Eagle to hire 600+ in 2013!
#921
What in particular gives you that impression? We rank airlines all the time by what we read here and through other sources. That's what message boards are for in large part, helping pilots gather info on things they are interested in knowing some candid opinions about. Maybe you are assuming because one sent me home I home disfavor that one, but that is not necessarily the case.
#922
You are absolutely correct, when the supply is grater than the demand even people who do well and met all expectations are not hired as there aren't enough slots. In this case we are talking about a regional who has airplanes in storage because it can't staff them and the ones on the line are not flying as much (q400). They are offering 5k bonuses, if you show up and do well in the interview they will hire you, this wasn't the case where they couldn't put all bodies in class this was an instant where something didn't jive with the employer. Now united not hiring you is a different story as there is a huge disparity in the supply and demand curve there but RAH is the total opposite.
#923
What in particular gives you that impression? We rank airlines all the time by what we read here and through other sources. That's what message boards are for in large part, helping pilots gather info on things they are interested in knowing some candid opinions about. Maybe you are assuming because one sent me home I home disfavor that one, but that is not necessarily the case.
#924
Banned
Joined APC: Jun 2008
Posts: 8,350
What in particular gives you that impression? We rank airlines all the time by what we read here and through other sources. That's what message boards are for in large part, helping pilots gather info on things they are interested in knowing some candid opinions about. Maybe you are assuming because one sent me home I home disfavor that one, but that is not necessarily the case.
My local airports pattern is usually empty and my old college while still having a flight program, is finding it challenging to attract freshman to ante up the significant extra money/debt for such a feeble payoff. Another University a few hours away closed its very large and nationally known flight school. The information highway including forums has also washed the historic B.S., promises and lies propagated by the industry to snooker new generations of would-be pilots with the same empty promises and propaganda swallowed by those previous. I count half a dozen pilots alone of high school/college age I've counseled on the realities of the airline path and backed it up with hard facts. Pointing them to various forums for a broader perspective of regional life and its trials and tribulations has also let them see the good, bad and ugly and let's face it, all one has to do is read these forums and see the bad and ugly have so far, far outweighed the good. Only considering today's landscape doesn't identify the impact of the wave that will smash into the regionals full force in 12-18 months when legacies are hiring just as many new RJ's are simultaneously arriving needing A LOT of pilots. There are training bubbles to maintain as well.
I think you are erroneously assessing this situation by looking at the current tide, which is deceptive. Just like a real tsunami, the tide is receding and a strange calm exists. When the wave is upon the regionals, it will be sudden, fast and far too late to react. The clues are all there now though, it's just it appears no one really wants to face its significance. Unfortunately, that's par for the airline industry, i.e., disregard until it becomes a crisis and then beg regulators and labor for help.
I find it interesting to note you say "we" when discussing pilot behavior almost like a recruiter for a flight school as opposed to an individual representing his own perceptions. You sure you're just a run of the mill part 61/141 trained pilot who wants to fly the airlines reading pilot web boards ?
Last edited by eaglefly; 06-04-2013 at 12:35 PM.
#925
That's a nice post Eagle, and yes, I am a pilot and nothing more. Was doing flight testing for a while and got to a point I could not leave the desk without additional turbine time and a lot of it, so here I am applying to turbine jobs.
My opinion there is no current pilot shortage is based on a recent year of personal dealings with HR departments at various regional airlines. They all spell clearly the same message- we skim off a few desirable targets among the many people we interview each month and send the rest home, and we are not that worried about finding cheap pilot labor any time soon. This is definitely the impression I get, I have no bone to pick with anyone, it is merely what I am seeing. I am educated, smart (enough), and convinced I read this situation about like it is.
And in an earlier post I linked to the USBLS web page on pilots which says no shortage is coming either. They are supposed to know about such things, it's what they do, but I admit I am sketchy on how they do their magic. Obviously if they knew for sure Wall Street would be wild about their opinion.
I have a theory about this pilot shortage prediction activity, it is that regional airline pilots have been jerked around for so long now they have gradually drifted into a nearly delusional way of thinking in order to give themselves a little hope about the future. It's an overly competitive industry and one that really dishes out some punishment, no doubt there, so they have my sympathy if they feel mistreated and they are. But a lot of things tell me the supply of pilots in the US is still very strong, too strong for the number of jobs to be had, just like it always was. Wages will remain low. The entire regional airline industry hinges on being able to gather cheap labor and they are not worried it will continue. Is it brutal? I think so, but I would rather know the truth even if it hurts. No shortage yet for sure, and quite possibly none is yet to come.
Could it change as you describe? I do not know. I hope so, entry level airline pilots deserve much better than this. It remains speculation at this point what will happen. At this point though, Eagle is going to hire another 90 pilots in 2013 and all the other regionals are going to continue to cull about 30-40% out of any given interview group. That's what they do. As before. We could go through the litany of possible forces that may come to act on the situation, but I am not the best person to speculate on that.
And in an earlier post I linked to the USBLS web page on pilots which says no shortage is coming either. They are supposed to know about such things, it's what they do, but I admit I am sketchy on how they do their magic. Obviously if they knew for sure Wall Street would be wild about their opinion.
I have a theory about this pilot shortage prediction activity, it is that regional airline pilots have been jerked around for so long now they have gradually drifted into a nearly delusional way of thinking in order to give themselves a little hope about the future. It's an overly competitive industry and one that really dishes out some punishment, no doubt there, so they have my sympathy if they feel mistreated and they are. But a lot of things tell me the supply of pilots in the US is still very strong, too strong for the number of jobs to be had, just like it always was. Wages will remain low. The entire regional airline industry hinges on being able to gather cheap labor and they are not worried it will continue. Is it brutal? I think so, but I would rather know the truth even if it hurts. No shortage yet for sure, and quite possibly none is yet to come.
Could it change as you describe? I do not know. I hope so, entry level airline pilots deserve much better than this. It remains speculation at this point what will happen. At this point though, Eagle is going to hire another 90 pilots in 2013 and all the other regionals are going to continue to cull about 30-40% out of any given interview group. That's what they do. As before. We could go through the litany of possible forces that may come to act on the situation, but I am not the best person to speculate on that.
#926
That's a nice post Eagle, and yes, I am a pilot and nothing more. Was doing flight testing for a while and got to a point I could not leave the desk without additional turbine time and a lot of it, so here I am applying to turbine jobs.
My opinion there is no current pilot shortage is based on a recent year of personal dealings with HR departments at various regional airlines. They all spell clearly the same message- we skim off a few desirable targets among the many people we interview each month and send the rest home, and we are not that worried about finding cheap pilot labor any time soon. This is definitely the impression I get, I have no bone to pick with anyone, it is merely what I am seeing. I am educated, smart (enough), and I thoroughly convinced I read this situation about like it is.
And in an earlier post I linked to the US BLS web page on pilots which says no shortage is coming either. They are supposed to know about such things, it's what they do, but I admit I am sketchy on how they do their magic. Obviously if they knew for sure Wall Street would be crazy about them.
I have a theory about this pilot shortage prediction, that regional pilots have been jerked around so long they have gradually drifted to nearly delusional thinking to give themselves a little hope. It's an overly competitive industry and one that really dishes out the punishment, no doubt there, so they have my sympathy if they feel mistreated. But a lot of things tell me the supply of pilots in the US is very strong, just like it always was. Wages will remain low. The entire regional airline industry hinges on being able to gather cheap pilot labor and they are not worried in my experience.
Could it change as you describe? I do not know. I hope so, low-end airline pilots deserve much better than this. It remains speculation at this point what will happen. At this point though, Eagle is going to hire another 90 pilots in 2013 and all the other regionals are going to continue to cull about 30-40% out of any given interview group. That's what they do. As before.
And in an earlier post I linked to the US BLS web page on pilots which says no shortage is coming either. They are supposed to know about such things, it's what they do, but I admit I am sketchy on how they do their magic. Obviously if they knew for sure Wall Street would be crazy about them.
I have a theory about this pilot shortage prediction, that regional pilots have been jerked around so long they have gradually drifted to nearly delusional thinking to give themselves a little hope. It's an overly competitive industry and one that really dishes out the punishment, no doubt there, so they have my sympathy if they feel mistreated. But a lot of things tell me the supply of pilots in the US is very strong, just like it always was. Wages will remain low. The entire regional airline industry hinges on being able to gather cheap pilot labor and they are not worried in my experience.
Could it change as you describe? I do not know. I hope so, low-end airline pilots deserve much better than this. It remains speculation at this point what will happen. At this point though, Eagle is going to hire another 90 pilots in 2013 and all the other regionals are going to continue to cull about 30-40% out of any given interview group. That's what they do. As before.
#927
Quite frankly, it doesn't matter what regional pay will or won't go up to for the majority of those who are already flying them. We are tired of the inevitable whip saw by contract flying. I'll leave to the first airline who calls where I can fly my passengers.
#928
US Airways flies tons on United passengers
Alaska flies tons of Delta and American passengers
JetBlue flies tons of American passengers
This profession has taken a huge hit and we will continue to see the alliances and gentleman handshakes in most markets with the exemption of NY and LA.
#929
Banned
Joined APC: Jun 2008
Posts: 8,350
[LEFT]My opinion there is no current pilot shortage is based on a recent year of personal dealings with HR departments at various regional airlines. They all spell clearly the same message- we skim off a few desirable targets among the many people we interview each month and send the rest home, and we are not that worried about finding cheap pilot labor any time soon. This is definitely the impression I get, I have no bone to pick with anyone, it is merely what I am seeing. I am educated, smart (enough), and convinced I read this situation about like it is.
And in an earlier post I linked to the USBLS web page on pilots which says no shortage is coming either. They are supposed to know about such things, it's what they do, but I admit I am sketchy on how they do their magic. Obviously if they knew for sure Wall Street would be wild about their opinion. I have a theory about this pilot shortage prediction activity, it is that regional airline pilots have been jerked around for so long now they have gradually drifted into a nearly delusional way of thinking in order to give themselves a little hope about the future. It's an overly competitive industry and one that really dishes out some punishment, no doubt there, so they have my sympathy if they feel mistreated and they are. But a lot of things tell me the supply of pilots in the US is still very strong, too strong for the number of jobs to be had, just like it always was. Wages will remain low. The entire regional airline industry hinges on being able to gather cheap labor and they are not worried it will continue. Is it brutal? I think so, but I would rather know the truth even if it hurts. No shortage yet for sure, and quite possibly none is yet to come.
Could it change as you describe? I do not know. I hope so, entry level airline pilots deserve much better than this. It remains speculation at this point what will happen. At this point though, Eagle is going to hire another 90 pilots in 2013 and all the other regionals are going to continue to cull about 30-40% out of any given interview group. That's what they do. As before. We could go through the litany of possible forces that may come to act on the situation, but I am not the best person to speculate on that.
Could it change as you describe? I do not know. I hope so, entry level airline pilots deserve much better than this. It remains speculation at this point what will happen. At this point though, Eagle is going to hire another 90 pilots in 2013 and all the other regionals are going to continue to cull about 30-40% out of any given interview group. That's what they do. As before. We could go through the litany of possible forces that may come to act on the situation, but I am not the best person to speculate on that.
My advice is whatever regional you go to, remain flexible and be ready to start over and maybe more than once. Carriers will fail and at this point, it's difficult to tell the survivors from the casualties, so what may APPEAR to be the best choice today can quickly morph into a frustrating setback.
#930
Banned
Joined APC: Jun 2008
Posts: 8,350
Tough for hucksters to work their shams when there are few marks to scam.
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