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Old 09-03-2024, 05:33 AM
  #3901  
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Default Another voice heard from…

https://youtu.be/pWnoKhvotiA?si=8x2lYnK_XysdGWR5
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Old 09-03-2024, 07:04 AM
  #3902  
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Originally Posted by METO Guido
To be clear, control of the sky is indispensable. Longer range strike capability of advanced offensive weapon systems requires trained specialists. Under command of nato units. NATO boots iow. Long past time for members Turkey, Hungary, Bundesrepublik Deutschland to…walk the walk.
Ukraine has had, and used, the HIMAR missile launchers for months. They're just restricted on how they use the weapons. The training to put ATACMs on the launch trucks won't take long to accomplish.
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Old 09-03-2024, 11:14 AM
  #3903  
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Originally Posted by Sliceback
Ukraine has had, and used, the HIMAR missile launchers for months. They're just restricted on how they use the weapons. The training to put ATACMs on the launch trucks won't take long to accomplish.
That’s just it. Supersonic missile batteries positioned on mobile launchers. Where, let’s be candid, if I’m an allied ground pounder east of the boundary, going to want some of these babies right in behind us. No clue what warheads they’re using, which tactics are best suited for use or how they might be retrofit for other targets.
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Old 09-03-2024, 01:36 PM
  #3904  
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Default I don’t know if this is fecklessness or…

...just too much trouble. It's like commmittees. The more people on them, the less they get things done and the longer they take. Europeans have always been a fractious lot, hardly agreeing about anything. That's why Jonathan Swift satirized them in Gullivers Travels writing about two countries at war over which end of an egg should be the one opened for breakfast. That was a standing joke back in 1776 and before. That's also why a number of the countries have multiple official languages. Belgium has three. Even more surprisingly Luxembourg has three - and it's a near postage stamp size for a country with only about 650 K living in less than a thousand square miles. Let me put that in perspective:
No part of Luxembourg is more that 51 miles from any other part of Luxembourg but.. three languages. And everybody has to have a say no matter how big or small and everyone gets a veto...


https://www.politico.eu/article/eu-g...kyiv-war-nato/

The EU fiddles while Kyiv burns

Time is running out on Ukraine’s finances, and none of the reasons behind the bloc’s inaction stand up to scrutiny.



An excerpt:

Two months after pledging to shape a legal framework that would give Ukraine the interest earned on frozen Russian assets, the EU still hasn’t taken the necessary steps to make this a reality. And time is running out on Ukraine’s finances.

At their June Summit in Apulia, Italy, G7 leaders — including European Commission President von der Leyen — promised to provide Ukraine a vital lifeline: “We decided to make available approximately $50 billion leveraging the extraordinary revenues of the immobilized Russian sovereign assets … by the end of the year.”

This was the main decision G7 leaders made at their summit. And to enable it, the EU was to adopt a law prolonging the freezing of sovereign Russian assets until Moscow had paid for its war against Ukraine in full. This would guarantee the frozen assets would continue to be available to produce the interest needed in order to repay the $50 billion advanced to Ukraine.

The decision itself was a creative compromise. The U.S., Canada and the U.K. would have preferred seizing not just the interest but all $300 billion as well. However, in the absence of consensus, this solution was approved by heads of state and government.

The decision was still meaningful and important for Ukraine — $50 billion roughly accounts for the country’s annual budget shortfall, and under the G7 formula, this would be made up for without burdening EU or U.S. taxpayers. Moreover, codifying a legal framework for seizing the interest and putting a mechanism in place to monitor the use of funds would provide “proof of concept” for the future — for example, if there were to be an agreement to seize and use the principal of the frozen assets as reparations.

But EU implementation is now stuck. None of the bloc’s big players — not German Chancellor Olaf Scholz, French President Emmanuel Macron or even von der Leyen herself — have jumped in to get implementation moving.

And without EU legislation, the U.S. is stuck as well. Until the bloc provides the legal framework, the U.S. can’t view its financing as a loan backed up by real resources. Instead, it would be viewed as an expenditure and thus require Congressional appropriation. And as anyone who watched Washington struggle with its military assistance package for Ukraine earlier this year knows, that simply wouldn’t happen fast enough — if at all.
So, why exactly is the EU stuck? The most obvious reason for delay is simple bureaucratic inertia in the wake of the European Parliament election. There have also been summer vacations, while Brussels is locked in negotiations about forming a new Commission. But all this amounts to the bloc fiddling while Kyiv burns.

Certainly, von der Leyen is in the midst of complicated talks with the national governments of member countries in order to form the new Commission. There are always political trade-offs with such talks, and perhaps it seems easier to agree on portfolios without adding the Russian asset issue to the mix. But this isn’t a compelling excuse, as it has zero impact on European taxpayers. Furthermore, if the funds aren’t used, the only feasible financial replacement for Kyiv would, in fact, come from EU and member country budgets.

Of course, we acknowledge that there are reasonable and growing concerns over governance in Kyiv, as well as any possible monitoring mechanisms to ensure the provided funds are used appropriately. Such funds should under no circumstances fall subject to, or contribute, to corruption. But this is a technical problem that can be overcome with oversight mechanisms — not a reason for inaction.

We’re more than halfway through the third year of Russia’s full-scale war now, and Ukraine has shown remarkable resilience, determination, ingenuity and effectiveness. The past few weeks have even seen a shift in momentum as Ukraine has brought the war inside Russian territory, attacking oil refineries, airfields and other military infrastructure, forcing Russia to significantly curtail military activities in Crimea.

The West now needs to match Ukraine’s ingenuity and steadfastness by providing the promised $50 billion as quickly as possible. None of the reasons behind the bloc’s inaction stand up to scrutiny — especially given the EU’s vital interest in ensuring Ukraine’s success.

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Old 09-04-2024, 05:38 AM
  #3905  
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From ISW https://www.understandingwar.org/bac...nflict-updates :


Iran is expected to “imminently” deliver ballistic missiles to Russia to support the Russian invasion of Ukraine.[1] NOTE: A version of this text appears in the September 2 ISW-CTP Iran Update. An unspecified European official told Bloomberg on September 2 that Iran could begin shipping ballistic missiles to Russia "within a matter of days.”[2] European intelligence sources previously told Reuters in August 2024 that Iran and Russia signed a contract in December 2023 for Iran to deliver Ababil close-range ballistic missiles and Fateh-360 short-range ballistic missiles (SRBMs) to Russia.[3] The intelligence sources added that dozens of Russian military personnel are currently in Iran training to operate Fateh-360 missiles. Russia’s acquisition of Ababil or Fateh-360 ballistic missiles would likely allow Russian forces to strike Ukrainian near-rear targets while preserving Russia's stockpiles of domestically-produced missiles, such as Iskanders, for deep-rear Ukrainian targets, as CTP-ISW previously assessed.[4]


https://newsukraine.rbc.ua/news/s-30...725449629.html
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Old 09-04-2024, 06:18 AM
  #3906  
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So our man is a world-class welterweight going the distance with a has been heavy. He's dog tied to one corner. Banned from throwing anything but combos.

We already know it's feckless. How about just plain cruel?
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Old 09-04-2024, 08:33 AM
  #3907  
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Originally Posted by METO Guido
That’s just it. Supersonic missile batteries positioned on mobile launchers. Where, let’s be candid, if I’m an allied ground pounder east of the boundary, going to want some of these babies right in behind us. No clue what warheads they’re using, which tactics are best suited for use or how they might be retrofit for other targets.
Talk that the U.S. might supply Ukraine with JASSM's. Two versions - 330 mile and 575 mile range with a 1000 lbs warhead. Greater stealth characteristics vs the Storm Shadow and the French version of the Storm Shadow. Russia and Kremlin Kargo won't be happy.
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Old 09-04-2024, 08:35 AM
  #3908  
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Originally Posted by Excargodog
...just too much trouble.

The EU fiddles while Kyiv burns

You missed the "US House Republicans fiddle while Ukrainian troops perish" article.
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Old 09-04-2024, 10:30 AM
  #3909  
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Originally Posted by Excargodog
From ISW https://www.understandingwar.org/bac...nflict-updates :


Iran is expected to “imminently” deliver ballistic missiles to Russia to support the Russian invasion of Ukraine.[1] NOTE: A version of this text appears in the September 2 ISW-CTP Iran Update. An unspecified European official told Bloomberg on September 2 that Iran could begin shipping ballistic missiles to Russia "within a matter of days.”[2] European intelligence sources previously told Reuters in August 2024 that Iran and Russia signed a contract in December 2023 for Iran to deliver Ababil close-range ballistic missiles and Fateh-360 short-range ballistic missiles (SRBMs) to Russia.[3] The intelligence sources added that dozens of Russian military personnel are currently in Iran training to operate Fateh-360 missiles. Russia’s acquisition of Ababil or Fateh-360 ballistic missiles would likely allow Russian forces to strike Ukrainian near-rear targets while preserving Russia's stockpiles of domestically-produced missiles, such as Iskanders, for deep-rear Ukrainian targets, as CTP-ISW previously assessed.[4]


https://newsukraine.rbc.ua/news/s-30...725449629.html
Well, that's both depressing and unsurprising. On a positive note, glide bombs and imported missiles might be about the only thing they have left to sling, and I think they will run out of missiles next year too. Personally, I think Putin is throwing everything he has at the wall right now because next year about all he'll be able to do is to indefinitely hold on to whatever he's taken. Here's a more cheerful article from a few months back, not behind a paywall.

https://www.defensenews.com/opinion/...ense-can-help/

Russia's Air Force is Hollowing Itself Out.
By Michael Bohnert

"The Russian Aerospace Forces, or VKS, continues to burn through the life span of its fighter aircraft in the war against Ukraine. After two years of air war, its total force is slightly less than 75% of its prewar strength."

"Based on updated information, the VKS is on track to suffer approximately 60 imputed aircraft losses this year from overuse. That is equivalent to losing 26 new airframes. Meanwhile the VKS currently procures only about 20 total Su-30, Su-34 and Su-35 aircraft per year."

"The VKS has fewer than 650 tactical aircraft when accounting for end-of-life aircraft; it has even less when accounting for accelerated usage. But these numbers are unlikely to change its behavior, based on Russia’s exhibited willingness to accept high losses even for trivial gains."
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Old 09-04-2024, 11:04 AM
  #3910  
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Originally Posted by Sliceback
Talk that the U.S. might supply Ukraine with JASSM's. Two versions - 330 mile and 575 mile range with a 1000 lbs warhead. Greater stealth characteristics vs the Storm Shadow and the French version of the Storm Shadow. Russia and Kremlin Kargo won't be happy.
They’ve earned the world’s respect & American trust. Fearlessly breached the aggressor’s lines. F the euro zone. In for a penny, in for a pound. Putin’s high stepping bootlickers are long overdue a taste of their own pi$$.
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