SKW CEO warns pilot shortage could lead...
#261
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Feb 2007
Posts: 2,556
You completely misread my original quote. My point was that under ALPA the regionals have no chance to combine their labor, because ALPA carriers negotiate separately. Now, why does this make sense to ALPA? Because the higher wages of mainline, which are subsidized by lower regional wages, pay a higher amount of dues. So it doesn't actually harm their bottom line. If the regional wages rivaled mainline's, airlines would have to either raise prices or reduce service. Or (more likely) bring more flying back in house, which I think most of us agree would be a good thing.
Since ALPA is actually subsidizing the cost of regional representation, please tell me how the regionals are subsidizing the majors.
And given the internet poo flinging contests that erupt around here frequently when airlines sign contracts that are (supposedly) harmful to other carriers interests, how long do you think a pilot union would last if said union could impose it's own will on a pilot group?
I'll give you a hint: not very long.
What does the size of the company have to do with it? Why does it matter who owns the routes? Why should ALPA care about these things? They should be more concerned with equally representing the people that pay them dues.
Wrong. That's why I mentioned the actual pay rates that mainline lists for their CRJs versus a regional. I have explained every one of my positions calmly and clearly, so I don't think the keyboard warrior comment is appropriate. Trying to discredit me is not going to make your argument make any more sense.
Not that the whole discussion really means anything, as it's all semantics, but when you start a discussion with decision makers with statements that belie partial facts you don't do yourself any favors.
As to my keyboard warrior comment, what are you doing outside of APC to actually affect change? What are you doing to actually learn about the system?
#262
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Feb 2007
Posts: 2,556
My bank account and number of pilots below me on the seniority list disagrees.
I think that is a symptom of the underlying problem, which is contained in the three questions I asked you earlier.
But as I laid out before, pilot groups aren't going to be subject to a union that imposes the will of the whole on it. If you think otherwise I give you USAPA as exhibit A.
You really think that a regional only union, somehow reliant on dues revenue from the pilot group of regional airlines that it imposes its collective will on, is somehow going to generate enough revenue to support the activities that I listed above?
So you don't think that regionals under-bidding each other by taking concessions was a major problem? What does that do to our leverage?? What is the purpose of associating with ALPA if they wouldn't put a stop to it?
But as I laid out before, pilot groups aren't going to be subject to a union that imposes the will of the whole on it. If you think otherwise I give you USAPA as exhibit A.
What's stopping anyone from having all those benefits under a different union? Do we need to suckle ALPA's teat so bad that we should sacrifice the ability to jointly negotiate?
But yeah, let's waste all that leverage and money so we can have Pro Stans
But yeah, let's waste all that leverage and money so we can have Pro Stans
#263
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Apr 2015
Posts: 857
And given the internet poo flinging contests that erupt around here frequently when airlines sign contracts that are (supposedly) harmful to other carriers interests, how long do you think a pilot union would last if said union could impose it's own will on a pilot group?
I'll give you a hint: not very long.
I'll give you a hint: not very long.
Ok, so according to their APC profile Delta has rates for 900s in their mainline CBA, but are they actually flying any? Do they have any plans to? The 190s that AA are flying are well above their scope limitations. Are there any regional pilots flying the same type as their mainline counterparts for less money?
Not that the whole discussion really means anything, as it's all semantics, but when you start a discussion with decision makers with statements that belie partial facts you don't do yourself any favors.
Not that the whole discussion really means anything, as it's all semantics, but when you start a discussion with decision makers with statements that belie partial facts you don't do yourself any favors.
Please feel free to show me any of my posts that belie partial facts. Vague, baseless remarks like that don't do you any favors.
No joint venture ever began without a discussion...
#264
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Apr 2015
Posts: 857
I don't know how much those programs cost versus how much revenue the regionals pay in dues, so I can't honestly answer. I still question the need to stay under ALPA just for those services, especially since their unions sold everyone out in the first place. Their history doesn't suggest that they have regional pilots' best interests in mind.
#265
On Reserve
Joined APC: Jan 2017
Posts: 10
[QUOTE=wiz5422;2316842]It isn't about providing loans for student pilots. Medical students don't have any trouble getting loans because they know they Will get a great paying job right out of training....while most student pilots know they have to wait years for that great paying job. So anyone smart now a days know it isn't beneficial to get swapped in loans they know they can't pay back because of the lack of great paying jobs out of the gate.
I tried pulling loans. 80k a year. still said "I need more collateral than what I make now" I rent. dad cosigning wouldn't work. grandparents too. No there are not a lot of people who can GET the loans. There are a hell of a lot of them who can apply, Pilotfinance etc..... They want an ivy league or higher university student whose daddy is an attorney n mommy runs a Costco to sign their house as collateral and pay 86K just to get a CMEI. that was 2 years ago. God only knows how bad it is now. They want your first 4 born to even think of getting a loan. The issue is its hard for students like myself who want to train but cant do the atp route. They need to make the training available.
I tried pulling loans. 80k a year. still said "I need more collateral than what I make now" I rent. dad cosigning wouldn't work. grandparents too. No there are not a lot of people who can GET the loans. There are a hell of a lot of them who can apply, Pilotfinance etc..... They want an ivy league or higher university student whose daddy is an attorney n mommy runs a Costco to sign their house as collateral and pay 86K just to get a CMEI. that was 2 years ago. God only knows how bad it is now. They want your first 4 born to even think of getting a loan. The issue is its hard for students like myself who want to train but cant do the atp route. They need to make the training available.
#267
On Reserve
Joined APC: Jan 2017
Posts: 10
AVROMAN..... pretty much. and now. W.W.F.M.?
WHO WILL FLY ME
they've dug such a ditch, the banking institutions and loans cant get the average American an 86k or now a 100+K loan. They are increasing wages but only l crem de la crem can even get the loan. I wonder if they've talked about this in congress. Great. Its now 75k a year for TSA and PSA.... nobody can get the loan if they wanted to train now. Another road block. People like myself are stuck doing the 6-8 year route doing slow training and hoping to get there. I plan on it, but my resources doesn't seem to be stopping the shortage.
WHO WILL FLY ME
they've dug such a ditch, the banking institutions and loans cant get the average American an 86k or now a 100+K loan. They are increasing wages but only l crem de la crem can even get the loan. I wonder if they've talked about this in congress. Great. Its now 75k a year for TSA and PSA.... nobody can get the loan if they wanted to train now. Another road block. People like myself are stuck doing the 6-8 year route doing slow training and hoping to get there. I plan on it, but my resources doesn't seem to be stopping the shortage.
#268
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Feb 2007
Posts: 2,556
It's this type of attitude that got us into the scope mess in the first place.. ME ME ME. You fail to see the big picture just like the scope yes-voters did. Temporary, non-contractual bonuses only paid to new hires are better than permanent pay scale raises for everybody??
The truth (not that anyone really cares about that here) is that PSA pilots positioned themselves for growth, and therefore leverage in the new pilot hiring environment.
Speaking of big picture, can you name another pilot group that was harmed by that vote? No? How about name all the pilot groups who've seen their compensation go up. Truth be told, that's much more about market forces than anything else.
I don't know how much those programs cost versus how much revenue the regionals pay in dues, so I can't honestly answer. I still question the need to stay under ALPA just for those services, especially since their unions sold everyone out in the first place. Their history doesn't suggest that they have regional pilots' best interests in mind.
I've explained this already... Let's just assume it's even true that the regionals cost more to represent than the dues they contribute. That would only be the case because their wages are so low. Why are they so low? Because mainline pilots voted in scope in order to retain/increase their own wages and benefits. If you lower one scale and increase the other, what does ALPA's bank account get in the middle? Balance.
But even saying that, your math, or more accurately your hypothesized incentives, still doesn't work. Why settle for balance when one could just hold the line on scope and create more mainline jobs, and create more dues revenue that doesn't require subsidizing an entire pilot group? Doesn't ALPA make more money that way?
But I guess since it isn't ALPA National making the decisions, but rather individual pilots voting their own wallets, it doesn't work that way. Funny how that works.
So you don't think regional pilots would be happy with the end of whipsawing and under-cutting? They wouldn't be happy with increased leverage and pay? What would be your suggestion then? Stay under the boot of ALPA or...?
What your describing is more akin to a Guild than a labor union, and while there are some merits to that concept, the problem is getting there from here. In the end, why not let the market continue to do the work it's already been doing?
The answers are obvious. Why don't you explain your own argument? I promise to pay full attention.
Sorry but this is a bit silly. There's a reason Delta isn't flying any 900s, because Endeavor is doing it for cheaper. If Endeavor had the same contract rates that Delta does, do you think the 900s would be at Endeavor? Common sense says no.
The other reason they would is that you can be sure that the mainline carriers will try anything to alleviate their pilot hiring issues, be it on the demand side (age 67) or the supply side (ATP rule). If they're able to get legislative relief in any of those areas, look for them to try and lower those rates back down.
Please feel free to show me any of my posts that belie partial facts. Vague, baseless remarks like that don't do you any favors.
No joint venture ever began without a discussion...
No joint venture ever began without a discussion...
#269
Was just thinking about all the people who want a living wage at $15/hr.
$15hr x 40hrs x 52 weeks = $31,200 a year for a burger flipper
According to this website Horizon pays a first year FO $31 per flight hour. The calculator below it says at $31hr and 75 hours a month you'll get $2325. Now I don't know what else is added on to that, per diems or whatever, but if it were $2325 a month ($27,900 a year) the person on the intercom asking if you want fries with that gets paid more money then the Horizon Air pilot!
Hmmm, I wonder why there is a pilot shortage at the regionals...
I'm sure that math will be off a bit, but bottom line is they don't pay enough. I bet if regionals started off around $75k there wouldn't be a shortage.
$15hr x 40hrs x 52 weeks = $31,200 a year for a burger flipper
According to this website Horizon pays a first year FO $31 per flight hour. The calculator below it says at $31hr and 75 hours a month you'll get $2325. Now I don't know what else is added on to that, per diems or whatever, but if it were $2325 a month ($27,900 a year) the person on the intercom asking if you want fries with that gets paid more money then the Horizon Air pilot!
Hmmm, I wonder why there is a pilot shortage at the regionals...
I'm sure that math will be off a bit, but bottom line is they don't pay enough. I bet if regionals started off around $75k there wouldn't be a shortage.
#270
Gets Weekends Off
Joined APC: Apr 2015
Posts: 857
You're making the assumption that the only reason my income has gone up and new pilots have come to my carrier is that somehow everyone on property somehow gave something away that caused all this to happen. If anything, the ones who have come here later than I have made more money over time than I ever did.
The truth (not that anyone really cares about that here) is that PSA pilots positioned themselves for growth, and therefore leverage in the new pilot hiring environment.
Speaking of big picture, can you name another pilot group that was harmed by that vote? No? How about name all the pilot groups who've seen their compensation go up. Truth be told, that's much more about market forces than anything else.
Speaking of big picture, can you name another pilot group that was harmed by that vote? No? How about name all the pilot groups who've seen their compensation go up. Truth be told, that's much more about market forces than anything else.
Again, I'm not arguing that there are pilot groups that have voted in contracts that have increased pay and relaxed scope. I think if pilot groups back then could've foreseen the growth of regionals to the levels that exist now they may have been more circumspect. But 20+ years ago when all this started that danger wasn't anticipated.
But even saying that, your math, or more accurately your hypothesized incentives, still doesn't work. Why settle for balance when one could just hold the line on scope and create more mainline jobs, and create more dues revenue that doesn't require subsidizing an entire pilot group? Doesn't ALPA make more money that way?
I think the moment that management offers an incentive to one pilot group that isn't offered to another, and that pilot group wants to take it, then there's the end of your theoretical union. Unless of course you'd rather keep all regional pilots under that particular boot. It's really hard to make an argument against perceived authoritarianism by advocating for, wait for it, more authoritarianism.
What your describing is more akin to a Guild than a labor union, and while there are some merits to that concept, the problem is getting there from here. In the end, why not let the market continue to do the work it's already been doing?
What your describing is more akin to a Guild than a labor union, and while there are some merits to that concept, the problem is getting there from here. In the end, why not let the market continue to do the work it's already been doing?
Being afraid of change is no reason to stay under ALPA's boot. The Association limits the regionals from negotiating collectively. I think it's peculiarly ironic that all 3 AA WO carriers are ALPA. All are owned by and flying for the same carrier, and all have been repeatedly whipsawed against each other to reduce wages. AA's intent is so obvious, and ALPA couldn't care less. Why would you support that kind of representation?
Because I have no idea what you're getting at. Again, why don't you try making your own argument?
Um, actually they probably would. Understanding why requires knowing the answer to my original three questions, and understanding that pay rates are only a small part of the present and future costs of operating those aircraft. Work rules and benefits are a significant part of that cost, and so long as Delta management can keep those airplanes off the mainline certificate, they will.
The other reason they would is that you can be sure that the mainline carriers will try anything to alleviate their pilot hiring issues, be it on the demand side (age 67) or the supply side (ATP rule). If they're able to get legislative relief in any of those areas, look for them to try and lower those rates back down.
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