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Old 07-02-2020, 09:22 PM
  #5391  
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Originally Posted by propellere
Saw an advertisement on APC for the fastest flow to American is Piedmont and they are currently hiring. I have a few Envoy guys thinking about coming over to speed up their flow to American. Piedmont flowing to American in 4 years?
3-5 years for a new hire today
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Old 07-03-2020, 06:48 AM
  #5392  
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Originally Posted by propellere
Piedmont flowing to American in 4 years?


Originally Posted by Freighthotdog
3-5 years for a new hire today


Not even close!

They best timing was a group for 6 month period (early 2015 hires) that flowed in 4.5 years. There were a few that were going to make 5 years before COVID. And Dec of 19, a 5.5 year was a potential, it very optimistic flow., but not very likely.

As of Mar 20, 6 years is the absolute min, increasing to 8 would maybe be the avg IF things return Pre-COVID. But right now the flow is nonexistent/on hold. Every month you are here accounts for no reduction in flow, it potentially 1-3 months faster than the people below you.

But with a normal recovery, I’m guessing (because no one knows) Piedmont might have the fastest flow....but it will be closer to 9 years. The one thing that brought the flow down from 9 years to possibly 5.5 was massive outside attrition, because everyone was hiring. Not so much anymore. I don’t see the same outside attrition happening for at least a year if not more.
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Old 07-03-2020, 07:16 AM
  #5393  
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Originally Posted by Flyinguy
Not even close!

They best timing was a group for 6 month period (early 2015 hires) that flowed in 4.5 years. There were a few that were going to make 5 years before COVID. And Dec of 19, a 5.5 year was a potential, it very optimistic flow., but not very likely.

As of Mar 20, 6 years is the absolute min, increasing to 8 would maybe be the avg IF things return Pre-COVID. But right now the flow is nonexistent/on hold. Every month you are here accounts for no reduction in flow, it potentially 1-3 months faster than the people below you.

But with a normal recovery, I’m guessing (because no one knows) Piedmont might have the fastest flow....but it will be closer to 9 years. The one thing that brought the flow down from 9 years to possibly 5.5 was massive outside attrition, because everyone was hiring. Not so much anymore. I don’t see the same outside attrition happening for at least a year if not more.

6 years is a long time
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Old 07-03-2020, 07:47 AM
  #5394  
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Originally Posted by propellere
6 years is a long time
Sarcasm....
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Old 07-03-2020, 09:32 AM
  #5395  
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Plus don't forget to add in your time to flow while you're treading in the pool...
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Old 07-03-2020, 10:32 AM
  #5396  
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When you’re at a restaurant with a long wait for a table, it is usually faster to stay in line rather than find another restaurant.
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Old 07-03-2020, 04:23 PM
  #5397  
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Originally Posted by LiftVector
When you’re at a restaurant with a long wait for a table, it is usually faster to stay in line rather than find another restaurant.
yeah but if you’re waiting in line and another restaurant offers you a seat at the table why wait in the line...
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Old 07-03-2020, 04:57 PM
  #5398  
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Originally Posted by rdneckpilot
yeah but if you’re waiting in line and another restaurant offers you a seat at the table why wait in the line...
when i first started at pdt.. we had guys 10 years just upgrading... i didn't understand how they could be at a place flying a dash so long.. stuck... how much I have learned in this career? The answer really is.. how little I know.

This career is a marathon not a sprint.. the days of 1500 hour cfi's with wet multis may be a thing of the past.. reduced time captains may be a thing of the past. If you're at Piedmont already.. your in an OK spot for now. None of us know the next year or decade. Enjoy what you got , plan to work today but the future of aviation is cloudy at best. Save some pennies.. develop another skill.. online college. Welding, electrician, cdl.. mba... etc. Although the flow was great for a while.. don't count on it right now but it is better than nothing and we are in a better place than many of our brothers and sisters elsewhere.
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Old 07-03-2020, 05:32 PM
  #5399  
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Originally Posted by OpMidClimax
when i first started at pdt.. we had guys 10 years just upgrading... i didn't understand how they could be at a place flying a dash so long.. stuck... how much I have learned in this career? The answer really is.. how little I know.

This career is a marathon not a sprint.. the days of 1500 hour cfi's with wet multis may be a thing of the past.. reduced time captains may be a thing of the past. If you're at Piedmont already.. your in an OK spot for now. None of us know the next year or decade. Enjoy what you got , plan to work today but the future of aviation is cloudy at best. Save some pennies.. develop another skill.. online college. Welding, electrician, cdl.. mba... etc. Although the flow was great for a while.. don't count on it right now but it is better than nothing and we are in a better place than many of our brothers and sisters elsewhere.
Very well said.

For August, there will probably be 30ish CA/FO’s on reserve so I wouldn’t necessarily call that “over staffed”.

The only possible way for a furlough, in my opinion, is if AA cuts flights in the future.
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Old 07-03-2020, 07:07 PM
  #5400  
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Originally Posted by LiftVector
When you’re at a restaurant with a long wait for a table, it is usually faster to stay in line rather than find another restaurant.
If the wait for the table is twelve months long, do you starve to death in line or find food somewhere else? Just curious.
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