Systemized

What's the likelihood that Republic pilots will ever get released from the NMB?

And if so, how soon with this happen?

Wingtips

I think over the next 5 years, the regionals will either become wholey owned or tied tightly to a major, with flow up agreements. Its the only way they can maintain the status quo of the current system and prevent the entire card stack from falling.

PNCL is the first step, I could see Republic spinning off CHQ and UAL bailing them out of CH11. AWAC is already tied to USAIR. Skywest might be the only big one left that is independent and that is IF they can stop the bleeding. TSH is the only one I dont have enough info on, but it seems DAL and UAL like their Gojetz product, at least UAL.

Systemized

I think you might be off on your idea of more regionals becoming wholly owned. How is a regional that only operates for one carrier closer to a contracting partner than a regional that operates for multiple carriers? Sure, DAL might have more leverage over PNCL, if PNCL only does business with DAL, but other than that I don't see any difference.

Wingtips

the model is not sustainable in its current form for the operators. However it is required by the majors and sustaining it will be cheaper than losing it. Just my guess, but I see more exclusivity to the regional airlines, since majors will be pumping money into them, and wont want to pump money into someone that will be also doing business with their competitor. For this reason, I see some airlines just cutting out the middle man and using the wholy owned mores. Staffing will be easier as well if they flow up wholy owned airlines.

There will never be a shortage at the majors level ever, never ever ever ever ever. The drunks, 3x failed checkride, felon, weirdos will never ever ever get hired at a major airline, unless they flow up of course. However the regionals I assume will have a really hard time over the next 5 years, but that is easily fixed, say for example AA took 50% or even 75% of all new hires from Eagle, then Eagle would never have a recruiting problem, I think this type model will be seen everywhere.

Wingtips

well I guess I know who the PBS vendor will be at Eagle.

Airline Crew Planning Solutions - Advanced Optimization Systems, Inc AOS.us 732-390-8460

We are listed as a customer.

be76flyer

From the website:

they do other stuff outside of PBS.

UnheededWarning

I don't know who you are or who the others are on here. If we flew together, we probably got along well and had a good time. My comment is aimed at this childish back and forth that goes on here. It's the crew lounge speculation and rumor all over again, with attitudes which develop over WHAT SOMEONE ELSE SAYS. Sheesh, I stand by my original viewpoint, which quoted your post, yet was intended for a much broader audience. I don't know "Lori" or "Susan", so I'm not certain of what you speak. If I do indeed know you, hope you are well.

flyfast15

Hey Eagle guys, what's going on with SJU? I did a trip down there and it looks dead, not to many airplanes. Are they closing the base?

THX

N927EV

Although the company hasn't officially said, it will be closed by March. I think there's only like 7 or 8 airplanes flying down there now. Maybe even less. It's sad.

EatMyPropwash

Eagle on their website is calling for a reduction of 400 pilots. Now, what it doesn't specify is if that's for Eagle, mainline, or both. My guess is both. However, what is strange is that Eagle just picked up 30 new routes, including at least 1 new canada destination, KYKT, Kitchner, Canada... I guess we'll just wait and see...