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Old 12-05-2023, 05:40 PM
  #381  
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Originally Posted by Andy
I made more on this trade than my W2 this year (737 CA). Most of the gains are in Roth accounts.

No, I'm not shorting SAVE nor buying puts.
If the price drops enough (8s or lower) and it's mid-Jan without a decision, I'll probably take a smallish position.
Airline Pilot, Judicial Expert, Peter Lynch clone….. what else? 😑
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Old 12-05-2023, 05:43 PM
  #382  
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Originally Posted by andy
i was at court today.
Unimpressed with jblu's closing; doj put on a good performance, best to date.

Didn't feel great leaving the courtroom.

Chatted it up with other attendees. Singled out one woman i really wanted to talk to since i'd seen her every day i attended.
She ended up being an antitrust atty who attends these things regularly. She stated it's 80% chance of ruling with doj. The other two attys agreed it appeared to be a doj victory.

I painfully sold a metric $hitton of save stock after that conversation and am now out of the stock.

I really wanted to hear something different from the other attendees.

I still think it's a coin flip and is a reasonable merger but i couldn't justify my extreme overweight position. All the best to you guys.

trying to goose your short position! Was her name kathy wood? She is usually wrong.
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Old 12-05-2023, 06:15 PM
  #383  
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Originally Posted by Andy
LOL!

JBLU's closing arguments were meh.
I was extremely disappointed with Mr Shores' response to the Judge's pointed question on whether or not more divestitures would be satisfactory to JBLU. He took a couple of minutes rambling on about this and that before meekly saying yes, that'll work. Contrast that with the same question asked of the DOJ attorney - 'no your Honor, there are no divestitures that will solve this problem'. No hesitation, just a rapid concise answer to the Judge.
The B6 lawyer was probably not in a position to give a blanket yes on further divestitures, which is something only the company can decide. Wasn't there, but a smart concise answer would probably have been something along the lines of "JetBlue would be open to considering all fair proposals..." and leave it at that.

Since he has apparently asked this question previously, it sounds more like he was taking a final temperature of both sides. This is a bench trial, not a jury trial, so it's unlikely that a passionate summation is what will ultimately sway his decision any more than a less elegant closing argument. He has the data provided, case law provided, and the law as written.

Now the waiting game.
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Old 12-05-2023, 06:55 PM
  #384  
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Originally Posted by RemoveB4flght
The B6 lawyer was probably not in a position to give a blanket yes on further divestitures, which is something only the company can decide. Wasn't there, but a smart concise answer would probably have been something along the lines of "JetBlue would be open to considering all fair proposals..." and leave it at that.

Since he has apparently asked this question previously, it sounds more like he was taking a final temperature of both sides. This is a bench trial, not a jury trial, so it's unlikely that a passionate summation is what will ultimately sway his decision any more than a less elegant closing argument. He has the data provided, case law provided, and the law as written.

Now the waiting game.
Still blows my mind that this all comes down to just one man.
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Old 12-05-2023, 06:58 PM
  #385  
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Originally Posted by Lincoln Osiris
Still blows my mind that this all comes down to just one man.
Yeah……Sleepy Joe
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Old 12-05-2023, 07:08 PM
  #386  
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Originally Posted by RemoveB4flght
The B6 lawyer was probably not in a position to give a blanket yes on further divestitures, which is something only the company can decide. Wasn't there, but a smart concise answer would probably have been something along the lines of "JetBlue would be open to considering all fair proposals..." and leave it at that.

Since he has apparently asked this question previously, it sounds more like he was taking a final temperature of both sides. This is a bench trial, not a jury trial, so it's unlikely that a passionate summation is what will ultimately sway his decision any more than a less elegant closing argument. He has the data provided, case law provided, and the law as written.

Now the waiting game.
Any guess-timates on how long until a verdict?
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Old 12-06-2023, 12:16 AM
  #387  
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Originally Posted by Chimpy
Airline Pilot, Judicial Expert, Peter Lynch clone….. what else? 😑
Someone needs to be sent to jelly school...
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Old 12-06-2023, 12:26 AM
  #388  
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Originally Posted by Gordon Axel
trying to goose your short position! Was her name kathy wood? She is usually wrong.
LOL! I haven't shorted anything since the Fed unveiled QE more than a decade ago. Not a safe thing to do when the world's central banks are willing to use digital printing presses.

By the way, it's Cathie Wood and SARK is a triple short ARKK if you feel saucy. SARK is down 89.3% YTD.
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Old 12-06-2023, 05:44 AM
  #389  
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Originally Posted by RemoveB4flght
The B6 lawyer was probably not in a position to give a blanket yes on further divestitures, which is something only the company can decide. Wasn't there, but a smart concise answer would probably have been something along the lines of "JetBlue would be open to considering all fair proposals..." and leave it at that.

Since he has apparently asked this question previously, it sounds more like he was taking a final temperature of both sides. This is a bench trial, not a jury trial, so it's unlikely that a passionate summation is what will ultimately sway his decision any more than a less elegant closing argument. He has the data provided, case law provided, and the law as written.

Now the waiting game.
Yes, that’s basically what the JBLU lawyer said when asked about further divestments, saying the Judge has the authority to request more. Meanwhile the DOJ, when asked the same question, came back with their standard “no divestments” would remedy this merger.

So you have a judge that basically says over and over again that he is not inclined to put a full injunction on this merger, asks multiple times what they think of a court asking for more divestments, asks both sides, and one side still says no

I don’t think the judge appreciated that kind of unwillingness.
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Old 12-06-2023, 07:00 AM
  #390  
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Originally Posted by Tileguy2023
Any guess-timates on how long until a verdict?
Probably bout as much time as it takes his clerk(s) to construct a thorough written decision.
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