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Old 04-28-2007, 02:17 PM
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Originally Posted by SkyHigh
. . . . After blowing 150K on a wasted college degree and flight training . . . . SkyHigh
One man's trash is another man's treasure. If a degree in "underwater basket weaving" has value to a parent or child, what right does anyone else have to criticize it. It's the same with money spent. $150,000 is chump change to some people (not me). They might purchase an airplane, fund a wedding, or send a kid to college. Why the criticism of an "Aviation Education." Let people lead their own lives.
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Old 04-28-2007, 03:14 PM
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Originally Posted by SkyHigh
Fact: Currently there are more flight instructors (91,343) than there are students (84,866).


In 1970 the majority of pilots were private pilots. (303,779 PVT versus 186,821 COM plus 34,430 ATP). 57% were pvt pilots


In 2006 the majority now is of professional grade pilots. 236,147 PVT versus 130,234 COM plus 144,681 ATP Now 46% are private pilots.

The results are that there are more professional grade pilots than ever before and the statistics continue to increase.

http://www.aopa.org/special/newsroom/stats/pilots.html


SkyHigh
Like you said in a previous post, a study is needed for the facts to really mean something. How many of these professional grade pilots hold medical certificates, are current, and getting paid to fly? I know plenty of guys who hold commercial certificates and don't fly.

As for percentages - How many commercial flights were there in 1970 compared to 2006? How many Part 91 corporate aircraft that require someone with at least a commercial certificate to operate were there in 1970 compared to 2006?
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Old 04-28-2007, 03:28 PM
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Originally Posted by bla bla bla
Yep! There will never be a shortage unless we as professionals control the supply. All the market is doing is correcting for less experienced pilots at lower wages to outsource major flying.
Unfortunately I don't see how we as professionals can control the supply. I somewhat agree but instead of "market", I think it's management and big business manipulating labor costs with automation. Robots replacing humans on assembly lines. Transport category aircraft that only require 2 pilots instead of 3. Airplanes that have so much automation and redundancy requiring less skill and experience to operate safely.

Technology continues to hammer away at manual labor like Wal Mart spurs outsourcing by its suppliers demanding lower costs. In the end, bigger belts are needed at the top of the food chain while the pants fall off at the bottom.

It's miller time.
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Old 04-28-2007, 04:04 PM
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Originally Posted by SkyHigh
Sure,, it isn't difficult to find dead end educations.

The question is if your aviation educated person works as a pilot or as something else? In addition it is certain that anyone 40 and under who has gainful employment as an airline pilot will not be able to remain as such until retirement. Every time the industry cycles it throws off more high on the hog companies and employees.

In general it seems that most college educations yield low paying jobs. Trade school is the future.

SkyHigh
You hit the nail on the head with this post. College is the biggest waste of money in terms of the actual education. It's really just paying for the experience, I have a college degree in engineering and the jobs around here top out at $50K. Although, someone who is a plummer or electrician can easily turn $100K or more. In fact I know a high-low driver who makes $120K with overtime. I'm not sending my kids to college, such a waste.
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Old 04-28-2007, 04:23 PM
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Originally Posted by SkyHigh
...it is certain that anyone 40 and under who has gainful employment as an airline pilot will not be able to remain as such until retirement. SkyHigh
So basically, you're saying that ANY new airline pilot has NO possibility whatsoever of staying in the profession until retirement?

Whatever you say, Nostrafugkingdamus.
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Old 04-28-2007, 08:13 PM
  #76  
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Default The west

Originally Posted by Ftrooppilot
One man's trash is another man's treasure. If a degree in "underwater basket weaving" has value to a parent or child, what right does anyone else have to criticize it. It's the same with money spent. $150,000 is chump change to some people (not me). They might purchase an airplane, fund a wedding, or send a kid to college. Why the criticism of an "Aviation Education." Let people lead their own lives.
America is one of the most blessed countries in the world that its citizens can afford to blow a small fortune while still young to pursue a personal quest. To most the mere thought would be absurd.

In my estimation it takes at least two or three generations of family wealth to create such a generation of sole searching individuals who care so little for the value of earning a real living.

The purpose of an education is to broaden ones mind but also to prepare them for self sufficiency as a gainfully employed person. As a parent I feel a responsibility to raise self sufficient people who have the tools to succeed in life.

I read an article in the Wall Street Journal six months back that claimed that people today will trade pay and benefits for an interesting sounding job. Pilots fit squarely into that description.

SkyHigh
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Old 04-28-2007, 08:16 PM
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Originally Posted by Yzerman
So basically, you're saying that ANY new airline pilot has NO possibility whatsoever of staying in the profession until retirement?

Whatever you say, Nostrafugkingdamus.
What I mean is that anyone under 40 has a slim chance of working for the same company until retirement and will be unable to reproduce the career results of the prior generation.

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Old 04-28-2007, 08:22 PM
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Default Statistics

Originally Posted by rollercoaster
Like you said in a previous post, a study is needed for the facts to really mean something. How many of these professional grade pilots hold medical certificates, are current, and getting paid to fly? I know plenty of guys who hold commercial certificates and don't fly.

As for percentages - How many commercial flights were there in 1970 compared to 2006? How many Part 91 corporate aircraft that require someone with at least a commercial certificate to operate were there in 1970 compared to 2006?
You have brought up a very good point.

All of the numbers counted only come from pilots who hold current medicals. There could easily be double or triple the number of living and able pilots out there who let their medicals lapse and are not counted anymore. Out of my college graduating class easily fewer than ten percent are still working as pilots. The rest I am sure haven't flown in over a decade.


Just think of how many dream seekers there are who failed and had to let it go. If there are 300,000 plus professional grade pilots with current medicals now then it could be a huge number. My guess it close to a million or more.

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Old 04-28-2007, 08:25 PM
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Originally Posted by SkyHigh
What I mean is that anyone under 40 has a slim chance of working for the same company until retirement and will be unable to reproduce the career results of the prior generation.

Skyhigh
Anyone could say the same thing about any industry. My crystal ball is MEL'd. Maybe you should check yours.
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Old 04-28-2007, 08:28 PM
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Default Go For It !!

Originally Posted by RedBaron007
SkyHigh and every other pessimistic person on this board...Yes, the aviation industry isn't the best place to be right now, and its very cyclic and futures are questionable. I've grown up around airplanes and the airlines for my entire life. Despite seeing what has happened to my father's pay/QOL/retirement at one of the legacies, there is basically nothing that could deter me from wanting a career flying airplanes.

Call me masochistic if you like, but I've gone to school, experienced other types of thinking (history and international studies are my major and minor), and cannot think of one career I would rather have. Yeah, it's not perfect. Most careers aren't. Nearly everybody on this board talks about quality of life - my quality of life would not be nearly as good if I were doing another job other than flying because I would not be having fun doing it. I want a job that I have fun at. My number one priority is to be happy with my career, and there is no career I'd be as happy doing as flying.

Maybe I'm just not jaded yet because I haven't actually started flying for a real airline. I can see it on the horizon and I'm excited about it. Yeah - I"m realistic that working at a regional won't be amazing in terms of pay/benefits/QOL, but I'm willing to sacrifice those things to do my dream job.

I know this isn't the way everyone feels about this, but I know there are a decent number of people out there like me. I know one of my students gets the same gleam in his eye every time he sees the 172 that I'm sure I got when I was 15 years old....and I think I still get it every now and again. That is what gives me hope in this industry because people who are just willing to focus on the negatives makes it sound like it blows....and while there are things that suck about it, there are some good aspects.
Hey, the industry needs meat. If this is all you were meant to do in life then no one is here to stop you.

People don't do drugs because they focus on the fact that they will eventually kill you. They do them because today they are fun.

Go and fly and let tomorrow sort itself out.

SkyHigh
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