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Old 04-01-2012, 02:14 PM
  #61  
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Originally Posted by JetBlast77
We've been working under this contract for 8 years and posted a profit for 6 of those, how do you explain that? I hate to tell you buddy but you better start getting very worried if you really believe what youre saying, because there isnt a single person here that is willing to give any of this up. We have all the votes so what ASA wants doesnt matter. We cannot be forced into arbitration without our consent (which will never be given) so we'll work under this contract forever. Your attitude towards "staying in the black "is the exact reason why this industry is in the state its in. People kept saying it and saying it and before long regionals were created and so was the crap pay that comes along with them. But hey guys, what good is all this money if we're furloughing and downgrading? Give me an Fen break man. Im not giving another cent, there are plenty of other carrers worth our respect, im not going to keep giving and giving until i work 25 days and make 20K. Some of you people on here really make me sick.
Originally Posted by blastoff
With respect to your lack of knowledge (I know you guys at SKYW weren't privy to the inside baseball on what happened in 2008), SKYW Inc engineered XJT's losses 3 years prior to the current merger.

A quick glance at XJT’s 10K’s shows that XJT hasn’t turned a profit since 2006 and regardless of how you spin XJT’s 2008 contract it was your Mgmt. team that agreed to the terms in an effort to stand alone. Jerry and friends saw an investment opportunity and CAL schooled the two parties. In the end SkyWest is paying for it, literally. Besides XJT’s slide began a long time ago in 2005 when CAL pulled 69 jets and ExpressJet attempted branded operations. I admit it was a bold attempt and ExpressJet’s branded operations had a good model and product but many reason lead to its downfall.

As for your crap pay comments, I love how those who don't understand business go straight to an extreme. This business model will not support the average pilot making $200K/yr., but will support a sold wage for a subcontractor not $20K on 25 days of work. Just remember you're a subcontractor providing fee that mainline want's for the cheapest price. If you can't provide it they will give the flying to someone else who's cheaper (GoJet). Don’t believe me? Go just ask for 20% pay raises and see what happens.

Last edited by MatchPoint; 04-01-2012 at 02:41 PM.
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Old 04-01-2012, 02:19 PM
  #62  
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Originally Posted by drrhythm2
If you look at the trends we have been losing less and less money each year since 2007. Skywest has said on their quarterly call that they expect the Expressjet side to be profitable first quarter or at least second quarter 2012. We've been moving in the right direction for a while now, so I think your worries about us sinking the ship are unfounded. I think we lost $18 million last quarter, and skywest has $650+ million just in cash, so it would be a long time even at those rates before we put you in peril. But just remember, we are getting more efficient each quarter, and let's just see if the xjet/ASA side brings a profit first quarter. They should have that conference call mid April I think. Don't worry, all will be okay. Skywest Inc is well positioned overall in the industry.

I read a really neat article about why it was an under-the-radar genius move to buy Expressjet, and it has to do with our long term contract with Continental. It has to do with the eventual transition to larger RJ's and how we are contractually locked in to fly them when that transition occurs. Essentially, other companies can't bid on most of that flying when the inevitable happens. Anyway, I'm paraphrasing, but I'll find the article again and post the link here. I think it will make you feel better.
I agree with you and I hold no ill-will toward XJT, we're all subcontractors. At one time SkyWest had over $1B in the bank and had only lost money twice in its 40 year history. I hope the "New XJT" achieves the profitability Mgmt. thinks it will. I do feel at some point, not today or next year and probably long after I'm gone, but at some point they will have to merge us all.
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Old 04-01-2012, 03:10 PM
  #63  
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Originally Posted by MatchPoint
A quick glance at XJT’s 10K’s shows that XJT hasn’t turned a profit since 2006 and regardless of how you spin XJT’s 2008 contract it was your Mgmt. team that agreed to the terms in an effort to stand alone. Jerry and friends saw an investment opportunity and CAL schooled the two parties. In the end SkyWest is paying for it, literally. Besides XJT’s slide began a long time ago in 2005 when CAL pulled 69 jets and ExpressJet attempted branded operations. I admit it was a bold attempt and ExpressJet’s branded operations had a good model and product but many reason lead to its downfall.
And a quick glance at the industry over the same period shows that nobody besides Southwest and SkyWest fared much better than XJT. But for all the hemming and hawing about buying an "in the red" XJT by SKW and ASA folks, they played a part of that picture from the beginning, and that's no "Spin." If XJT was a money loser, the SKYW Management team wouldn't have tried to buy XJT twice. Despite the CPA not generating enough revenue, the one thing it did do was lock in 10 years of flying, something that guaranteed that XJT was not on "its last legs" as some would contend, and something that now makes SKYW not just a competitive bidder for UAL flying, but also a stakeholder in the eyes of UAL.
Originally Posted by MatchPoint
I do feel at some point, not today or next year and probably long after I'm gone, but at some point they will have to merge us all.
Agreed. Inc will either be profitable as 2 stand-alone carriers or it will have to be combined, it can be either way, but 5-8 years down the road I can't see them justifying to shareholders why the 2 must be separate with duplicate mgmt teams. Don't be shocked to see radically different 10K filings, especially once a JCBA is done. The SkyWest side also has Pro-Rate flying that will lose a lot of money this summer.

Last edited by blastoff; 04-01-2012 at 03:35 PM.
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Old 04-01-2012, 03:31 PM
  #64  
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Originally Posted by blastoff
Agreed. Inc will either be profitable as 2 stand-alone carriers or it will have to be combined, it can be either way, but 5-8 years down the road I can't see them justifying to shareholders why the 2 must be separate with duplicate mgmt teams. Don't be shocked to see radically different 10K filings, especially once a JCBA is done. The SkyWest side also has Pro-Rate flying that will lose a lot of money this summer.
Look how drastically the industry has changed in the last 5 years, even management doesn't know what the company will look like in 2015, they have a plan but with AMR in BK, United and Delta are likely to force changes upon their regionals!
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Old 04-01-2012, 03:36 PM
  #65  
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Originally Posted by MatchPoint
I agree with you and I hold no ill-will toward XJT, we're all subcontractors. At one time SkyWest had over $1B in the bank and had only lost money twice in its 40 year history. I hope the "New XJT" achieves the profitability Mgmt. thinks it will. I do feel at some point, not today or next year and probably long after I'm gone, but at some point they will have to merge us all.
I realize we are subcontractors. I wish we weren't, but skywest is moving in the right direction. We now control about 70% of the regional flying for United, a position that gives us additional leverage, and the economy of scale that comes from our size should also give us a competitive advantage. It's my hope that this will allow for reasonable, incremental improvements in our contract and pay. Not 20%, nothing outrageous, just a bump. There are things other than pilot pay that factor into the winning of contracts (performance, other labor groups, management competency, culture, safety record, etc), and if we can lead in those areas we should have a leg up as well.

Read this excellent post from back during the merger, especially the last few paragraphs. I think you might then see what we can bring to the table in terms of our contract with the new United. Essentially, by buying us Skywest has guaranteed their future and put themselves a leg up on most competitors for the next decade, at least in regards to being the biggest, most essential regional feed for the world's largest airline. It also provides a likely upgrade path to newer, larger RJ's down the road.

Besides, if management can find a way to pay us all a little better, that will serve them down the road as they try to compete for a new pipeline of pilots as (hopefully), the shortage begins to take hold. There's a cultural advantage as well to having a happier pilot group. Gordon Bethune understood the advantages of culture at the old Continental. I think Skywest management does as well. I hope.
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Old 04-01-2012, 03:52 PM
  #66  
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Originally Posted by What
Look how drastically the industry has changed in the last 5 years, even management doesn't know what the company will look like in 2015, they have a plan but with AMR in BK, United and Delta are likely to force changes upon their regionals!
I think that's a given, hence why everyone is trying to get bigger (RAH/PCL/SKYW)...to insulate against future losses and remove small competitors from contention, and be large enough to dictate the terms of some of these changes ahead.
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Old 04-01-2012, 07:54 PM
  #67  
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Originally Posted by Systemized
What about Go***? You could be a CRJ captain in twelve months from now.
Gotta sleep at night too though
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Old 04-01-2012, 09:50 PM
  #68  
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I'm not really sure why we're fighting... I've been riding in the js for the past several months on XJ. The guys (and gals) have been AWESOME. We are all in the same boat. We're just individual employees. We're all the same. We don't, and can't control what the company that we work for does, Individualy. That being said, cost does matter. I ran into a xj fo several months ago in ORD and we got to talking about the future. He asked how things were at Skywest and I said not to bad, although the company WE work for is losing money for the first time in I don't know how long. He said, and I quote, "don't worry about it, we lost money at XJ for years before we were broke, it'll be fine" I didn't really know what to say. Now, I'm sure he doesn't speak for everyone at XJ, I hope. But that mentality is a death sentence. No matter how much SKW, Inc has in the bank it WILL be gone if we don't control costs. I promise you that the airline with the lowest costs will see the growth, union or not. That is the ONE way we can control our future. Guys, do what you want over there, but remeber Skywest INC is in the this to make a profit. I talked to Chip in DEN the other day for the "road show" and he said that right now, they have "buyers remorse" over the XJ purchase, but hope that things will improve. Good luck to us all, to get onto the next step! Good night

Last edited by SkyWestPilot1; 04-01-2012 at 10:00 PM. Reason: correction
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Old 04-01-2012, 10:46 PM
  #69  
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I personally would not go to Skywest. They sound like PNCL.

3 airlines and a **** match over who is the one losing money, and what will likely be a merged seniority list at some point. Sounds like a great plan, wait till the guy running the places dies and his dumb ass adopted half retarded son takes over, and gives himself a 1 million $ a week raise.
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Old 04-02-2012, 04:32 AM
  #70  
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Originally Posted by SkyWestPilot1
I talked to Chip in DEN the other day for the "road show" and he said that right now, they have "buyers remorse" over the XJ purchase, but hope that things will improve.
Who is "Chip?"

If he isn't the CEO, CFO, or a board member, I don't think his opinion matters for much. Again, our value wasn't in immediate profitability. Any executive with half a brain that knows how to read a balance sheet and a cash flow statement wouldn't have expected to short term profit from buying xjet. Did you read the article I posted last time? The long term value is in our contracts and economies of scale. When does Skywest report first quarter financials? Let's see what those say.

FYI, Xjet has been on a cost-cutting program for several years now, with noticeable results. We've been getting leaner, just look at the trends. Now, if the ASA half can just somehow work a decent contract from Delta in the next few years, we'll be in business.

If you have not read the news, it looks like Pinnacle just filed for Chapter 11, and were saved by a loan from Delta. The only reason I can think of for Delta to do this is to keep another competitor in the arena, and specifically one that (should they emerge successfully) will have used the bankruptcy process to become artificially more competitive, and thus have a cheap airline to threaten their other carriers with. We'll see what happens.
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