Search

Notices
Regional Regional Airlines

Mesaba new hires

Thread Tools
 
Search this Thread
 
Old 02-20-2008, 08:40 AM
  #2241  
Gets Weekends Off
 
tsween's Avatar
 
Joined APC: Nov 2006
Position: SF 340B+
Posts: 306
Default

Originally Posted by Lighteningspeed
Initially, I don't think there will be any impact on Mesaba or Compass. Pinnacle, maybe. There will be major impacts on regionals not owned by NWA or DAL such as CHQ, RAH, Skywest, etc. NWA/DAL will consolidate regional flying and balance it out between Mesaba, Compass, and possibly Pinnacle. If SLC is kept as a hub, Mesaba and Compass will more and more take over the flying into and out SLC and flying done by Skywest and others not owned by NWA and DAL will be reduced. People talk about ironclad contracts between Skywest and DAL but there is no such thing as an ironclad contract. Merger happens, all bets are off. New entity is legally positioned to accept the existing contract or renegotiate almost all provisions of the existing contract.

Merger will have a major negative impact on regionals not owned by DAL or NWA but may have a positive impact on regionals such as Mesaba.
that is very optimistic, you mention pinnacle (not wholly owned) as a beneficiary to this, however you did not mention comair, a wholly owned entity of delta.

There are so many variables, including the all mighty dollar, that will persuade management to cut costs, cut jobs, or give regional flying to the lowest bidder.

But to be optimistic, no jobs will be lost and maybe we will see a small bump in pay
tsween is offline  
Old 02-20-2008, 08:46 AM
  #2242  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Lighteningspeed's Avatar
 
Joined APC: Sep 2007
Position: G550 Captain
Posts: 1,206
Default

Originally Posted by tsween
that is very optimistic, you mention pinnacle (not wholly owned) as a beneficiary to this, however you did not mention comair, a wholly owned entity of delta.

There are so many variables, including the all mighty dollar, that will persuade management to cut costs, cut jobs, or give regional flying to the lowest bidder.

But to be optimistic, no jobs will be lost and maybe we will see a small bump in pay
You are right Pinnacle is no longer owned by NWA, but DAL just gave the Delta Connection CRJ900 flying to 9E starting Dec 07 so who knows what will happen to 9E. Chances are 9E will continue the DAL Connection flying because they, like you said are the lowest bidder. Comair was left out because it is a wild card. DAL wants to get rid of Comair, and they have a lot of 50 seat RJs that DAL does not need. Comair will most likely be sold if DAL can fetch a good price or if DAL can't bring it in line with its wishes(Management's wishes).
Lighteningspeed is offline  
Old 02-20-2008, 09:14 AM
  #2243  
Gets Weekends Off
 
tsween's Avatar
 
Joined APC: Nov 2006
Position: SF 340B+
Posts: 306
Default

so many variables, it is like picking winning lottery numbers
tsween is offline  
Old 02-20-2008, 09:27 AM
  #2244  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Lighteningspeed's Avatar
 
Joined APC: Sep 2007
Position: G550 Captain
Posts: 1,206
Default

Originally Posted by tsween
so many variables, it is like picking winning lottery numbers
There are a lot of variables but it is quite not as bad as that. Actually, I think based on current picture it is possible to project what is likely to happen with a fairly good accuracy. If NWA/DAL merges, it will maintain regionals owned by NWA and DAL based what it can do for them domestically. Regionals it cannot control with a reasonable amount of certainty or the ones it feels is a potential liability, it will try to disentangle itself from.
Lighteningspeed is offline  
Old 02-20-2008, 10:47 AM
  #2245  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Squawk_5543's Avatar
 
Joined APC: Feb 2007
Position: Lav
Posts: 992
Default

I would take SLC in a heart beat. These winters suck.
Squawk_5543 is offline  
Old 02-20-2008, 11:02 AM
  #2246  
Gets Weekends Off
 
IHateMgmt's Avatar
 
Joined APC: Apr 2007
Position: "I love the smell of Napalm in the Morning."
Posts: 288
Default

Originally Posted by Lighteningspeed
Initially, I don't think there will be any impact on Mesaba or Compass. Pinnacle, maybe. There will be major impacts on regionals not owned by NWA or DAL such as CHQ, RAH, Skywest, etc. NWA/DAL will consolidate regional flying and balance it out between Mesaba, Compass, and possibly Pinnacle. If SLC is kept as a hub, Mesaba and Compass will more and more take over the flying into and out SLC and flying done by Skywest and others not owned by NWA and DAL will be reduced. People talk about ironclad contracts between Skywest and DAL but there is no such thing as an ironclad contract. Merger happens, all bets are off. New entity is legally positioned to accept the existing contract or renegotiate almost all provisions of the existing contract.
While I tend to agree with your thought process, I've gotta say that Twseen got it right. It's fun to make guesses, but the reality is who knows what NW/DAL will look like if this merger goes down, let alone their regionals.

Originally Posted by Lighteningspeed
Merger will have a major negative impact on regionals not owned by DAL or NWA but may have a positive impact on regionals such as Mesaba.
It's interesting to note that in almost every thread I've read involving post-merger predictions, the poster see's the airline they fly for benefiting and the other airlines deteriorating to some extent.

That being said, I'd predict you're right

Originally Posted by tsween
so many variables, it is like picking winning lottery numbers
...nailed it.
IHateMgmt is offline  
Old 02-20-2008, 12:52 PM
  #2247  
Gets Weekends Off
 
tsween's Avatar
 
Joined APC: Nov 2006
Position: SF 340B+
Posts: 306
Default

Originally Posted by IHateMgmt


It's interesting to note that in almost every thread I've read involving post-merger predictions, the poster see's the airline they fly for benefiting and the other airlines deteriorating to some extent.

.

could not agree more, i ran across a post in the comair updates thread saying that when DAL/NWA merge that comair, compass and mesaba will combine seniority lists, except compass and mesaba will just be added to the bottom of theirs. So everyone predicts the best future for themselves!
tsween is offline  
Old 02-20-2008, 01:22 PM
  #2248  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Lighteningspeed's Avatar
 
Joined APC: Sep 2007
Position: G550 Captain
Posts: 1,206
Default

Originally Posted by tsween
could not agree more, i ran across a post in the comair updates thread saying that when DAL/NWA merge that comair, compass and mesaba will combine seniority lists, except compass and mesaba will just be added to the bottom of theirs. So everyone predicts the best future for themselves!
New merger law would not allow Mesaba and Compass to be stapled to the bottom. There is a lot of wishful thinking by some on this forum but my predictions are not based on wishful thinking. They are based on analyzing all the known factors and try predict logically from a business standpoint. Also added insight given to me by a NWA management type who sat next to me on one of my commuting flight to MSP.

All I can say is there will be a major reconsolidation of regionals not owned by NWA/DAL if they are going to survive the post merger.

For the next several years anyway, Mesaba would be a good place to be in.
Lighteningspeed is offline  
Old 02-20-2008, 01:26 PM
  #2249  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Tinpusher007's Avatar
 
Joined APC: Mar 2006
Position: 330 B
Posts: 1,627
Default

Originally Posted by Lighteningspeed
Initially, I don't think there will be any impact on Mesaba or Compass. Pinnacle, maybe. There will be major impacts on regionals not owned by NWA or DAL such as CHQ, RAH, Skywest, etc. NWA/DAL will consolidate regional flying and balance it out between Mesaba, Compass, and possibly Pinnacle. If SLC is kept as a hub, Mesaba and Compass will more and more take over the flying into and out SLC and flying done by Skywest and others not owned by NWA and DAL will be reduced. People talk about ironclad contracts between Skywest and DAL but there is no such thing as an ironclad contract. Merger happens, all bets are off. New entity is legally positioned to accept the existing contract or renegotiate almost all provisions of the existing contract.

Merger will have a major negative impact on regionals not owned by DAL or NWA but may have a positive impact on regionals such as Mesaba.
Im not so sure I agree with this. Delta learned their lesson about giving one regional too much power when Comair struck for 3 months. I seriously doubt they would make that same mistake by growing us and Compass to the point where we would have a majority presence in SLC, MSP and DTW. I think Comair, ASA, Pinnacle and Skywest would maintain their presence in some way, shape or form. I don't know what to think of RAH, XJT and Mesa. I do tend to think the combined carrier would want to unload 50 seaters and get more E-jets into the new DCI fleet. But thats as much as my crystal ball can come up with for now.
Tinpusher007 is offline  
Old 02-20-2008, 01:35 PM
  #2250  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Lighteningspeed's Avatar
 
Joined APC: Sep 2007
Position: G550 Captain
Posts: 1,206
Default

That's why NWA has both Compass AND Mesaba. I did not say Skywest will go away. Their flying for DAL will decrease in proportion to Mesaba and Compass picking them up gradually. At any case, there will be a major reconsolidation of regionals not owned by either NWA or DAL. The days of the regionals like Skywest and RAH growing out of control is over.
Lighteningspeed is offline  
Related Topics
Thread
Thread Starter
Forum
Replies
Last Post
copcar1988
Regional
17
10-24-2006 05:34 PM
Ellen
Regional
5
10-22-2006 07:24 PM
joel payne
Regional
0
09-25-2006 08:54 AM
fireman0174
Regional
10
04-25-2006 07:56 PM
CRM1337
Regional
2
10-14-2005 05:07 AM

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On



Your Privacy Choices