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Old 01-21-2024, 08:37 AM
  #931  
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Originally Posted by OpieTaylor
I think he would have, overlapping doesn’t mean competing.

Delta can have more than 1 flight a day from ATL-DTW, if doesn’t mean each departure competes with the prior one.

Spirit and frontier can each have 200 seats on a market that supports 400 seats a day and it looks like competition, but it isn’t.
Overlapping routes DOES mean competing.

One airline, two flights a day can charge more per seat than two airlines, two flights a day. The single airline two flights a day controls all the direct seats, and can price accordingly. The two airlines, two flights have to consider each other's pricing, or their are customers who don't have loyalty on one airline, and will go the others flights to save money, even if the flight times are different.

Market share is a common consideration in antitrust.
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Old 01-21-2024, 12:14 PM
  #932  
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Originally Posted by OpieTaylor
I think he would have, overlapping doesn’t mean competing.

Delta can have more than 1 flight a day from ATL-DTW, if doesn’t mean each departure competes with the prior one.

Spirit and frontier can each have 200 seats on a market that supports 400 seats a day and it looks like competition, but it isn’t.
Companies definitely compete with themselves, they call it cannibalizaiton. When iPhone 15 comes out, it cuts into prior model iPhone sales as well as Android, etc.

I think maybe you're getting at the idea that ULCCs stimulate demand for air travel that previously didn't exist? Maybe the price constraints inherent in that type of inelastic demand prevent any ULCC from raising prices, whether they represent 1% or 100% of the airline market on a certain route. They're not really competing with each other, they're competing with buses, staycations, etc. So monopolistic market shares in the ULCC segment may not raise regulatory concerns, since they are not accompanied by the monopolistic pricing power that anti-trust laws are meant to prevent. Pure speculation on my part, but seems like an interesting theory.
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Old 01-22-2024, 08:42 AM
  #933  
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Default Can a new administration drop this lawsuit ?

Let say this lawsuit is is still in the appeal process and a new administration comes in, can the new adminsitration and the new DOJ, DOT etc choose to drop the case altogether? Or is it too late for that and this judgement is forever ?
Thanks
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Old 01-22-2024, 08:49 AM
  #934  
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Originally Posted by Refing
Let say this lawsuit is is still in the appeal process and a new administration comes in, can the new adminsitration and the new DOJ, DOT etc choose to drop the case altogether? Or is it too late for that and this judgement is forever ?
Thanks
I think the damage is done. Judge has ruled. Now it is all about overturning that ruling through the appeals court process. New administration wouldnt be able to do anything.
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Old 01-22-2024, 08:53 AM
  #935  
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Originally Posted by Refing
Let say this lawsuit is is still in the appeal process and a new administration comes in, can the new adminsitration and the new DOJ, DOT etc choose to drop the case altogether? Or is it too late for that and this judgement is forever ?
Thanks
appeals is 5 to 6 months out. New Administration (maybe) is about a year out.

not sure how you came up with your math on that one…
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Old 01-22-2024, 10:37 AM
  #936  
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Originally Posted by Flyby1206
I think the damage is done. Judge has ruled. Now it is all about overturning that ruling through the appeals court process. New administration wouldnt be able to do anything.
DOJ can still technically cut a deal at any time.
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Old 01-22-2024, 06:00 PM
  #937  
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Originally Posted by Flyby1206
I think the damage is done. Judge has ruled. Now it is all about overturning that ruling through the appeals court process. New administration wouldnt be able to do anything.
why are the Jblu guys hoping for this merger to go through?

It's a bad deal for Jblu pilots and a terrible deal for the company. We all dodged a bullet with the judges decision ... the company would have spent years trying to recover finances. As it is, a standalone Jblu will probably be profitable in 2024. With the Spirit albatross it would have been years.

I totally disagree with our MEC for pushing to lobby the politicians to support the merger. The union was "neutral" on the merger until some fools got the idea that we should get on board ... just to get some more bases etc etc.

it was a bad deal, let's move on.
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Old 01-22-2024, 07:08 PM
  #938  
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Originally Posted by IrishNJ
why are the Jblu guys hoping for this merger to go through?

It's a bad deal for Jblu pilots and a terrible deal for the company. We all dodged a bullet with the judges decision ... the company would have spent years trying to recover finances. As it is, a standalone Jblu will probably be profitable in 2024. With the Spirit albatross it would have been years.

I totally disagree with our MEC for pushing to lobby the politicians to support the merger. The union was "neutral" on the merger until some fools got the idea that we should get on board ... just to get some more bases etc etc.

it was a bad deal, let's move on.
that's fair comment. I don't know if 100% with you but certainly I've been skeptical at times. Judging by your name, are you EWR based....I'm not sure that gets any "organic" growth.
Which sort of is another diagnostic altogether of tachysuckia from B6 upper management post pandemic. Whether you think it was a good deal or not what's significant is THEY thought it was, so that level of suck should make you nervous.
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Old 01-23-2024, 04:47 AM
  #939  
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Originally Posted by IrishNJ
why are the Jblu guys hoping for this merger to go through?

It's a bad deal for Jblu pilots and a terrible deal for the company. We all dodged a bullet with the judges decision ... the company would have spent years trying to recover finances. As it is, a standalone Jblu will probably be profitable in 2024. With the Spirit albatross it would have been years.

I totally disagree with our MEC for pushing to lobby the politicians to support the merger. The union was "neutral" on the merger until some fools got the idea that we should get on board ... just to get some more bases etc etc.

it was a bad deal, let's move on.

I've been wondering about this myself. Debt loads really hurt a company's agility. I am cautiously optimistic.
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Old 01-23-2024, 04:57 AM
  #940  
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Originally Posted by IrishNJ
why are the Jblu guys hoping for this merger to go through?

It's a bad deal for Jblu pilots and a terrible deal for the company. We all dodged a bullet with the judges decision ... the company would have spent years trying to recover finances. As it is, a standalone Jblu will probably be profitable in 2024. With the Spirit albatross it would have been years.

bases etc etc.

it was a bad deal, let's move on.
Because others have different opinions and priorities than you. Doesn't matter what we all think though. What is destined to happen, will happen. Be it merger or standalone.
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