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Old 07-07-2016, 07:23 AM
  #111  
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Originally Posted by John Carr
And does that top a 25 year 74 CA flying the line? Will their retirement top a 25 year CA flying the line?



Still not answering the question, and now you're throwing in additional time spent above and beyond what can be compared to "flying the line".

You can find narrow body CA's easily breaking your numbers with GS, senior man, premium pay, whatever.

And AGAIN, what are those guys retiring at? Do they top the maxed out 74 CA numbers I posted earlier?
I answered the question, CalPERS retirement can be very lucrative, 75% of the average of your 5 highest years, for everyone from my years. Throw in lifetime medical and a 401k, yuppers!
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Old 07-07-2016, 07:35 AM
  #112  
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Originally Posted by andrewtac
Ill answer for you..no.
Also, the numbers he is quoting are far from normal and are likely in a location that has an extreme cost of living. Go into almost any (99%) other police station and ask how many are breaking 300k and they'll ask if you mean in 5 or 10 years.
Apples and apples, how many 74 guys are living in Ar? Any cop on the west coast that isn't doing more than 100k isn't trying. My buddy is in the same percentage of guys making that as there are guys retired from the 74'. Your or my odds of retiring from the 74' or equilavent are the same as my buddy retiring as a Commander. The average airline guy will retire on the 76', or 330, the average detective will retire at 75% of 150k and get a very nice medical package. My point was/is if you were to work as hard in a different job path you could do very well. My buddy enjoyed his career as much as I do, but he is retired at 55 and I will likey work to 65-67 and retire with a much smaller retirement. Not lamenting just observing.
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Old 07-07-2016, 07:43 AM
  #113  
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Originally Posted by ClickClickBoom
I answered the question, CalPERS retirement can be very lucrative, 75% of the average of your 5 highest years, for everyone from my years. Throw in lifetime medical and a 401k, yuppers!
Pretty quick Google yielded this "The average CalPERS pension is about $31,500 per year"

Source https://www.calpers.ca.gov/page/newsroom/myths-vs-facts

I'd assume any 25 year wide body CA is at least at year 12 pay. Using the min at DAL (currently lowest pay for wide body among the legacies; completely understand they actually take home much more) I show $210000. Again, far from it. There are anomalies in the system, but the average person in LE makes far less.
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Old 07-07-2016, 07:46 AM
  #114  
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The average person entering legacies now with 25+ should be able to retire as a wide body CA, based on mandatory retirements and no growth. Plenty of wide body CA not in California.
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Old 07-07-2016, 08:22 AM
  #115  
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Originally Posted by andrewtac
The average person entering legacies now with 25+ should be able to retire as a wide body CA, based on mandatory retirements and no growth. Plenty of wide body CA not in California.
And I'm sure nothing in this industry will change in the next 25 years, just like nothing changed in the last 25 years.

Just ask any 747 Captain at Pan Am, TWA, People Express...
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Old 07-07-2016, 12:57 PM
  #116  
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Originally Posted by andrewtac
Pretty quick Google yielded this "The average CalPERS pension is about $31,500 per year"

Source https://www.calpers.ca.gov/page/newsroom/myths-vs-facts

I'd assume any 25 year wide body CA is at least at year 12 pay. Using the min at DAL (currently lowest pay for wide body among the legacies; completely understand they actually take home much more) I show $210000. Again, far from it. There are anomalies in the system, but the average person in LE makes far less.
Calpers is really not a system where the average is a useful statistic. There are far more lower paid jobs to bring that down and public safety employees in Calpers are calculated with a much more generous formula than the rest. 3% of highest salary x # of years worked, eligible @ age 50 and the percent rate is probably higher past age 50. You also get paid that monthly rate until you die, there is no draining it. Lots of CHP guys pull high 90-100k+ a month in retirement... and forgot to add, they have a pretty big aviation department if you aren't afraid of helicopters and single engine cessnas.

Last edited by Rotors2Planks; 07-07-2016 at 01:01 PM. Reason: CHP aviation
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Old 07-08-2016, 10:28 PM
  #117  
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Originally Posted by Qotsaautopilot
Pay more money Greg and you won't see a lack of interest. Problem solved.
Someone should explain to Greg that when he goes to bed at night, it should occur to him in those field of dreams that.....If you pay them, they will come!

Record profits, Greg. Record profits.

It's not rocket science.
That only works for ONE airline, not anyone else. If you are the ONE that pays way more than anyone else, you will get people leaving to come to your airline. Everyone else will suffer from the shortage.

If UAL/DAL/AA/SWA all pay about the same, then they all will suffer from the shortage, along with every other carrier "below" them...

One thing that needs to be kept in mind is that many of the 20 somethings and younger are far less motivated by pay than older folks are. Recruiters for corporations across many industries are finding that recent college graduates are far more focused on quality of life issues above all else.

Trying to entice 20 somethings and millennials with high cost of entry, low pay, long days and 20 nights or more away from home staying at cheap hotels in places like Elmira, Akron and Topeka is just not going to cut it.
My kid got a job offer (unsolicited) paying him double what he makes now, BUT, he had to work 62 hours a week. He turned it down...didn't want to work that much, and he liked his current job better that the 62 hour/week one....

Last edited by atpcliff; 07-08-2016 at 10:50 PM.
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Old 07-08-2016, 10:44 PM
  #118  
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The government is owned by the banks. They work hand in hand.
...
Well, kind of, but also the other point is that the government (Fed) was forcing banks to make loans they shouldn't have made.
The 1% bought the government.

Here is an example.

GA passed laws preventing this kind of predatory lending...very similar to the laws in Canada.

The Banking 1%ers went to the US Congress, and got them to pass a law stating that any state laws preventing the loans the wanted from being made were invalid. So, the GA laws were out the window, and the predatory loans piled up in GA, adding to the 2008 debacle.

Meanwhile, in Canada, the 1%ers asked for the same thing: Loosen the laws on lending. The Canadian government told them to pound sand.

In WI today, the old Harris Bank, a US based bank, is now called BMO/Harris (Bank Of Montreal). The Canadian banks kicked our asses, because their government is much less corrupt than the US government.
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Old 07-08-2016, 10:57 PM
  #119  
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from UAL:

...this shortage will affect everyone.

We have over 12,000 active apps on file but those are the same 12,000 on file at every other airline. I've talked to our recruiters and they are very concerned they will not be able to hire qualified pilots in five years when the pilot market really dries up.
more UAL....

Given fact half of our new hires (have been hiring about 700 to 800 pilots per year last few years) are over 40. That means next 20 years will be retiring just as many pilots on bottom half of list as top of list. That has never occurred before.

China will be growing from a relatively small pilot size to over 225,000 pilots over next 20 years with little or no infrastructure to train their own pilots. At present they are offering 300K for expat contract jobs with two weeks on and two weeks off with positive space travel back and forth to US every month.

I predict in ten years they'll be offering over 600K per year for US pilots. A lot of our newer pilots on the bottom half of our list will early out their last few years for one these Chinese gigs for the money. That will create even more pilot hiring.

The conditions I speak of have never been present ever before in this industry. We are on the cusp of a global pilot shortage the likes of which we have never seen before.
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Old 07-09-2016, 05:53 PM
  #120  
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Originally Posted by atpcliff
from UAL:

...this shortage will affect everyone.



more UAL....
Im sorry if i didn't see it in the last few pages, but who at UAL said that? and was there any sort of solution present with that quote?
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