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Old 02-08-2020, 12:56 PM
  #621  
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Default End of 2019 salary survey

Originally Posted by Profane Kahuna
So ~ $70,000 annually for someone retiring 2020 at 65? Nice.



Now they only have to replace $60,000.



Did they fix this part?





“The lawsuit stems from Delta’s 2005 bankruptcy filing and subsequent transfer of pension liability to the PBGC. The agency botched its takeover of their pensions by defying the benefit priorities established by statute in an effort to keep money in its coffers and maximize its investment returns, the pilots said.



The PBGC allegedly blocked objections to this move by withholding information and denying them the opportunity to lodge an “informed appeal,” the pilots said.”



https://news.bloomberglaw.com/employ...ederal-insurer


Yup, $60k/yr, just like I said on my reply to you above (post #612).

The laws changed after the Great Recession, precisely because of those issues you’ve pointed out.

My point being is that a pension doesn’t go completely away to zero. It may go down (to a limit) if FDX/UPS goes BK and they can convince a judge to divest the pension to the PBGC. At FDX/UPS, pilots have both a defined benefit plan and a defined contribution plan (9%/12%) respectively. Neither are 100% safe. In Bk, the pension can go down. In a down market, the 401k can go down just as much if not more. Having some of both, doesn’t sound scary to me, as some alluded to on this thread. But if the economy is bad enough for a judge to find it that for FDX/UPS have to divest it’s pension plan in order to remain viable, what will the stock market look like and do to your 401k? If you only have your 401k?

Each plan is a hedge against the other, if you have both.

Last edited by FXLAX; 02-08-2020 at 01:11 PM.
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Old 02-08-2020, 02:01 PM
  #622  
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Originally Posted by FXLAX
Yup, $60k/yr, just like I said on my reply to you above (post #612).

The laws changed after the Great Recession, precisely because of those issues you’ve pointed out.

My point being is that a pension doesn’t go completely away to zero. It may go down (to a limit) if FDX/UPS goes BK and they can convince a judge to divest the pension to the PBGC. At FDX/UPS, pilots have both a defined benefit plan and a defined contribution plan (9%/12%) respectively. Neither are 100% safe. In Bk, the pension can go down. In a down market, the 401k can go down just as much if not more. Having some of both, doesn’t sound scary to me, as some alluded to on this thread. But if the economy is bad enough for a judge to find it that for FDX/UPS have to divest it’s pension plan in order to remain viable, what will the stock market look like and do to your 401k? If you only have your 401k?

Each plan is a hedge against the other, if you have both.
I had not seen the changes to PBGC, thanks for pointing that out. Losing 50ish percent of your pension is certainly better than our predecessors had it when they lost almost everything.

As to your statements worrying about 401k’s in a down economy, you can always invest in real estate or something else so that you don’t have all your eggs in the stock market basket.
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Old 02-08-2020, 02:23 PM
  #623  
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Originally Posted by Profane Kahuna
I had not seen the changes to PBGC, thanks for pointing that out. Losing 50ish percent of your pension is certainly better than our predecessors had it when they lost almost ....
I don’t think Delta & United pilots lost their pension, it went to PBGC and they are getting a reduced amount of what they had earned up to the point of the Bankrupcy.

My father had the same thing happen in the early 80’s!
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Old 02-08-2020, 02:48 PM
  #624  
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Originally Posted by Profane Kahuna
I had not seen the changes to PBGC, thanks for pointing that out. Losing 50ish percent of your pension is certainly better than our predecessors had it when they lost almost everything.



As to your statements worrying about 401k’s in a down economy, you can always invest in real estate or something else so that you don’t have all your eggs in the stock market basket.

Some people lost a lot of equity during the Great Recession as well. But I don’t think you can simply withdraw from your 401k without paying income taxes plus a 10% penalty anyway. So I’m not sure taking that money out would be a good idea, especially if you’re already down in your portfolio.
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Old 02-08-2020, 04:53 PM
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Originally Posted by FXLAX
Some people lost a lot of equity during the Great Recession as well. But I don’t think you can simply withdraw from your 401k without paying income taxes plus a 10% penalty anyway. So I’m not sure taking that money out would be a good idea, especially if you’re already down in your portfolio.
I’m not talking about taking money out. I mean don’t put all your eggs in the “stock market” basket in the first place.
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Old 02-08-2020, 05:19 PM
  #626  
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Seems pretty foolish to keep your money mostly in stocks even as you reach retirement age.
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Old 02-08-2020, 07:42 PM
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Originally Posted by Peacock
Seems pretty foolish to keep your money mostly in stocks even as you reach retirement age.
Check out this post from Dave Ramsey, who is a financial talk show host...

https://www.daveramsey.com/askdave/saving/10620

He explains here why it’s a good idea to be 100% in mutual funds throughout your retirement years. He acknowledges that his advice goes against what many financial advisers suggest.
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Old 02-09-2020, 06:15 AM
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Originally Posted by CantStayAway
Check out this post from Dave Ramsey, who is a financial talk show host...

https://www.daveramsey.com/askdave/saving/10620

He explains here why it’s a good idea to be 100% in mutual funds throughout your retirement years. He acknowledges that his advice goes against what many financial advisers suggest.

A good study to look at is called the Trinity Study. It’s based on real historical data. Takes portfolios with different mixes of stocks and bonds and shows how long an annual 4% more or less withdrawal rate will last you without running out of money. It’s a very interesting study.
Here is a synopsis of the study from Forbes. The chart is very interesting to look at.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.for...d-to-2018/amp/
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Old 02-09-2020, 08:58 AM
  #629  
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Originally Posted by Profane Kahuna
I’m not talking about taking money out. I mean don’t put all your eggs in the “stock market” basket in the first place.

I won’t comment on what is best to do with your non-retirement income since that is definitely beyond the scope of this thread. Suffice it to say, that any pilot can choose to invest their disposable income in real estate. That doesn’t change the points about defined benefit plans and defined contribution plans.
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Old 02-09-2020, 10:19 AM
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Originally Posted by FXLAX
I won’t comment on what is best to do with your non-retirement income since that is definitely beyond the scope of this thread. Suffice it to say, that any pilot can choose to invest their disposable income in real estate. That doesn’t change the points about defined benefit plans and defined contribution plans.
Well if you are going to be scared of 401k’s because of stock market volatility you would do well to consider real estate.
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