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Delta and TPG look To put bid on AMR Corp

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Old 01-14-2012, 09:03 AM
  #171  
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Originally Posted by Elvis90
....a US Air-American merger, and renaming the new company American because of name recognition. That would make them competitive with UCal & DAL.
That's exactly why a LCC/AA merger would be approved. It also why I think that's what will happen.

DAL/AA would be too big a Borg and would have trouble getting by the DoJ.
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Old 01-14-2012, 09:21 AM
  #172  
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Originally Posted by formerdal
The creditors with a say in the matter are the secured creditors. The employee unions are part of the unsecured creditors and as such have quite a bit less influence in these matters. The Delta hostile Takeover was only defeated by one vote form what I understand and this environment is very different than then.
The secured creditors are those whose debt is backed by the assets or the collateral of the debtor. As a result, they have less "skin in the game" in regard to the outcome of the reorganization. Now if their debt is backed by a 1985 MD-88, no outcome of the reorganization is going to stop that asset from being marked to market.

The unsecured creditors are dependent on a successful outcome of the reorganization to recoup their claims. The consensus definition of a successful outcome will be a sausage making process among an eclectic group of committee members, but I believe there will be a bias towards independence based on the makeup of the total committee and their respective interests. Additionally, AMR has ~ $4.9B in cash and another $2.5B of unencumbered assets, so they are in a position to exert as much control of their own destiny as the process allows.

At this point, there's no right or wrong answers as there are so many moving parts in this process that have to play out, and no one has control of external world events that may influence the process.
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Old 01-14-2012, 09:30 AM
  #173  
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Originally Posted by DeadHead
Who owns the landing slots in at LAX, is it DAL or ALK?

I'm guessing that AS probably owns a significant amount, otherwise we probably wouldn't be codesharing with them as much as we do. So your point is that AS is overvalued as a company now because of the their significant feed provided to competing mainline companies (a.k.a. DAL competing with AMR)?
There are no slot restrictions at LAX.

AMR tried to get some put in place a few years ago, but there are none...

Terminals and gates are like Afghanistan - too many involved to get the story straight...


Cheers
George
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Old 01-14-2012, 09:32 AM
  #174  
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Originally Posted by georgetg
There are no slot restrictions at LAX.

AMR tried to get some put in place a few years ago, but there are none...

Terminals and gates are like Afghanistan - too many involved to get the story straight...


Cheers
George
ME thinks LAX is going to be very BIG for DAL in the future. I just hope DALPA/DPA pilots will be the major benefactor.

TEN
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Old 01-14-2012, 10:09 AM
  #175  
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Originally Posted by TenYearsGone
ME thinks LAX is going to be very BIG for DAL in the future. I just hope DALPA/DPA pilots will be the major benefactor.

TEN
Man I would love to believe that...
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Old 01-14-2012, 10:12 AM
  #176  
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Originally Posted by formerdal
Actually, its not bull hockey. Alaska is reaping the rewards of both the AMR and DAL codeshares, without either one of these Alaska is not nearly as attractive. The AMR code at ASK is about as large as ours...
I disagree. The size of the AMR codeshare has little to do with their value.
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Old 01-14-2012, 10:26 AM
  #177  
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Originally Posted by Fishfreighter
That's the only way it would happen...DAL would have to buy AS.



Any takeover of ALK would have to be hostile and no one wants to pay the premium to do it, especially when you're getting the same feed from the code share.
Anderson has said in the past, "Why buy the cow when you get the milk for free," in response to a DL buyout of AS. However, you don't think that DL and AS management haven't already discussed golden parachutes in case of a hookup?
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Old 01-14-2012, 10:32 AM
  #178  
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Originally Posted by tsquare
I disagree. The size of the AMR codeshare has little to do with their value.
How do you figure? Take away the pro-rate passengers they fly under either AMR or DAL and their margins plummet. If the stats thrown out by folks here are accurate (DAL/AMR putting 1.2 million pax each on Alaska) then 15% of Alaska's passenger enplanement traffic is through those codeshares alone. They also have substantial net code share arrangements with a host of other airlines, when combined also help their margins quite a bit. A purchase of Alaska by a SkyTeam or oneworld member would change the playing field considerably.
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Old 01-14-2012, 12:02 PM
  #179  
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Originally Posted by RockyBoy
Truck drivers are making 100K+ right now in ND. Truck owners up there are making 40K per month per truck! Yeah....really. Forget a law degree.
There are lots of truck drivers that earn 100K+ per year separate of the oil boom in the midwest. Unfortunately Uncle Sam is increasingly making it harder every day for the owner-operator or small trucking company owner to make money.
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Old 01-14-2012, 03:11 PM
  #180  
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1) My wife used to be an associate with the firm that represents the Independent Truckers' Assocation (I think that's what they called themselves.). Every industry will have its high-income outliers, but Joe Trucker is busting his tail just to make ends meet.

2) I have friends at AA, and I've always been treated well when I've jumpseated with AA. I wish every single one of those guys the very best.

3) The only happy pilots I know are those with multiple income streams. This is a great job, but it's just too insecure to put all of one's eggs in its basket.
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