Read this carefully
09-09-2015, 03:18 PM
#11
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Jan 2014
Posts: 244
What is failed to be realized is that most major airlines have already hired and ramped up their numbers to effectively carry them into the next handful of years to replace those retirements... We are talking plus 6 years atleast. There are currently a surplus of pilots that more than surpass the required pilot slots. This has even been acknowledged by ALPA.
09-09-2015, 03:36 PM
#12
On Reserve
Joined APC: Jun 2015
Position: EMB '75
Posts: 19
Exactly. Age 67 is a very simple reactive fix to kick the can just a little further down the road. We all know the airlines are more reactive than proactive. A little bribe to politicians can make things happen rather quickly. I think the same argument applies to trying to repeal the 1500 hour rule. Everyone says "That will never be repealed/changed! There's too much political risk!" However, if enough money is thrown at the politicians, they will bend & change the rule. If an accident were to happen, the politicians would put some spin on it & shed their liability. Especially if the pilots in the accident had more than 1500 hours.
09-09-2015, 04:42 PM
#15
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Aug 2014
Posts: 447
Couple these retirement numbers with any kind of economic growth and expansion of the airlines and you will see increased demand for pilots. Also corporate, fractional, and charter will be competing for pilots as they will experience retirements and growth as well. The next ten years will be a great time for the 20 and 30 something pilot crowd.
09-09-2015, 05:07 PM
#16
Prime Minister/Moderator
Joined APC: Jan 2006
Position: Engines Turn Or People Swim
Posts: 40,091
100 years out, based on cost, engineering, and regulatory issues. Add a few more years after that for public acceptance.
When all the big cargo planes are automated AND the military is flying personnel around in unmanned aircraft then you can start to consider alternate careers 20 years down the pike.
When all the big cargo planes are automated AND the military is flying personnel around in unmanned aircraft then you can start to consider alternate careers 20 years down the pike.
09-09-2015, 05:37 PM
#17
Banned
Joined APC: Nov 2013
Position: 7th green
Posts: 4,378
First it will be Age 67 then the Canadian model: No limit. Part 91/135 guys are doing it now, for goodness sake. What's the real difference between a geezer flying a fat cat in a Gulfstream and us flying the public? Except, perhaps, the geezer's airplane is more modern and pilot friendly that is.
09-09-2015, 06:03 PM
#18
Banned
Joined APC: Oct 2014
Posts: 2,137
100 years out, based on cost, engineering, and regulatory issues. Add a few more years after that for public acceptance.
When all the big cargo planes are automated AND the military is flying personnel around in unmanned aircraft then you can start to consider alternate careers 20 years down the pike.
When all the big cargo planes are automated AND the military is flying personnel around in unmanned aircraft then you can start to consider alternate careers 20 years down the pike.
09-09-2015, 06:14 PM
#19
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Nov 2009
Posts: 5,244
Billions of dollars to build one just to go from SFO to LA. This country is too big for trains to ever commercially compete in the speed/efficiency game with aviation. Local markets, maybe, but Amtrak is the best thing the airlines have going for them to prove their advantages.
09-09-2015, 06:21 PM
#20
Banned
Joined APC: Oct 2014
Posts: 2,137
Billions of dollars to build one just to go from SFO to LA. This country is too big for trains to ever commercially compete in the speed/efficiency game with aviation. Local markets, maybe, but Amtrak is the best thing the airlines have going for them to prove their advantages.
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