Search

Notices
Money Talk Your hard-earned money

Inflation

Thread Tools
 
Search this Thread
 
Old 11-20-2009, 05:59 PM
  #11  
Moderator
 
Cubdriver's Avatar
 
Joined APC: May 2006
Position: ATP, CFI etc.
Posts: 6,056
Default

How's the MBA coming, Sky?
Cubdriver is offline  
Old 11-21-2009, 05:56 AM
  #12  
Self Employed.
Thread Starter
 
SkyHigh's Avatar
 
Joined APC: May 2005
Position: Corporate Pilot
Posts: 7,119
Default Low dollar not all bad

Originally Posted by bryris
I'm going to sort of swim upstream on this one and state that this one scenario "could" actually be a good thing for the USA. It will force the balance the trade back in our favor as foreign products will be more expensive compared to the domestically produced alternative. It could be a huge incentive to bring some manufacturing back in house.
A low dollar will move trade in our favor.

Skyhigh
SkyHigh is offline  
Old 11-21-2009, 05:57 AM
  #13  
Self Employed.
Thread Starter
 
SkyHigh's Avatar
 
Joined APC: May 2005
Position: Corporate Pilot
Posts: 7,119
Default MBA Not good

Originally Posted by Cubdriver
How's the MBA coming, Sky?
I have had to postpone college for a bit. We have a sick kid. He is slowly getting better though and is expected to make a full recovery.

Skyhigh
SkyHigh is offline  
Old 11-21-2009, 09:57 AM
  #14  
Gets Weekends Off
 
ryan1234's Avatar
 
Joined APC: Jun 2008
Position: USAF
Posts: 1,398
Default

Warning or not, the Keynes school was the fuel to spread inflation like wildfire.
ryan1234 is offline  
Old 11-21-2009, 06:19 PM
  #15  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined APC: Feb 2007
Posts: 105
Default

Originally Posted by bryris
I'm going to sort of swim upstream on this one and state that this one scenario "could" actually be a good thing for the USA. It will force the balance the trade back in our favor as foreign products will be more expensive compared to the domestically produced alternative. It could be a huge incentive to bring some manufacturing back in house.
The problem is that all products manufactured in the US have significant foreign inputs. You can buy a Ford made in the US, but the steel, electrical equipment, and rubber for the tires all come from China. The prices of these inputs will increase in a currency-devaluation inflationary environment, negating a lot of the benefit of a weak currency.
RXS676 is offline  
Old 11-21-2009, 06:23 PM
  #16  
Gets Weekends Off
 
Joined APC: Feb 2007
Posts: 105
Default

Originally Posted by bryris
Real estate is actually one of the best investments in an inflationary economy. There is only so much of it on the planet, as such it is a great commodity that will have instrinsic value outside of any fiat money quantities attached to it. Disregarding natural cycles in real estate value (this current drop in real estate value has little to do with inflation), the instrinsic value will merely demand more of the weakened dollars.
The recent real estate devaluation has nothing to do with inflation, but it has everything to do with the availability and cost of mortgages. In an inflationary environment, interest rates will skyrocket, sharply increasing the cost of mortgage financing. In the late 1970s, morgage interest rates were 18%! I believe that would clobber residential housing prices, especially since people make much smaller downpayments now, and the mortgage is a much more significant part of the purchase price.

I'm still trying to get my head around the impact on rents in an inflationary environment led my currency valuation (not rising incomes, as in the 1970s). It's so hard to be convinced that a landlord could raise rents when income is not increasing.
RXS676 is offline  
Old 11-21-2009, 07:07 PM
  #17  
Self Employed.
Thread Starter
 
SkyHigh's Avatar
 
Joined APC: May 2005
Position: Corporate Pilot
Posts: 7,119
Default Landlord

Originally Posted by RXS676
The recent real estate devaluation has nothing to do with inflation, but it has everything to do with the availability and cost of mortgages. In an inflationary environment, interest rates will skyrocket, sharply increasing the cost of mortgage financing. In the late 1970s, morgage interest rates were 18%! I believe that would clobber residential housing prices, especially since people make much smaller downpayments now, and the mortgage is a much more significant part of the purchase price.

I'm still trying to get my head around the impact on rents in an inflationary environment led my currency valuation (not rising incomes, as in the 1970s). It's so hard to be convinced that a landlord could raise rents when income is not increasing.
I am a landlord and I have been able to raise rents the entire time through this economic disaster. People who would have bought a house now have to rent and they are thankful to have a place to live in even though the rent is higher than it was a year ago.

Now is the time to acquire affordable rental properties at historically low rates before 18% interest rates.

Skyhigh
SkyHigh is offline  
Related Topics
Thread
Thread Starter
Forum
Replies
Last Post
Pharo351
Cargo
68
11-04-2009 06:45 PM
Boogie Nights
Major
13
10-15-2009 04:01 PM
JetJocF14
Cargo
6
09-10-2009 05:07 AM
ryan1234
Money Talk
4
02-18-2009 07:16 PM
withthatsaid182
Leaving the Career
58
09-30-2008 04:33 AM

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On



Your Privacy Choices