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Old 01-22-2018, 07:19 AM
  #1321  
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Originally Posted by Pedro4President
I'm still curious how PDT still thinks their flow is so fast. Envoy's flow SLOWS DOWN to match PDT's flow. Envoy flowed more than 13 percent of its pilot group this past year. PDT flowed under 9 percent. (If someone has more accurate pilot numbers and flow numbers feel free to correct.).

How does PDT calculate flow? Do you use attrition in your calculations? Growth has significant implications on flow. How generous are you with your forecast? How many bypass the flow? Thanks
See back when piedmont only had like 350 pilots along with a good chunk of people bypassing, they probably did have the fastest flow. Now they've about doubled their pilot group but still have the same amount flowing. Envoys flow is slowing down for sure, but psa just recently increased their flow. Right now it's a little murky on who has the quickest flow to aa.
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Old 01-22-2018, 08:03 AM
  #1322  
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Originally Posted by Milksheikh
See back when piedmont only had like 350 pilots along with a good chunk of people bypassing, they probably did have the fastest flow. Now they've about doubled their pilot group but still have the same amount flowing. Envoys flow is slowing down for sure, but psa just recently increased their flow. Right now it's a little murky on who has the quickest flow to aa.
That would be false, as we had 3 people flowing with 350 pilots. The math is 3 pilots for the first 350 plus an additional 1 pilot per 125 above 350. We currently flow 5 pilots per month.

It's 9.6 years as it sits if you were hired today, being #662 on the seniority list. This number is based on 0 attrition to retirements, outside hiring, or those who choose to bypass the flow. This number is also based on month of hire and not year of hire.

PSA is relatively easy to figure out as well now, since its 10 pilots per month.. Lets say for the sake of speculation, that their most junior flowee is 10% on the list. They have 1670 pilots on the list according to APC. 1670-167=1503 pilots who want to flow. 1503/10=150.3/12=12.5 Years.

ENY is more difficult. I have an average in my head based on roughly 20 pilots per month (averaging the protected pilots min flow, <2014 DOS min flow, and then the >2014 DOS Flow) but it's anyone's guess as to how accurate it is. It's around 8.6 years.

Last edited by Newstick189; 01-22-2018 at 08:21 AM.
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Old 01-22-2018, 01:33 PM
  #1323  
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Originally Posted by Newstick189
That would be false, as we had 3 people flowing with 350 pilots. The math is 3 pilots for the first 350 plus an additional 1 pilot per 125 above 350. We currently flow 5 pilots per month.

It's 9.6 years as it sits if you were hired today, being #662 on the seniority list. This number is based on 0 attrition to retirements, outside hiring, or those who choose to bypass the flow. This number is also based on month of hire and not year of hire.

PSA is relatively easy to figure out as well now, since its 10 pilots per month.. Lets say for the sake of speculation, that their most junior flowee is 10% on the list. They have 1670 pilots on the list according to APC. 1670-167=1503 pilots who want to flow. 1503/10=150.3/12=12.5 Years.

ENY is more difficult. I have an average in my head based on roughly 20 pilots per month (averaging the protected pilots min flow, <2014 DOS min flow, and then the >2014 DOS Flow) but it's anyone's guess as to how accurate it is. It's around 8.6 years.
Ok I see now. I thought they started their flow at 5 a month. When psa first got their flow, didn't one of their recruiters ask parker if he was going to do something to fix it because it was basically 20 years whereas envoy and piedmont were advertising 5 years? Now I guess their 2014 hires are going to flow in 2019. They must have some serious attrition outside the flow, much more than envoy. It's crazy how much changes over a few years.
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Old 01-22-2018, 01:38 PM
  #1324  
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Originally Posted by Milksheikh
Ok I see now. I thought they started their flow at 5 a month. When psa first got their flow, didn't one of their recruiters ask parker if he was going to do something to fix it because it was basically 20 years whereas envoy and piedmont were advertising 5 years? Now I guess their 2014 hires are going to flow in 2019. They must have some serious attrition outside the flow, much more than envoy. It's crazy how much changes over a few years.
Yes, PSA's outside attrition is really high. There are months that more pilots go to Delta or FedEx than flow to AA.

The majority of our senior pilot group were hired in 2014, and about half of them came from Endeavor. They average new hire had 6-8 years as FOs elsewhere. Now, the majority have 8-10 years of airline experience, are LCA's, and have 1000 TPIC. They are all leaving for legacy carriers.
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Old 01-22-2018, 02:14 PM
  #1325  
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Originally Posted by Flyjustin
Jobs all of the above! And I took a job in training because id rather not fly.....for less than TRIPLE PREEMS. Ive logged like 350 hours in the past 2 1/2 years .
Dude that’s way too much.
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Old 01-22-2018, 02:22 PM
  #1326  
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Originally Posted by Flyjustin
Jobs all of the above! And I took a job in training because id rather not fly.....for less than TRIPLE PREEMS. Ive logged like 350 hours in the past 2 1/2 years .
Dude I hate you.. go back to chucky shaw.. dilly dilly
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Old 01-22-2018, 02:32 PM
  #1327  
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Is PDT still losing a few to UPS and Delta and an occasional JetBlue and Atlas? Anyone else picking them up?
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Old 01-22-2018, 02:41 PM
  #1328  
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Originally Posted by FmrPropCapt
Is PDT still losing a few to UPS and Delta and an occasional JetBlue and Atlas? Anyone else picking them up?
One of Piedmont’s FOs (0 TPIC) got picked up by Delta recently.

Had some folks interview with SWA also.
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Old 01-22-2018, 03:13 PM
  #1329  
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Originally Posted by PDTFlyer
That’s exactly what I think is happening. I’ll even bet later on we will see 175s to transition away from the 145 when it starts to time out.
Not possible as the regionals are essentially scoped out for AA. We would have to take them from another regional.

I could see us getting some TSA 145s whenever that contract is up, but nothing more than that.
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Old 01-22-2018, 03:38 PM
  #1330  
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What’s w the CP position today? EL heading to AA? Also a shakeup in the school house. Didn’t see that coming JP do we have to call you boss now? Youre still gonna be sugar plum to me tho.
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