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Old 05-26-2008, 05:04 PM
  #31  
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Originally Posted by Nevets
I don't agree. Indy had more issues than CASM or fuel. They were going head to head with UAL with their WHOLE operation. XJT would be making money if it was paying for fuel what Indy was paying.

Also, XJT was already "independent" and operating the Branded when SKW came into the picture. It was all a ploy by CAL to get the savings from XJT one way or another. There is not going to be a buyout with what SKW has offered anyway so the question between SKW and Mesa is irrelevant.

Like I said, there are similarities as well but that still doesn't make the comparison a fair one. What you pointed out just makes my case even stronger.
I can pretty much say that the points I'm trying to make are going right over your head. Curious, did you work at I-Air?
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Old 05-26-2008, 05:06 PM
  #32  
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Originally Posted by Nevets
Indy was a low cost carrier. XJT isn't, they provide a product with comfortable seats, free entertainment (XM Radio), and free meals.
Maybe I need my butt re-calibrated, however, the ERJ seats are like sitting on the open end of a five gallon paint bucket.

I'm sure the airbus seats were more comfortable....
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Old 05-26-2008, 05:35 PM
  #33  
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Nevet...You bring some very valid points to what you say and I haven't been there in 3 years, so I don't know what has gone on. I agree with you some, disagree with you on others. What I am trying to say is You blame Kellner/CAL for ExpressJets problems. Ream came from CAL Micronesia. When the sold the stock, several of the top guys at CAL, Ream too, took stock, which would be normal ops in business. But when they IPOed us and you listened to them and looked at the IPO, it gave us a little hope, but if you really took a hard look at it, the place would never make it no matter what because it was too tied to CAL. You are frustrated with Kellner/CAL. I can understand that, and admire your loyalty to the company, I really do. But, in my opinion, Ream isn't that much better. He took a division of CAL and ran it as an "independent company", as you said, it never was truely its own company. It was a sucess because of CAL and the CPA, it was able to do Branded flying and Charters because of CAL, and because of CAL it is dying. It can't live with or without CAL.

Like I said, I have been gone. I never personally trusted Ream all the way, never could by off on what he sold. As far as Kellner and CAL. I think it is a crime that he was part of the "Go Forward Plan" and the pilots have the contract that they have. But the industry has changed so much since 911 and with the Oil, and it is going to get worse. At my company, they are not too optimistic about the economy through Christmas 2009. I really think that CAL is one of the best to whether the storm, but all of us should be greatly concerned. I am.

ExpressJet accomplished has accomplished much more than I ever thought with the IPO, but I have always held that it wouldn't have done that without CAL.

I really hope for the best for all of the ExpressJet folks, I really do, you are really a great group of people.

Last edited by OKLATEX; 05-26-2008 at 05:38 PM. Reason: Content
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Old 05-26-2008, 05:55 PM
  #34  
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Originally Posted by Nevets
The biggest difference is the price of fuel. The other differences are not small. If it wasn't for it skyrocketing, XJT may very well be proving naysayers wrong.
Not true. XJT has their gas hedged at $2.80 a gallon. Fuel is not the issues here. It's the yields as a result of low demand, low ticket prices, and an inefficient jet.
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Old 05-26-2008, 05:58 PM
  #35  
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Originally Posted by dojetdriver
I don't know if I would take it that far quite yet. But yes, as somebody that has worked at BOTH places, there are a lot of things similar. XJT is better positioned than I-Air was, but in this environment, thats not really saying all that much. And you bring up a good point, the products are similar. In the beginning when the cash was plentiful, I-Air was able to appeal to a customer base that was begging for a low cost option out of IAD. And the passengers were pleased with the product.
Apples to apples. Both used an inefficient, high CASM 50 seat jet. Products were similar in more respects than not. ACAI was well positioned with a large amount of cash just as XJT was at the inception of our Branded.

I laugh at Ream when he plants this seed that XJT and ACAI are nothing alike.
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Old 05-26-2008, 06:11 PM
  #36  
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Originally Posted by dojetdriver
I can pretty much say that the points I'm trying to make are going right over your head. Curious, did you work at I-Air?
Maybe you are right. My only point is that its not a fair comparison becasue there are too many things that are different that offset any similarities they may have.

No, I didn't work at Indy. I do have a good friend who was there to the end.

Originally Posted by SmoothOnTop
Maybe I need my butt re-calibrated, however, the ERJ seats are like sitting on the open end of a five gallon paint bucket.

I'm sure the airbus seats were more comfortable....
XJT used memory foam on their Branded seats. In my opinion, its 200% more comfortable than the seats in the COEX operation.

Originally Posted by OKLATEX
Nevet...You bring some very valid points to what you say and I haven't been there in 3 years, so I don't know what has gone on. I agree with you some, disagree with you on others. What I am trying to say is You blame Kellner/CAL for ExpressJets problems. Ream came from CAL Micronesia. When the sold the stock, several of the top guys at CAL, Ream too, took stock, which would be normal ops in business. But when they IPOed us and you listened to them and looked at the IPO, it gave us a little hope, but if you really took a hard look at it, the place would never make it no matter what because it was too tied to CAL. You are frustrated with Kellner/CAL. I can understand that, and admire your loyalty to the company, I really do. But, in my opinion, Ream isn't that much better. He took a division of CAL and ran it as an "independent company", as you said, it never was truely its own company. It was a sucess because of CAL and the CPA, it was able to do Branded flying and Charters because of CAL, and because of CAL it is dying. It can't live with or without CAL.

Like I said, I have been gone. I never personally trusted Ream all the way, never could by off on what he sold. As far as Kellner and CAL. I think it is a crime that he was part of the "Go Forward Plan" and the pilots have the contract that they have. But the industry has changed so much since 911 and with the Oil, and it is going to get worse. At my company, they are not too optimistic about the economy through Christmas 2009. I really think that CAL is one of the best to whether the storm, but all of us should be greatly concerned. I am.

ExpressJet accomplished has accomplished much more than I ever thought with the IPO, but I have always held that it wouldn't have done that without CAL.

I really hope for the best for all of the ExpressJet folks, I really do, you are really a great group of people.
Yeah, my frustration is in the CPA, thats all. Although I do think that the bean counter is watering down the great product that Bethune built.

Originally Posted by meritflyer
Not true. XJT has their gas hedged at $2.80 a gallon. Fuel is not the issues here. It's the yields as a result of low demand, low ticket prices, and an inefficient jet.
What was the price of a gallon of fuel in June of 2006? I don't know but it may have been under $2.80. Plus, XJT is not 100% hedged at that amount so their average cost is in fact higher than that anyways. Fuel is an issue as it reduces yields for any given fare.

Last edited by Nevets; 05-26-2008 at 06:25 PM.
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Old 05-26-2008, 06:34 PM
  #37  
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Nevets...That is my point exactly. We finally agree. The CPA was the writing on the wall for ExpressJet (COEX to me). You are right, it destroyed a good place to work. Some friends and I made it our number one goal to get out of there after it. Took most of us around 2-3 years to get out, and is why I left for a LCC, which was a diagonal move of sorts. I was able to interview at CAL, but bypassed and took my chances with a LCC which I was hired by, by the time CAL offered an interview. But I was nervous to stay at COEX any longer because their future was really out of their hands, no matter what Ream floated us. At the time also, CAL's future was in question regarding another Chapter 11. I took my chances on the LCC as they controlled their own fate, as much as airlines can. I then got lucky again, and got on with FedEx.

As I said, I wish all of you luck. I have a friend, who was furloughed and worked for Skywest. He always pushed for them to get a union, but he said in all fairness, it was a good place to work. Again, good luck to all of you!

By the way, while we agree on COEX/ExpressJet, I still have to say, in my opinion, CAL and Kellner are really doing a good job running that airline. We fly everyone when we deadhead, and they are really the best.

Last edited by OKLATEX; 05-26-2008 at 07:06 PM. Reason: spelling
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Old 05-26-2008, 06:45 PM
  #38  
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Originally Posted by OKLATEX
Nevets...That is my point exactly. We finally agree. The CPA was the writing on the wall for ExpressJet (COEX to me). You are right, it destroyed a good place to work. Some friends and I made it our number one goal to get out of their after it. Took most of us around 2-3 years to get out, and is why I left for a LCC, which was a diagonal move of sorts. I was able to interview at CAL, but bypassed and took my chances with a LCC which I was hired by, by the time CAL offered an interview. But I was nervous to stay at COEX any longer because there future was really out of their hands, no matter what Ream floated us. At the time also, CAL's future was in question regarding another Chapter 11. I took my chances on the LCC as they controlled their own fate, as much as airline can. I then got lucky again, and got on with FedEx.

As I said, I wish all of you luck. I have a friend, who was furloughed and worked for Skywest. He always pushed for them to get a union, but he said in all fairness, it was a good place to work. Again, good luck to all of you!

By the way, while we agree on COEX/ExpressJet, I still have to say, in my opinion, CAL and Kellner are really doing a good job running that airline. We fly everyone when we deadhead, and they are really the best.
Yeah, I get what you are saying now. CAL is not there yet but it will if the bean counter continues (product wise).

As for Skywest, the deal on the table is a non starter.
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Old 05-26-2008, 07:08 PM
  #39  
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Originally Posted by Nevets
What was the price of a gallon of fuel in June of 2006? I don't know but it may have been under $2.80. Plus, XJT is not 100% hedged at that amount so their average cost is in fact higher than that anyways. Fuel is an issue as it reduces yields for any given fare.
70% of XJT's fuel is hedged at $2.42 a gallon.

In 2006, the average cost of jet fuel averaged around $2 a gallon.

I dont know why folks from XJT's pilot group have such a difficult time with the facts. At one point, I also was drunk on the XJT Kool-Aid when I was flying the branded jets around. But, you cant hide the bold faced facts. Ream does a great job of this. I've listened to him on the all pilot CC's take the demise of the airline and make it sound like somehow there's a bright and exciting future for XJT.

For what it's worth, Branded is not even remotely this issue here. The entire airline is facing a slow death with the DL deal coming up on it's expiration date, CAL already stating it'll pul 51 more jets and ultimately not renew the CPA, Branded losing more than $100M since it's inception, Branded's schedule being pulled down on a large scale, and Branded averaging more than 2 cities failing per month since they introduced it.

Branded is hardly the problem with it only accounting for 15% or so of XJT's business. Wake up and smell the thorns.
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Old 05-26-2008, 08:20 PM
  #40  
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Originally Posted by meritflyer
70% of XJT's fuel is hedged at $2.42 a gallon.

In 2006, the average cost of jet fuel averaged around $2 a gallon.

I dont know why folks from XJT's pilot group have such a difficult time with the facts. At one point, I also was drunk on the XJT Kool-Aid when I was flying the branded jets around. But, you cant hide the bold faced facts. Ream does a great job of this. I've listened to him on the all pilot CC's take the demise of the airline and make it sound like somehow there's a bright and exciting future for XJT.

For what it's worth, Branded is not even remotely this issue here. The entire airline is facing a slow death with the DL deal coming up on it's expiration date, CAL already stating it'll pul 51 more jets and ultimately not renew the CPA, Branded losing more than $100M since it's inception, Branded's schedule being pulled down on a large scale, and Branded averaging more than 2 cities failing per month since they introduced it.

Branded is hardly the problem with it only accounting for 15% or so of XJT's business. Wake up and smell the thorns.
Trust me, I know the numbers. I just didn't know what the price of fuel was in June of 2006. Again, XJT is not 100% hedged. The average price is more than $2.42.

I know its not all roses. I was just pointing out that Indy is not a fair comparison especially considering your point about XJT's fuel hedge.
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