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Old 03-21-2006, 08:09 PM
  #81  
ubermich
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rickair, i love you.
 
Old 03-22-2006, 05:31 AM
  #82  
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Originally Posted by rickair7777
It is highly unlikely that there will ever be a pilot shortage at the majors. Regionals maybe, if their pay keeps going to sh*t and this microjet thing really takes off.
I completely agree... there isn't likely going to be a shortage at the "majors." However there will likely be considerable consolidation among the majors over the next 5 years or so. When all the dust settles, we will probably only have 3 or 4 surviving "major" airlines.

Originally Posted by rickair7777
The US is unique pilot-wise in that we have a vast general aviation infrastructure that can rapidly produce CFIs in 6-8 months who become entry-level airline pilots in 1-2 years. This system has always been able to fill the void (minimums vary between 500 and 10,000 depending on the demand). No other nation has GA the way we do (the Aussies have a fair bit owing to geography). Light airplane ownership and operation is regulated and taxed to the point of non-existence in most of the world.

Many foriegn nations (including China & India) send their military and/or civilian pilot trainees to the US to participate in our GA system. You simply cannot gain operational experience in most other places.

The concept of bringing in wholesale quantities of foriegn pilots is ludicrous...congress wouldn't go for it on security issues alone, not to mention union and public perception. And even if you did, since most of them would be trained here anyway, they would quickly become americanized...they won't work for $1.25/h for long when they realize that their mortgage payment is $2,500.00/month.

The only realistic foriegn threat is cabotage, where a foriegn vessel or aircraft can provide US domestic service. This is actually illegal, and not likely to change soon (again, security & political issues).

I can understand your willingness to take an opportunity to do something that you have always wanted to, but don't come in with the attitude that you're going get it by taking shortcuts and undercutting the livelihoods of people who have worked for it and have familys to feed. That sort of individual is generally despised in this industry...you won't be welcome.
You have actually made my point very powerfully. Most of what I have read on these forums is a bunch of whining about how terrible things are in the airline industry epitomized by SkyHigh and to a lesser degree nearly everyone else. Constant belly aching over young pilots being given an opportunity to fly with low total flight hours. Criticizing new 121 pilots for being willing to work for relatively low starting wages and for having the audacity to accept a job when it is offered to them. However, that is where the industry cycle is right now. Airlines need to do whatever they have to do to survive this window of time. It would be foolish to whistle while Rome burns.

But the pendulum will swing in the near future and suddenly there will be a great shortage of pilots. Then wages and benefits will go up again. Suddenly thousands of high school seniors will be looking at an airline pilot career as their focus for the future... lured by all the headlines about the huge shortages in the airline industry.

Why should airline pilots be immune from the realities of our market economy? You can hold on to your 20 days off a month and $200G a year while the entire ship sinks into the abyss of bankrupt entities. Or you can understand the realities of market economics and step into the real world of corporate America.

If all you career pilots think you have the game figured out... why don't you exercise an employee led buyout of your airline? Collectively you should be able to pull the money together to buy controlling interest in any company you want. Then give yourselves any income and benefit level you want! Also, make sure you only hire guys who deserve to work for your airline... maybe set your minimums at about 10,000 hours of PIC. Give everyone 8 to 10 day flight maximums each month and start your salaries at $150G for FO's with comprehensive benefits packages and fully-funded pension plans. Lord knows that you don't make enough money to fund your own retirement plans. That should work out great!

Or you could count your blessings and realize that you have one of the best jobs in America, work productively with management to weather the storms of economic cycles and survive. Has anyone ever approached management with a deferred compensation plan? Exchange a large portion of your income package in exchange for stock in the company. Become an airline owner rather than an airline employee. Align your interests with the interests of management. In fact, if you had sufficient stock, you could vote that stock as a group and hold management accountable.
 
Old 03-22-2006, 05:50 AM
  #83  
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Originally Posted by Preacher
RealityCheck...



I have been a stock broker and financial advisor for many years. I am not going into the airline industry to have a sweet job working 8 to 14 days a month and make $200G a year. I am going into the airline industry because I love flying... even as a passenger. It will be a great joy to sit on the nose of such an amazing machine and launch skyward day after day.

.

Go buy your own airplane
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Old 03-22-2006, 06:04 AM
  #84  
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Originally Posted by crewdawg52
Go buy your own airplane
That has been a consideration... but buying the plane is only the beginning of the expense ledger. It costs a lot of money to fly those things. Especially jets.
 
Old 03-22-2006, 06:13 AM
  #85  
RealityCheck
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Originally Posted by Preacher

I am not going into the airline industry to have a sweet job working 8 to 14 days a month and make $200G a year. I am going into the airline industry because I love flying... even as a passenger. It will be a great joy to sit on the nose of such an amazing machine and launch skyward day after day.

Someone once said "Get a job doing what you truly love to do and you will never work a day in your life." I look forward to the day when I start getting paid to do what I have dreamed of my entire life.
Preacher, please don't take my comments earlier the wrong way. I simply challenged you to visit this forum again in 5 years, dig out your copy of your first message and give us a review of what you think.

I agree(d) with what you say above about 10 years ago. Today I just want day trips and be home with my wife and kids, sleep in my own bed and go to my hangar, pull out my 1957 V-tail and go fly on my terms. After being up and down in this business for as long as some of us have you realize that your quote should read "Get a job that pays you well so you can afford to do what you truly love."

Yes, I LOVE to fly as much as the next pilot, but in this "job" as an airline pilot only about 35% of my time at "work" is spent flying. The rest of the job is what wears you down over time. You are coming in with the right attitude, with life experience and a unique optimistic perspective. I really do hope that things fall into place for you. I am quite sure your background will give you the tools you need to manage your finacial situation better than many of us. I'll still be around in 5 years (god willing) so maybe, just maybe we'll sit on the pointy end together and talk face to face. I could use some retirement advice.
 
Old 03-22-2006, 06:26 AM
  #86  
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Originally Posted by RealityCheck
I'll still be around in 5 years (god willing) so maybe, just maybe we'll sit on the pointy end together and talk face to face. I could use some retirement advice.
I'd be happy to help. Maybe you could help steer me around the rocky shoals of this harbor as I get started...
 
Old 03-22-2006, 06:41 AM
  #87  
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Originally Posted by Preacher
I'd be happy to help. Maybe you could help steer me around the rocky shoals of this harbor as I get started...

HA! You should see how thick my glasses are anymore! Luckily I am friends with the local AME
 
Old 03-22-2006, 08:29 AM
  #88  
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Originally Posted by Preacher

Or you could count your blessings and realize that you have one of the best jobs in America, work productively with management to weather the storms of economic cycles and survive. Has anyone ever approached management with a deferred compensation plan? Exchange a large portion of your income package in exchange for stock in the company. Become an airline owner rather than an airline employee. Align your interests with the interests of management. In fact, if you had sufficient stock, you could vote that stock as a group and hold management accountable.
Ummm...I think United pilots did that a few years ago...pretty sure their stock got flushed during Ch.11. I have always avoided the stock of my current employer (except options) so as not to have all the eggs in one bucket. I am however all for the pilot's unions acquiring one or two seats on their companies' BOD.

I have extensive real world corporate experience...if I had 20 days off a month at the airline that would be beat the real world hands down...but I really get 10 days off a month, and I'm gone the rest of the time...I lose another day to recovering from the inevitable redeye shift at the end of a trip, and another day or two commuting...now I have 7 days off. Most of which I spend doing chores and projects around the house that I couldn't do while gone. I have essentially zero time to pursue any of my own interests.

Many jobs which involve time away from home work 50% on / 50% off...this should really be the baseline standard in the airline industry.

I'm not into whining, I'm spending time here trying to educate and rally new and old pilots to arrest the downward slide. The AMA does a fabulous job of limiting production of new MDs & DOs to keep salaries high. If it's ethical to control the number of available cardiac surgeons, then it's certainly ethical for us to limit the supply of pilots. We do have mechanisms to do this...many PFT pilots are having difficulty moving on to the majors because of their background. The new folks need to be made aware that, rightly or wrongly, PFT are getting the blame for the industry slide...and that if they are doing this in hopes of getting a major airline job someday, they had better get a CFI and work their way up.
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