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Old 08-09-2024, 04:57 PM
  #3701  
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Originally Posted by Hubcapped
compounded with the fact that no one can explain how you can invade a country that has 6000 nukes. !
From NPR:

KYIV, Ukraine — Ukraine pressed ahead with a military offensive inside Russia on Friday while Russian forces scrambled to respond to the surprise attack that has forced thousands of civilians to flee their homes.

Video on social media showed long lines of Russia civilians driving out of villages in the western region of Kursk, where Ukraine launched the operation Tuesday. Russia has canceled train service in several parts of Kursk due to the fighting. In addition, videos show Russian civilians pleading for help from Russian President Vladimir Putin and the Russian military, saying they fear for their lives.

​​​​​​​

Man, that statement didn't age well...
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Old 08-09-2024, 05:36 PM
  #3702  
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Originally Posted by Excargodog
From NPR:




Man, that statement didn't age well...
Whew, for a second I'd thought you'd lost access to the internet. While you were AWOL you haven't commented on how Putin's plan is "going according to plan" based on recent events.

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cy4y3529v7vo
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Old 08-09-2024, 07:12 PM
  #3703  
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Originally Posted by Excargodog
From NPR:




Man, that statement didn't age well...
its moments like these when the bot is purposely playing the fool that one must just chuckle. All words only work when they suit it. It knows the topic is full scale nato push to breach and overthrow the RU, and yet it wants to play little baby word games.

oh well, when it has nothing, cannot articulate how one conquers a nation that has an abundance of nukes….it must resort to no integrity word play. Nice. I love watching vatniks cry
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Old 08-09-2024, 07:14 PM
  #3704  
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Originally Posted by CLazarus
I appreciate you taking the time to respond to METO, but he is wasting our time. I skip over most of them. I can't truly be offended by his/her posts because they are so nonsensical. The handiwork of an amateur Troll. The less we directly interact with METO, the better.
I know, i just like calling out BS when i see it with these 3 knuckleheads
this is just entertainment for me. I stopped caring when cargo straight lied about what i said to try and make a point. No integrity, right wing ru propaganda pusher. Deserves all the scorn we can muster. I got lots of popcorn
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Old 08-09-2024, 07:34 PM
  #3705  
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Originally Posted by Hubcapped
I know, i just like calling out BS when i see it with these 3 knuckleheads
this is just entertainment for me.
^^^and there it is. Our hero.

Knucklehead, not exactly. Panheads forever.
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Old 08-10-2024, 04:16 PM
  #3706  
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Default Russian economy overheating towards failure



Russia’s overheating economy fueled by massive Kremlin spending on its invasion of Ukraine may be about to cool sharply amid mounting constraints on key sectors that have bolstered growth until now.

Labor resources are practically exhausted amid fierce competition for recruits between the military and businesses that’s also likely to limit further expansion of defense-related industries. The construction and banking sectors are no longer shielded from the impact of very high interest rates now that most state-subsidized mortgage programs were wound up last month.
The government massively increased spending in the wake of the February 2022 invasion, pouring money into the military and defense industries and acting to cushion domestic businesses against the impact of sanctions imposed by the US and the European Union. That caused the economy to overheat to a degree unseen since before the 2008 global financial crisis, according to Bank of Russia Governor Elvira Nabiullina, in response to the huge surge in domestic demand.“Reserves of labor and production capacity are almost exhausted,” Nabiullina said.
The central bank last month hiked the key interest rate by 200 basis points to 18%, the highest since the early weeks of the war, to counter risks of stagflation as price growth continued to accelerate. Unemployment, a key sign of overheating, has declined to a historical low in Russia of 2.4%, and below that of any of the Group of Seven states.

https://archive.is/hRb5v#selection-1789.0-1792.0
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Old 08-11-2024, 05:12 AM
  #3707  
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Default ISW analysis du jour…

Key Takeaways:
  • Ukrainian cross-border mechanized offensive operations into Kursk Oblast that began on August 6 are continuing as part of a Ukrainian operational effort within Russian territory. ISW will not offer assessments about the intent of this Ukrainian operation in order to avoid compromising Ukrainian operational security.
  • Geolocated footage and Russian claims indicate that Ukrainian forces continued rapid advances further into Kursk Oblast on August 8, and Ukrainian forces are reportedly present in areas as far as 35 kilometers from the international border with Sumy Oblast. Ukrainian forces most certainly do not control all of the territory within the maximalist extent of Russian claims about Ukrainian advances in Kursk Oblast, however.
  • The Kremlin will almost certainly endeavor to retake Russian territory in Kursk Oblast that Ukrainian forces have seized and stop Ukrainian activity further into Russia, as substantial Ukrainian advances within Russia would be a strategic blow to Russian President Vladimir Putin's decades-long effort to cement a legacy of Russian stability, security, and geopolitical resurgence.
  • COA (Course of Action) 1: The Russian military command may decide to use existing conscripts, Federal Security Service (FSB) border guards, Rosgvardia, and other irregular forces already deployed to the international border area to push Ukrainian forces back and defend against the Ukrainian operation in Kursk Oblast.
  • COA 2: The Russian military command may decide to use the existing Northern Grouping of Forces deployed along the Russian-Ukrainian border to respond to the Ukrainian offensive in Kursk Oblast.
  • COA 3: The Russian military command may choose to redeploy operational reserves that it accumulated for its planned Summer 2024 offensive effort and/or relatively better provisioned and more combat effective frontline units to Kursk Oblast from elsewhere in the theater.
  • COA 4: The Russian military command may seek to maintain the forces it currently has committed to Kursk Oblast but could redeploy significant aviation and strike elements to the area in an effort to improve Russia's ability to retake territory.
  • The lack of a coherent Russian response to the Ukrainian incursion into Kursk Oblast and the reported rate of Ukrainian advance indicates that Ukrainian forces were able to achieve operational surprise along the border with Russia.
  • Ukrainian officials have yet to comment directly on Ukraine's ongoing operation into Kursk Oblast.
  • US officials noted that Ukraine's ongoing operation into Kursk Oblast is not a violation of US restrictions on Ukraine's ability to strike military targets within Russia's border areas.
........

https://www.understandingwar.org/bac...-august-8-2024

We have indeed been born in interesting times...
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Old 08-11-2024, 05:33 AM
  #3708  
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Originally Posted by Excargodog

We have indeed been born in interesting times...
Yes we do. F-16's flying combat missions over Russian controlled territory and your news feed didn't mention it.
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Old 08-11-2024, 07:01 AM
  #3709  
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Originally Posted by Sliceback
Yes we do. F-16's flying combat missions over Russian controlled territory and your news feed didn't mention it.
That wasn't a news feed. It was the ISW's assessment of the Ukrainian incursion into Russian territory. It also didn't mention the situation in Pokrovsk, Toretsk, or Chasiv Yar, although if you go to that url you can find them. It's a wide ranging war with a number of active fronts, and no single source is going to post everything, but I find ISW gives a fairly good assessment of the macro picture.
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Old 08-11-2024, 08:13 AM
  #3710  
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Default Is FATH 360 deployment imminent?

https://armyrecognition.com/news/arm...raine-conflict


Iran to Supply Fath 360 Ballistic Missiles to Russia for Use in Ukraine Conflict.

Multiple intelligence sources have reported that Russian personnel have traveled to Iran to train on the Fath 360 ballistic missile system. This information, disclosed by Reuters on August 9, 2024, indicates that Russia may be preparing to integrate the Iranian-made ballistic missiles into its military arsenal. On August 10, 2024, Iran's UN representative refuted the Reuters report from August 9, 2024, that claimed Iran is planning to supply hundreds of missiles to Russia for its war in Ukraine.


The Fath 360 is a mobile missile defense system capable of launching ballistic missiles with a maximum range of 120 kilometers (75 miles) and a 150-kilogram warhead. Designed for precision strikes, the Fath-360 is noted for its ability to hit closer-range targets with high accuracy. This makes it particularly useful for Russia, which already has an extensive array of long-range ballistic missiles.


According to military experts, the acquisition of the Fath 360 ballistic missile system could allow Russia to diversify its missile deployment strategies. By employing the Iranian system for shorter-range targets, Russia could conserve its own ballistic missile stockpile for strikes on more distant objectives, potentially extending its operational reach in the ongoing conflict with Ukraine.

One intelligence source suggested that the training of Russian personnel on the Fath-360 system is a clear indicator that actual missile deliveries could be imminent. This move underscores the strategic importance of the missile system for Russia, particularly as it seeks to maintain its military momentum in Ukraine.

Since the war in Ukraine began in February 2022, the relationship between Iran and Russia has transformed into a robust strategic alliance with significant implications for regional and global geopolitics. This deepening partnership is driven by a convergence of shared interests, particularly in countering Western influence, navigating around international sanctions, and enhancing military capabilities.

One of the most visible aspects of this collaboration has been in the military domain. Shortly after the conflict erupted, reports indicated that Iran had begun supplying Russia with unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs), specifically the Shahed-136 drones. These drones, known for their cost-effectiveness and operational flexibility, have been extensively utilized by Russian forces in Ukraine. They serve dual purposes: reconnaissance and as loitering munitions, which can hover over a battlefield before attacking targets. The Shahed-136s have enabled Russia to maintain pressure on Ukrainian forces while conserving more advanced and costly weaponry.

The recent revelations about Russia's interest in acquiring the Iranian Fath-360 missile system further highlight the evolving military ties between the two nations. The Fath-360, designed for precision strikes with a range of 120 kilometers, could significantly bolster Russia's tactical options in Ukraine. Russian personnel have already begun training in Iran to operate this system, suggesting that Moscow is preparing to integrate these missiles into its military operations. The acquisition of the Fath-360 would allow Russia to allocate its more advanced missiles for distant targets while using the Iranian missiles for closer engagements, thereby enhancing its operational flexibility and sustainability in the conflict.

Economic collaboration between Iran and Russia has also intensified as both countries face severe international sanctions—Russia for its invasion of Ukraine and Iran for its nuclear program and regional activities. These sanctions have compelled Tehran and Moscow to explore alternative trade mechanisms, particularly through the de-dollarization of their bilateral trade. In 2022, the two nations agreed to conduct trade in their respective national currencies, the ruble and the rial, as a strategy to circumvent the US dollar-dominated global financial system and reduce the impact of Western economic pressures.

This growing economic and military partnership reflects a broader strategic alignment between Iran and Russia, driven by a shared desire to challenge Western hegemony and assert their influence on the global stage. The collaboration not only strengthens their individual positions but also poses new challenges to the international community, particularly in the context of the ongoing war in Ukraine. As this alliance continues to evolve, its implications will likely resonate far beyond the immediate conflict, shaping the geopolitical landscape for years to come.

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