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Old 10-25-2023, 06:44 AM
  #1721  
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An excerpt:

Earlier this month, POLITICO reported that the European Commission would unfreeze €13 billion in EU funds in order to win Budapest’s backing to release funds for Ukraine that Hungary has been holding up.

While an EU official directly involved in the decision noted there were still “problems” with the rule of law in Hungary, the person who was granted anonymity to speak candidly said that releasing the funds was a “political decision” for leaders.

“What we hear from the Commission, they are thinking through how they can leverage that decision, of unfreezing a figure — whatever it would be — in order to create leverage of these veto threats by the Hungarians,” the person said.
​​​​​​​https://www.politico.eu/article/erop...tin-handshake/
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Old 10-25-2023, 09:59 AM
  #1722  
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An excerpt:

The push, first previewed publicly in President Joe Biden’s Oval Office addresslast week, comes ahead of the election of a new House speaker, with the White House trying to invoke patriotism to help convince holdout Republicans not just to help Kyiv but to pass a major package that includes funds for Israel as well.
“As we replenish our stocks of weapons, we are partnering with the U.S. defense industry to increase our capacity and meet the needs of the U.S. and our allies both now and in the future,” according to a copy of the talking points obtained by POLITICO.

“This supplemental request invests over $50 billion in the American defense industrial base — ensuring our military continues to be the most ready, capable, and best equipped fighting force the world has ever seen — and expanding production lines, strengthening the American economy and creating new American jobs,” the document states.

The talking points are an implicit recognition that the administration has work to do in selling its $106 billion foreign aid supplemental request — and that talking about it squarely under the umbrella of national security interests hasn’t done the trick.

The White House’s pitch is an echo of one made by an influential figure on the other side of the aisle: Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell.

In a March 2022 Senate floor speech, McConnell (R-Ky.) warned that the defense industrial base had been caught “napping” as the Russian invasion entered its second month. In the early days, he repeatedly pushed Biden to use the Defense Production Act to ramp up weapons production.

And while some GOP support for Ukraine has eroded, the Senate minority leader took to the Sunday talk shows last weekend to push his Republicans against separating Israel’s cause from the war in Europe
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Old 10-25-2023, 10:51 AM
  #1723  
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Originally Posted by Excargodog
Finnish officials quickly pointed out that the pipes could have been sabotaged, with Prime Minister Petteri Orpo saying the leak was “not exactly the act of an ordinary person.

The incident comes as European countries are increasingly concerned about the vulnerabilities of their energy infrastructure ahead of winter, amid Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine.

In September 2022, the Nord Stream gas pipelines connecting Russia to Germany were damaged by several explosions, and an international investigation has so far not been able to identify the culprit.

The lead investigator, Detective Superintendent Risto Lohi, on Friday said that the damage to the Finnish pipeline had "been caused by an external mechanical force" but that there was "no reason to believe the damage ha[d] been caused by an explosion."

Lohi added that Finland would "cooperate with Chinese authorities in order to establish the role" of the Chinese vessel.
They figured it out pretty quickly. They found the anchor that was dragged, and know which ship it belongs to.
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Old 10-26-2023, 08:49 AM
  #1724  
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It sort of reminds one of the Mariel boatlift that Castro pulled off when he tossed about 20,000 criminals and inmates of mental institutions into the mix of 120,000 people he was allowing to leave Cuba for the US.

Sort of like the scene in Braveheart where Longshanks tells his generals to send in the Irish because arrows cost money.



Killing off convicts in Ukraine lessens prison expenses in Russia while using up Ukrainian ordnance and at least a few of Ukraines dwindling supply of trooos. Putin undoubtedly considers it a win-win.
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Old 10-26-2023, 09:41 AM
  #1725  
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Originally Posted by Excargodog



It sort of reminds one of the Mariel boatlift that Castro pulled off when he tossed about 20,000 criminals and inmates of mental institutions into the mix of 120,000 people he was allowing to leave Cuba for the US.

Sort of like the scene in Braveheart where Longshanks tells his generals to send in the Irish because arrows cost money.



Killing off convicts in Ukraine lessens prison expenses in Russia while using up Ukrainian ordnance and at least a few of Ukraines dwindling supply of trooos. Putin undoubtedly considers it a win-win.
one can also say this is a win for Ukraine. They will be fighting poorly trained and poorly motivated convicts instead of regular citizen volunteers with good morale. If also shows that putin is finding it politically difficult to run another mobilization.

russia lost more equipment in one week pushing terrikon (avdiivka) than Ukraine lost in the 5 months pushing the zhaporizia front (robo, verbove).
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Old 10-26-2023, 09:56 AM
  #1726  
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Originally Posted by Hubcapped
one can also say this is a win for Ukraine. They will be fighting poorly trained and poorly motivated convicts instead of regular citizen volunteers with good morale. If also shows that putin is finding it politically difficult to run another mobilization.

russia lost more equipment in one week pushing terrikon (avdiivka) than Ukraine lost in the 5 months pushing the zhaporizia front (robo, verbove).
Russia still has more equipment and personnel to lose. A war of attrition always favors the guy with the most to attrit.
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Old 10-26-2023, 10:38 AM
  #1727  
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Originally Posted by Excargodog
Russia still has more equipment and personnel to lose. A war of attrition always favors the guy with the most to attrit.
thats fair. It will be interesting to see how deep the RU bench really is. Confirmed sighting of trucks from 1946 carrying troops in the avii sector about 5 days ago, as well as t-55s.
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Old 10-26-2023, 11:23 AM
  #1728  
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Originally Posted by Excargodog
Russia still has more equipment and personnel to lose. A war of attrition always favors the guy with the most to attrit.
At this point I suspect it comes down to personnel. Assuming UA's motivation or moral doesn't falter (looks fine so far, I've been impressed).

RU throwing antiquated hardware (manned by the bottom of the barrel) into the fight is getting to be clay pigeons for UA target practice. UA probably won't run out of low/medium tech munitions with western support.

Can RU sustain a 10-to-1 or worse loss ratio? Eventually once they run out of conscripts and convicts, and the RU people start pushing back (they did it under the USSR in the 1980's). I don't know the answer, depends on how deep the RU bench is before they have to start drafting people who actually matter, and the balance between popular resentment and regime control.

UA also has an advantage in the nature of their bench strength because they have soccer moms, fashion models, etc, etc who have developed into very competent fighters. I don't see RU throwing young women into the meat grinder yet. That might be a political bridge too far... this isn't 1942 and UA isn't advancing into Moscow.

At this point I'm sure vlad would love nothing better to get out from under this thing and pretend it never happened. If only he could do that without winding up in a shallow unmarked grave in woods outside of Moscow.
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Old 10-26-2023, 12:15 PM
  #1729  
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Default Still feckless after all these years…




https://www.politico.eu/article/eu-leaders-von-der-leyen-face-two-wars-ukraine-israel-palestine-middle-east-conflict/
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Old 10-26-2023, 12:30 PM
  #1730  
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Originally Posted by rickair7777
At this point I suspect it comes down to personnel. Assuming UA's motivation or moral doesn't falter (looks fine so far, I've been impressed).

RU throwing antiquated hardware (manned by the bottom of the barrel) into the fight is getting to be clay pigeons for UA target practice. UA probably won't run out of low/medium tech munitions with western support.

Can RU sustain a 10-to-1 or worse loss ratio? Eventually once they run out of conscripts and convicts, and the RU people start pushing back (they did it under the USSR in the 1980's). I don't know the answer, depends on how deep the RU bench is before they have to start drafting people who actually matter, and the balance between popular resentment and regime control.

UA also has an advantage in the nature of their bench strength because they have soccer moms, fashion models, etc, etc who have developed into very competent fighters. I don't see RU throwing young women into the meat grinder yet. That might be a political bridge too far... this isn't 1942 and UA isn't advancing into Moscow.

At this point I'm sure vlad would love nothing better to get out from under this thing and pretend it never happened. If only he could do that without winding up in a shallow unmarked grave in woods outside of Moscow.
Nope. I disagree. At this time it comes down to what risks Putin is willing to take. You are assuming he is more rational than a recent Horizon jumpseater. I see little evidence of that.
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