Would Skywest Sell ExpressJet?
#92
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jul 2008
Posts: 4,252
ASA contract says that whenever Skywest transfers an rj to Skywest from ASA, 5 crews must go with them after the first transfer. Hey Jerry, go ahead and transfer all of them...... I will gladly jump west and play nice out there. This merger doesn't sound really promising. What are SAPA dues?
#93
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jul 2013
Posts: 611
ASA contract says that whenever Skywest transfers an rj to Skywest from ASA, 5 crews must go with them after the first transfer. Hey Jerry, go ahead and transfer all of them...... I will gladly jump west and play nice out there. This merger doesn't sound really promising. What are SAPA dues?
Aircraft come off lease, SkyWest starts a new lease, no pilots come with them. The contract can't cover everything. Inc left themselves a loophole.
#97
On Reserve
Thread Starter
Joined APC: Feb 2011
Posts: 23
Originally Posted by Bucking Bar
I would estimate, just for the chunk you seem interested in, around $500,000,000 would be needed for adequate capitalization. With the sort of risk premium investors like myself are used to getting (and admittedly I do not play on this level, you're talking a cost of capital around 25% ... that's some pretty frothy numbers for a business model which is getting pressed by economics on the bottom end, a looming pilot shortage and mainline partners who are squeezing their contractors harder than ever). Even Alaska airlines is probably getting out on thin ice with their model as they find themselves squeezed between Delta and American.
Maybe you can elaborate on where the $25 billion or so in capex Delta (let alone United) has put into their express structures. While Delta's been willing to write off $7.5 billion or so in bankruptcy and consolidation, any future write downs would hit the reported bottom line. I'm not sure how that magic act is going to be pulled off.
Originally Posted by Bucking Bar
Also, just as with the major's 10-K reports, I do not know how you break down pass through costs in your evaluation. Last year Delta reported $0.8b profit on $6.43b revenue on express for a roughly 12.5% ROR ... not bad, but who knows what lines fuel, landing fees, rents and some labor fall on.*
Originally Posted by Bucking Bar
Whoever ends up managing the express operations is going to be in a challenging environment until the likes of Atkin, Bedford and co begin acting like their business is the oligopoly it can be. Of course, the majors will react by insourcing if that happens.
Originally Posted by Bucking Bar
Branded operations are a non starter unless the airline refleets to something like the CSeries or 737NG. Either way, those are some expensive payments to make without any loyalty program to juice revenues.
Originally Posted by Bucking Bar
Like you, I think the Continental and Delta operations should be split and restructured. Atkin probably would have been well advised to consolidate ASA into Skywest, thus diluting the labor issues and keep the separate type specific UCAL operation. In either case, having an alter ego to whipsaw against and to firewall assets makes management sense (even if it is horrible for labor).
Originally Posted by Bucking Bar
I maintain that DCI is a core business for Delta. Last year Delta reported that DCI was .8b of it's 2.7b operating profit (roughly 30%). As we saw with Pinnacle, Delta runs out with a fire hose whenever a part of their network is threatened unexpectedly.
#98
On Reserve
Thread Starter
Joined APC: Feb 2011
Posts: 23
ASA contract says that whenever Skywest transfers an rj to Skywest from ASA, 5 crews must go with them after the first transfer. Hey Jerry, go ahead and transfer all of them...... I will gladly jump west and play nice out there. This merger doesn't sound really promising. What are SAPA dues?
#99
On Reserve
Thread Starter
Joined APC: Feb 2011
Posts: 23
You are correct, but I would prefer that the pilots get the opportunity to follow the planes as long as they are willing to fly under OO terms. I am adamant about not having those aircraft on the property.
#100
You would not go West. Those RJs are primarily based in the East. Under my plan, OO would share or takeover some EV maintenance bases in the East to support those aircraft. You would stay where you are, except you would be working for OO instead of EV at a new ATL or DTW crew base. The ideal scenario is that ALL of the large RJ pilots go with those planes without having to start over financially. I would also like for OO to do all of the flying out of EWR so that it is easier to replace their own CRJs with 2 class E75s. I am not sure I can get either to happen.
But like I said before, good luck with your ERAU grad school paper. I hope you do well on it.
Thread
Thread Starter
Forum
Replies
Last Post