50 seat RJ gones by 2013. Whats to come of this?
#31
But I ask you this my friend. From an industry of people who are about as united as oil and water what are we to do. I find more and more people who are all for one, one for themselves. There is nothing unified about any pilot group anymore. We are a group of people who for the most part spend 16-24 hours a week locked in a box with only one other person and somehow we are to be able to bring a group of 1000-2000-5000+ pilots to the same level of thinking. WHAT DO WE DO?
Mesa is going to be one of the first to be faced with the concession question. They gave up a lot last time around due to scope and freedom, what will they give up this time. Until a group of pilots walks out the door and an airline shuts down because of it management will NEVER take us seriously. PS: don't hold your breathe to see the above scenario play out, there are too many senior pilots on the list to get a walk vote. Closest thing that I can remember was COMAIR and look where they are today, great contract, but ask them about that MCO base among other things. Not picking, but you folks stood up for yourselves.
#32
hey i just heard that all 50 seat jets got parked because they are the "devil" of regional airlines. gosh darn we can't say we didn't see this coming... oh well i guess the hardest part about this news is for everybody to find something else to whine about...
#33
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Joined APC: Mar 2008
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200 passenger regional jets?
What's next, 200 passenger RJ's?
Herc will probably remember this, but in the late 1980's, the American Airlines pilots debated whether the Eagle pilots were worthy enough of being represented by the APA. There was even talk about the Eagle pilots on the AA seniority list, but they were not wanted by the AA pilots. Don't they wish that they were all together now, instead of being whipsawed against each other.
This set a precedent that held our entire industry back......... And it is proof that we must all stand together, more now than ever.
Until we collectively worry more about raising the pay of the lowest-paid RJ pilot than we do about raising the pay of the Senior B777 pilots, we as pilots collectively don't stand a chance...
The business reason for the RJ is all about pay.. And pay increases for RJ pilots needs to be our primary concern of all pilots. If not, we will soon see the 200 passenger RJ in our lifetimes.
In Unity,
B727DRVR
Herc will probably remember this, but in the late 1980's, the American Airlines pilots debated whether the Eagle pilots were worthy enough of being represented by the APA. There was even talk about the Eagle pilots on the AA seniority list, but they were not wanted by the AA pilots. Don't they wish that they were all together now, instead of being whipsawed against each other.
This set a precedent that held our entire industry back......... And it is proof that we must all stand together, more now than ever.
Until we collectively worry more about raising the pay of the lowest-paid RJ pilot than we do about raising the pay of the Senior B777 pilots, we as pilots collectively don't stand a chance...
The business reason for the RJ is all about pay.. And pay increases for RJ pilots needs to be our primary concern of all pilots. If not, we will soon see the 200 passenger RJ in our lifetimes.
In Unity,
B727DRVR
#34
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Joined APC: Aug 2006
Posts: 235
According to USAtoday, Regional air travel in 50 seater RJs are going away and could be completely gone by 2013.
http://www.usatoday.com/travel/fligh...cutbacks_N.htm
http://www.usatoday.com/travel/fligh...cutbacks_N.htm
"We think now that something like 835 RJs now in service in the USA will come out by 2013," says consultant Michael Boyd of the Boyd Group in Evergreen, Colo.
That would represent a 60% shrinkage of the USA's fleet of 50-seat and smaller RJs in just six years.
Boyd, an early proponent of RJs in the early 1990s, was one of the first to sound the alarm, in 1999, about the coming RJ glut. By 2007, with oil threatening $70 a barrel, he was predicting that about 1,200 RJs with 50 or fewer seats would be removed from service worldwide by 2018. That's out of a total of nearly 2,300 in service.
Now, with oil selling above $130 a barrel, Boyd estimates 1,700 of them will be gone by 2013.
That would represent a 60% shrinkage of the USA's fleet of 50-seat and smaller RJs in just six years.
Boyd, an early proponent of RJs in the early 1990s, was one of the first to sound the alarm, in 1999, about the coming RJ glut. By 2007, with oil threatening $70 a barrel, he was predicting that about 1,200 RJs with 50 or fewer seats would be removed from service worldwide by 2018. That's out of a total of nearly 2,300 in service.
Now, with oil selling above $130 a barrel, Boyd estimates 1,700 of them will be gone by 2013.
#35
i agree with most of what you say and i hope a lot of it is true. since we already have 76 planes on the regional tickets they are going to stay there. hopefully that is as high as the seats will go. and hopefully the dc9 replacement will be flown by main line pilots.
....my hope is that mainlines continue to grow so i will have somewhere to go in the future.
....my hope is that mainlines continue to grow so i will have somewhere to go in the future.
Airlines are growing, just not necessarily in the USA. I'm going to the job fair in ATL at the end of this month, which I believe will be largely international carriers.
I agree that 76 planes will stay with contract airlines, for the very reason they got there in the first place; it's cheaper.
That will put pressure on the number crunchers for a DC-9 replacement. The lure of contracting an airline to fly 100 seats for cheap compared to what they have to pay their own crews (and actually buy / lease and maintain new planes) won't go away.
#36
Until we collectively worry more about raising the pay of the lowest-paid RJ pilot than we do about raising the pay of the Senior B777 pilots, we as pilots collectively don't stand a chance...
The business reason for the RJ is all about pay.. And pay increases for RJ pilots needs to be our primary concern of all pilots. If not, we will soon see the 200 passenger RJ in our lifetimes.
In Unity,
B727DRVR
The business reason for the RJ is all about pay.. And pay increases for RJ pilots needs to be our primary concern of all pilots. If not, we will soon see the 200 passenger RJ in our lifetimes.
In Unity,
B727DRVR
Dead on.
#37
I wonder why we never hear from the major / legacy pilot groups clamoring to do ALL their company flying ?
If company XXX has a need for a 19 / 30 / 50 / 70 / 76 seat aircraft on any route, why doesn't that pilot group demand that it be done by company pilots in company planes ?
Why is there a floating (and arbitrary) line of how many seats to be flown by company pilots ?
#39
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#40
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Joined APC: Jul 2007
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727drvr is right.... I was a card carrying member of APA Eagle.... unity... what a joke that was....
Scope caved at AA and every other carrier because the pilots looked down their collective noses at "comuters"...regionals...whatever you want to call it... they didnt want to fly small jets or BIG turboprops....they have "evolved" past aircraft that size .... and wanted more to fly them than the company would or could pay... hell AA pilots hated the F100 because they felt it was too small..and the pay as crap..... CA on the F100's made about 120000 a year in early 90's dollars... imagine that......and it wasnt enough.
round and round it goes and where it stops ....nobody knows.....
Scope caved at AA and every other carrier because the pilots looked down their collective noses at "comuters"...regionals...whatever you want to call it... they didnt want to fly small jets or BIG turboprops....they have "evolved" past aircraft that size .... and wanted more to fly them than the company would or could pay... hell AA pilots hated the F100 because they felt it was too small..and the pay as crap..... CA on the F100's made about 120000 a year in early 90's dollars... imagine that......and it wasnt enough.
round and round it goes and where it stops ....nobody knows.....
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