How will the regionals look in one year
#11
WO regionals will have increased pay and perhaps enhanced flow/interview agreements with their legacy overlords.
Republic and perhaps SkyWest will be able to keep up but many contract carriers likely won’t be able to. Mesa, TSH carriers, and some of the UA regionals will struggle to fill classes again and perhaps they simply won’t because they can’t afford to pay more.
AWAC gets settled in flying for United and announce some 67-76 seat aircraft to come from somewhere...
All in all the usual over the past few years. Some things will change, some never will.
Republic and perhaps SkyWest will be able to keep up but many contract carriers likely won’t be able to. Mesa, TSH carriers, and some of the UA regionals will struggle to fill classes again and perhaps they simply won’t because they can’t afford to pay more.
AWAC gets settled in flying for United and announce some 67-76 seat aircraft to come from somewhere...
All in all the usual over the past few years. Some things will change, some never will.
Some majors may hire more from some regionals, less from others, but as long as it all averages out hiring will be equal across the board.
If the WO's wanted to raise pay above what contractors can afford, the majors would have to pony up so the contractors could match it. Otherwise the contractors would go out of business, leaving the unionized WO's with a monopoly $$$$$.
Majors cannot stop hiring from certain regionals (not for long anyway)... if they have no career progression 90% of the FO's and 70% of the CA's would quite, and go find another path to the majors (or out of aviation).
Ultimately majors will have to keep the regional system alive if they want to benefit from cost savings. If there are simply not enough pilots at any price, then RJ's will go away, and they'll use two pilots to haul around 180 pax in a narrowbody, instead if 40 pax in an RJ.
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