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Old 01-25-2024, 02:55 AM
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Default Part 121 hiring status in 2024?

Ok, so I just realized that Alaska has removed the FO position from its careers website. I know that the regionals have slowed down hiring, but I wasn't expecting the slow down in hiring to hit the majors so early. WN has stopped, DL is also reducing hiring, and people are unsure about NK anymore.

Are UA, AA and HAL the only legacies still going full throttle on hiring? I know UA has class dates planned throughout 2024 but who knows if that's going to be the case anymore?
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Old 01-25-2024, 05:11 AM
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Delta has indeed slowed ... to 1000 per year.
If UA and AA keep at 2K each, that still exceeds hiring for the entire industry from 2009-2014

To whatever extent the captain vacuum slows down, the regionals will increase hiring.

It's a weird labor market, but (Spirit aside) everybody is making money
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Old 01-25-2024, 09:16 AM
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Originally Posted by VacancyBid
Delta has indeed slowed ... to 1000 per year.
If UA and AA keep at 2K each, that still exceeds hiring for the entire industry from 2009-2014
1000 per year will exceed all but 2 years, plus 2022 and 2023. So, top 5 in the last two decades.
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Old 01-28-2024, 06:39 AM
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Practically none of the regionals are hiring 1500 hour pilots right now.
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Old 01-28-2024, 01:37 PM
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Originally Posted by 121noob
Practically none of the regionals are hiring 1500 hour pilots right now.
Which is a sign of a strong hiring market, not a weak one
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Old 01-28-2024, 04:29 PM
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Originally Posted by VacancyBid
Which is a sign of a strong hiring market, not a weak one
Can you explain this?
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Old 01-28-2024, 05:32 PM
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Originally Posted by 121noob
Can you explain this?
Not enough captains as they’re all getting hired at major airlines. No need for FOs if you can’t staff the left seat.
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Old 01-28-2024, 10:20 PM
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Originally Posted by VacancyBid
Which is a sign of a strong hiring market, not a weak one
Not really. they are not hiring FOs because they dont have enough CAs to support them. It doesnt take a rocket scientist to realize if Senior FOs and CAs are getting hired by majors and you are not hiring FOs then you quickly run out of CAs....its a death spiral for regionals and, unless Majors slow down hiring, could be the end of the regional model and cause increased competition for 1500hr pilots. Get ready to pay for type ratings, training contracts (such as Republics) will become the norm. 135 operators like Flexjet have increased their minimums from 1500 to 3,000.......
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Old 01-29-2024, 07:20 AM
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Originally Posted by followingdreams
Not really. they are not hiring FOs because they dont have enough CAs to support them. It doesnt take a rocket scientist to realize if Senior FOs and CAs are getting hired by majors and you are not hiring FOs then you quickly run out of CAs....its a death spiral for regionals and, unless Majors slow down hiring, could be the end of the regional model and cause increased competition for 1500hr pilots. Get ready to pay for type ratings, training contracts (such as Republics) will become the norm. 135 operators like Flexjet have increased their minimums from 1500 to 3,000.......
A reversion to the mean. Essentially, the labor market has/will plateau and eventually return to former/normal levels. IF you get hired at your stepping stone carrier, whether 121 or 135, be prepared to stay there for a while since competitive hiring numbers will increase. Mis dos centavos.
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Old 01-29-2024, 08:32 AM
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Originally Posted by cons
A reversion to the mean. Essentially, the labor market has/will plateau and eventually return to former/normal levels. IF you get hired at your stepping stone carrier, whether 121 or 135, be prepared to stay there for a while since competitive hiring numbers will increase. Mis dos centavos.
Correct. We've seen these cycles many times and the only real variable is the lengths of the booms and busts. The surprising shortness of the COVID bust combined with generous early-out packages has conspired to make this boom longer than average but it will end like all the ones before. As stated though, planned hiring is still way above historical norms in 2024.

When I was in flight school American Eagle required about 5,000 hours to fly a Saab 340 for $19/hr. A few years later Republic required 3,000 hours to fly a 170 for $23/hr. So I'd say things are still pretty good for 1500 hour pilots even if they are slightly worse than they were a year ago.
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