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Old 04-18-2015, 08:04 AM
  #31  
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Originally Posted by surfnski
Just saw 5, yes 5, Virgin 747s last night in MCO all departing for the UK within about 3 hours of each other. Some were doubled up on cities departing about 45 minutes apart. So sad.
Virgin is parking them all in the next 3 years. Everyone is parking their 747's. Their used value is essentially scrap unless they are very low cycle late models that might get picked up for cargo conversion. KLM and AF are also accelerating their whale retirements.
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Old 04-18-2015, 08:15 AM
  #32  
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Originally Posted by sailingfun
Virgin is parking them all in the next 3 years. Everyone is parking their 747's. Their used value is essentially scrap unless they are very low cycle late models that might get picked up for cargo conversion. KLM and AF are also accelerating their whale retirements.
That may be, but that's not the main point they were trying to make WRT that issue. It isn't the 747 so much as it is that much capacity doing something while we do nothing. If they pull 4 whales in that market and add 5 or 6 smaller widebodies, the point still stands. We may be doing a seasonal single flight a day on that market now, but if so its only to bare bones balance other places they've recently added into our markets they didn't do before.

There is legit concern about the one sided nature of these JV's. Maybe one day when our "half" is defined as greater than 50% for 4 years to a point the other airlines have to file a grievance it won't be as much of a concern.
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Old 04-18-2015, 08:37 AM
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Originally Posted by gloopy
That may be, but that's not the main point they were trying to make WRT that issue. It isn't the 747 so much as it is that much capacity doing something while we do nothing. If they pull 4 whales in that market and add 5 or 6 smaller widebodies, the point still stands. We may be doing a seasonal single flight a day on that market now, but if so its only to bare bones balance other places they've recently added into our markets they didn't do before.

There is legit concern about the one sided nature of these JV's. Maybe one day when our "half" is defined as greater than 50% for 4 years to a point the other airlines have to file a grievance it won't be as much of a concern.
In terms of actual flights with AF/KLM we have been around 55% for the last 4 years. Virgin has been flying a large number of flights to MCO long before linking up with Delta.
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Old 04-18-2015, 09:27 AM
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Originally Posted by sailingfun
b]In terms of actual flights with AF/KLM[/b] we have been around 55% for the last 4 years. Virgin has been flying a large number of flights to MCO long before linking up with Delta.
But our JV's metrics aren't based on flights...as you well know. It's based on EASK's, and we are way down from where we should be.

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Old 04-18-2015, 09:48 AM
  #35  
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Originally Posted by surfnski
Just saw 5, yes 5, Virgin 747s last night in MCO all departing for the UK within about 3 hours of each other. Some were doubled up on cities departing about 45 minutes apart. So sad.
747s don't make any money (why else would everybody be getting rid of them?). And MCO is a throwaway market. Unless you hit it with huge volume there is nothing to be made there. It'd be interesting to see the RASM on that route.
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Old 04-18-2015, 09:49 AM
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Originally Posted by scambo1
First world problems. Guess you got no invite?
BOOM!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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Old 04-18-2015, 09:52 AM
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Originally Posted by WARich
Please, it's a simple question, don't be so defensive. So is there some trouble in the Seattle paradise or not? If one is trying to be Seattle based you could maybe open your eyes to why someone would ask the question rather than assuming there are other reasons.
No, no trouble. Minor setback I would say but nothing to worry about. With a worldwide recession about to hit full stride, this might be the setback that we are looking for in order to prove the DAL plan. I have no idea where you work, but whatever company it is better take a hard look at their balance sheet. I know AAL is going the wrong way. Not sure about UAL. Labor isues are a mosquito on the elephant's butt in this equation.
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Old 04-18-2015, 10:49 AM
  #38  
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One bummer is that fewer and fewer DAL pilots can have the reasonable career expectation of being a WB Captain. Seems those jobs are just as many numbers away even with all the recent hiring. Will that make the seniority integration with AS more difficult?
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Old 04-18-2015, 11:29 AM
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Originally Posted by FlyZ
One bummer is that fewer and fewer DAL pilots can have the reasonable career expectation of being a WB Captain.
Not true. Just not super premium.

Edit: 7ERA is down to 7000. We will be retiring a HUGE portion of the seniority list in the next 15 years. Pretty sure the math works for more and more on the list to be making WB captain, AND to be making it far sooner than those of us now in the seats did.
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Old 04-18-2015, 12:08 PM
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Originally Posted by BenderRodriguez
747s don't make any money (why else would everybody be getting rid of them?). And MCO is a throwaway market. Unless you hit it with huge volume there is nothing to be made there. It'd be interesting to see the RASM on that route.
That's just not true t. The 744 is our second lowest cost airframe at Delta. They're not parking them because they're unprofitable. They're parking them because the cost to give them their upcoming heavy checks will take too much time to recoup.

The current price of fuel is making them even more profitable now. Unfortunately, that doesn't help the cost of the heavy checks that would need to begin in 2016.

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