even if they had some ready to come now, only a handful make it into each new hire class. There were 3 in my class - 1 washed out - and was then heading to PHX to try to get an interview at Mesaba before she had to leave the country.

I also think we're still bringing in a decent new hire size because of the new ATL base. The only other option for ATL is Endeavor and they've even stopped interviewing, much less having class dates 6+ months in advance.
Really? I was told that the US has an agreement with the government of Australia that allows quick and easy work visas for Australians wanting to work in the US, and vice versa. Many US regionals have recruiting efforts in Australia looking for pilots. I wouldn’t think that would happen if it took years.

Given that Australia has a population smaller than the State of Texas, 3 Aussies in a class from half way around the world sounds like a lot of pilots for a new hire class.

And, I am also pretty sure your washed out classmate got the job at Mesa.

Last edited by calmwinds; 05-19-2018 at 06:39 AM.
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