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Old 12-07-2023, 07:51 AM
  #101  
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Originally Posted by Moonwolf
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Moonwolf, I read your post before you took it down and I absolutely understand your concerns. This will be merger #3 for me. I've been on both sides of the Acquired/Aqcuire fence. Neither situation is what I would consider a good time.

What I've come to accept through those experiences, is, we have zero control over what's about to happen and when the dust settles, our energy is best spent working together to make as many gains as possible in the upcoming JCBA

Some things that I see as positives for this shotgun wedding are:

SLI is usually the most contentious aspect of any merger, but this time around, I see little overlap. Both companies are big with hiring locally. Pilots go to HA for the base just like a large portion of AS pilots come here for the base/region. I don't think your seniority will see much, if any, shift downward. Very few AS pilots are going to willingly commute for 5 hours. In fact, I would put money on there being more HA pilots that will benefit from having access to West Coast Bases. Your in base seniority may even creep up a bit. If you're concerned that everyone will flock to the WB flying, I'd be absolutely dumbfounded if AS doesn't put a WB base in SEA or one of our other West Coast bases. That will mitigate any large numbers of commuting pilots from heading west. I'm completely confident you will remain in your airplane, retain your current qol and realize your career expectations.

This is a growth acquisition. Unlike the last one, HA and AS only compete on a handful of routes. VX had been in AS' cross hairs since they flew their first flight. They were taking pax right out of AS' pocket. AS has no reason to shutter HA or ditch the WB flying. They want to compete with the big 3 off the West Coast. I think they realize they have a shot at rattling DL's cage in SEA. A while back, when we joined One World, they put out some post stating how many WB we would fill for AA.... I think a light bulb went off and they realized, if they could fill X amount of AA widebodies, why not fill our own??? I see the WB fleet growing, perhaps doubling from HA's current fleet numbers. Further cementing you into your WB seat and current QOL with the additional pay and improved work rules we can gain in the JCBA.
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Old 12-07-2023, 08:26 AM
  #102  
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Originally Posted by KnockKnock
Moonwolf, I read your post before you took it down and I absolutely understand your concerns. This will be merger #3 for me. I've been on both sides of the Acquired/Aqcuire fence. Neither situation is what I would consider a good time.

What I've come to accept through those experiences, is, we have zero control over what's about to happen and when the dust settles, our energy is best spent working together to make as many gains as possible in the upcoming JCBA

Some things that I see as positives for this shotgun wedding are:

SLI is usually the most contentious aspect of any merger, but this time around, I see little overlap. Both companies are big with hiring locally. Pilots go to HA for the base just like a large portion of AS pilots come here for the base/region. I don't think your seniority will see much, if any, shift downward. Very few AS pilots are going to willingly commute for 5 hours. In fact, I would put money on there being more HA pilots that will benefit from having access to West Coast Bases. Your in base seniority may even creep up a bit. If you're concerned that everyone will flock to the WB flying, I'd be absolutely dumbfounded if AS doesn't put a WB base in SEA or one of our other West Coast bases. That will mitigate any large numbers of commuting pilots from heading west. I'm completely confident you will remain in your airplane, retain your current qol and realize your career expectations.

This is a growth acquisition. Unlike the last one, HA and AS only compete on a handful of routes. VX had been in AS' cross hairs since they flew their first flight. They were taking pax right out of AS' pocket. AS has no reason to shutter HA or ditch the WB flying. They want to compete with the big 3 off the West Coast. I think they realize they have a shot at rattling DL's cage in SEA. A while back, when we joined One World, they put out some post stating how many WB we would fill for AA.... I think a light bulb went off and they realized, if they could fill X amount of AA widebodies, why not fill our own??? I see the WB fleet growing, perhaps doubling from HA's current fleet numbers. Further cementing you into your WB seat and current QOL with the additional pay and improved work rules we can gain in the JCBA.
very well said, agree 100%, and much better said hitting the high points than I could!
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Old 12-07-2023, 11:50 AM
  #103  
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Originally Posted by KnockKnock
Moonwolf, I read your post before you took it down and I absolutely understand your concerns. This will be merger #3 for me. I've been on both sides of the Acquired/Aqcuire fence. Neither situation is what I would consider a good time.

What I've come to accept through those experiences, is, we have zero control over what's about to happen and when the dust settles, our energy is best spent working together to make as many gains as possible in the upcoming JCBA

Some things that I see as positives for this shotgun wedding are:

SLI is usually the most contentious aspect of any merger, but this time around, I see little overlap. Both companies are big with hiring locally. Pilots go to HA for the base just like a large portion of AS pilots come here for the base/region. I don't think your seniority will see much, if any, shift downward. Very few AS pilots are going to willingly commute for 5 hours. In fact, I would put money on there being more HA pilots that will benefit from having access to West Coast Bases. Your in base seniority may even creep up a bit. If you're concerned that everyone will flock to the WB flying, I'd be absolutely dumbfounded if AS doesn't put a WB base in SEA or one of our other West Coast bases. That will mitigate any large numbers of commuting pilots from heading west. I'm completely confident you will remain in your airplane, retain your current qol and realize your career expectations.

This is a growth acquisition. Unlike the last one, HA and AS only compete on a handful of routes. VX had been in AS' cross hairs since they flew their first flight. They were taking pax right out of AS' pocket. AS has no reason to shutter HA or ditch the WB flying. They want to compete with the big 3 off the West Coast. I think they realize they have a shot at rattling DL's cage in SEA. A while back, when we joined One World, they put out some post stating how many WB we would fill for AA.... I think a light bulb went off and they realized, if they could fill X amount of AA widebodies, why not fill our own??? I see the WB fleet growing, perhaps doubling from HA's current fleet numbers. Further cementing you into your WB seat and current QOL with the additional pay and improved work rules we can gain in the JCBA.
Well said. There are 2 top level aspects to this merger. 1 is the business side for both AS and HA. I think most folks see the good business side of this, some of the reasons pointed out here, which is in all of our best interests to continue to be viable in the competive airline world. The next is the impact to all of the employee groups and specifically here it is pilot groups, that area has some unknowns, which naturally can cause a level of discomfort, but as you and others have said that pilot union unity going forward is key. This is not the same deal as VX, very little if any similiarity, and there will surely be some folks who feel shorted, and others who do not, but as long as we all do our best to get the best JCBA going forward so we can have happy folks working to make this merger as succesful as it should be...

https://localcareglobalreach.com/wp-...esentation.pdf Saw this on a different board, a brief to Alaska's investors. The only thing I question outright in this brief is that they say the 717 is at half its life. It does have life, but not another 25 years at 12 cycles per day per airframe. The rest is pretty much what the non-naysayers are saying about the merger, all makes sense. Nothing too specific, but they do like the fact that many of the HA planes are owned outright (suprised HA has better lease terms, but another good thing in the deal).
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Old 12-07-2023, 12:29 PM
  #104  
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Originally Posted by GreenPatures
https://localcareglobalreach.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/12/Alaska-Airlines-Investor-Presentation.pdf Saw this on a different board, a brief to Alaska's investors. The only thing I question outright in this brief is that they say the 717 is at half its life. It does have life, but not another 25 years at 12 cycles per day per airframe. The rest is pretty much what the non-naysayers are saying about the merger, all makes sense. Nothing too specific, but they do like the fact that many of the HA planes are owned outright (suprised HA has better lease terms, but another good thing in the deal).
The 717 is essentially a DC9, made by McDonnal Douglas.. night and day in terms of cycles and hours lifespan relative to Boeing and Airbus.. the average DC9 flew to over 100,000 Cycles and 75000 hours by the time Delta/Nortwest et al retired them.

The problem with the 717 is the spare parts.
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Old 12-07-2023, 01:19 PM
  #105  
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Originally Posted by KnockKnock
Moonwolf, I read your post before you took it down and I absolutely understand your concerns. This will be merger #3 for me. I've been on both sides of the Acquired/Aqcuire fence. Neither situation is what I would consider a good time.

What I've come to accept through those experiences, is, we have zero control over what's about to happen and when the dust settles, our energy is best spent working together to make as many gains as possible in the upcoming JCBA

Some things that I see as positives for this shotgun wedding are:

SLI is usually the most contentious aspect of any merger, but this time around, I see little overlap. Both companies are big with hiring locally. Pilots go to HA for the base just like a large portion of AS pilots come here for the base/region. I don't think your seniority will see much, if any, shift downward. Very few AS pilots are going to willingly commute for 5 hours. In fact, I would put money on there being more HA pilots that will benefit from having access to West Coast Bases. Your in base seniority may even creep up a bit. If you're concerned that everyone will flock to the WB flying, I'd be absolutely dumbfounded if AS doesn't put a WB base in SEA or one of our other West Coast bases. That will mitigate any large numbers of commuting pilots from heading west. I'm completely confident you will remain in your airplane, retain your current qol and realize your career expectations.

This is a growth acquisition. Unlike the last one, HA and AS only compete on a handful of routes. VX had been in AS' cross hairs since they flew their first flight. They were taking pax right out of AS' pocket. AS has no reason to shutter HA or ditch the WB flying. They want to compete with the big 3 off the West Coast. I think they realize they have a shot at rattling DL's cage in SEA. A while back, when we joined One World, they put out some post stating how many WB we would fill for AA.... I think a light bulb went off and they realized, if they could fill X amount of AA widebodies, why not fill our own??? I see the WB fleet growing, perhaps doubling from HA's current fleet numbers. Further cementing you into your WB seat and current QOL with the additional pay and improved work rules we can gain in the JCBA.
I hear what you’re saying. Maybe I live in a world of negativity because there are an awful lot of comments that seem to make it like we’ve struck the lottery. When you say things like “this is growth” “ your plane will stay the same” I just don’t believe it. Are we just repeating what management types are saying? How do you know any of that? Will the 321s be gone 2-3 years from now?
with Alaska's aircraft order 70 something max planes would that just slowly replace the 330/321s and 5-10 years ago those are history.
You can tell I don’t like the unknown!
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Old 12-07-2023, 01:31 PM
  #106  
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Originally Posted by CATIII
The 717 is essentially a DC9, made by McDonnal Douglas.. night and day in terms of cycles and hours lifespan relative to Boeing and Airbus.. the average DC9 flew to over 100,000 Cycles and 75000 hours by the time Delta/Nortwest et al retired them.

The problem with the 717 is the spare parts.
Yep, have the DC9 type rating, tough plane...12 cycles a day for 11 months a year puts 99,000 cycles at 25 years, the average life of HA's 717s. Agree that parts will likely dry up before cycles, either way for cycles or sustainability it is not at half its useable life, more like 80% would be my guess. Delta is the largest operator (of 3, Qantas Link being the 3rd) and the 717 will go when they stop flying it, however they announced plans to put wifi in their 717s in 2024 so I think it easily does have 5 years-ish on its sustainable life, maybe more, but not another 25.
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Old 12-07-2023, 04:19 PM
  #107  
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Originally Posted by GreenPatures
Yep, have the DC9 type rating, tough plane...12 cycles a day for 11 months a year puts 99,000 cycles at 25 years, the average life of HA's 717s. Agree that parts will likely dry up before cycles, either way for cycles or sustainability it is not at half its useable life, more like 80% would be my guess. Delta is the largest operator (of 3, Qantas Link being the 3rd) and the 717 will go when they stop flying it, however they announced plans to put wifi in their 717s in 2024 so I think it easily does have 5 years-ish on its sustainable life, maybe more, but not another 25.
Qantas Link will have the 717s phased out by June with the 220 as the replacement. A few of their 717s have passed through HNL on their way to the desert in the last month.
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Old 12-07-2023, 05:18 PM
  #108  
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Originally Posted by Hawaii808
Qantas Link will have the 717s phased out by June with the 220 as the replacement. A few of their 717s have passed through HNL on their way to the desert in the last month.
HA should have just told them to save the flight and stay in HNL...they might be missing a few parts, but hey...
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Old 12-07-2023, 10:16 PM
  #109  
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Originally Posted by Moonwolf
I hear what you’re saying. Maybe I live in a world of negativity because there are an awful lot of comments that seem to make it like we’ve struck the lottery. When you say things like “this is growth” “ your plane will stay the same” I just don’t believe it. Are we just repeating what management types are saying? How do you know any of that? Will the 321s be gone 2-3 years from now?
with Alaska's aircraft order 70 something max planes would that just slowly replace the 330/321s and 5-10 years ago those are history.
You can tell I don’t like the unknown!
I don't blame you in the least. Uncertainty is stressful.
I honestly don't know any more than the next guy and am only speculating.
Based on AS' history with the 321, yes, I'd expect them to be sold off and replaced by the MAX. The 330 will most likely be phased out in favor of a larger 787 fleet. AS loves their streamlined fleets.
The timeline on when these things take place is anybody guess. Just based off of our recent merger, it's gonna be 3-5 years until any measurable changes are felt by the pilots.
We've got to get DOJ approval, JCBA, SLI, any fences around the WB etc. This is why I think you're going to sitting comfortably in your airplane for a long time to come. By the time any fence comes down, there will most likely be other WB bases to mitigate any potential migration of AS pilots to HNL.
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Old 12-08-2023, 06:28 AM
  #110  
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I don't have dog in this, but I'm hopeful for both groups to have amazing careers. I am concerned about the Hawaiian brand despite of what's been said so far. I could totally see Alaska try and dabble in WB flying from CONUS to elsewhere using HAL WB's only to get clobbered by the competition only to "return to basics" by getting rid of the WB's and going back to 737 MAX. Also, I could see the 717 flying going by the way of Horizon and Skywest using E175's.

Hope I'm wrong.
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