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Ukraine conflict

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Old 01-06-2023, 04:24 PM
  #161  
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Originally Posted by MaxQ
Update from someone living in Moscow. (Moscow...not some little shtetl)

Can only get a 5 year passport, as 10 year passports require a chip, which are unavailable.
Car has doubled in value and motorcycle up at least 40%. Downside: insurance up over 4x, possibly due to higher theft rates.
Foreign credit card and bank does no good as they are locked out of ,( I think could be wrong), SWIFT.
Fireworks for New years banned....hmm....worried about masking the real stuff? who knows.
Though most things are available, stores back to the tricks from olden days of stacking shelves so as to have an appearance of more inventory than they actually have.
Supposedly car factories turning out vehicles without airbags and some other normal safety stuff.
One hour flight to Kaliningrad now takes 4 hours due to airspace restrictions.

For what it's worth.
Almost forgot. (something for those who sometimes think of taking another citizenship)
Though it may be different for other countries, those foreigners who have taken Russian citizenship are now subject to being conscripts, up to age 65.
Oorah!
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Old 01-06-2023, 05:43 PM
  #162  
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Originally Posted by MaxQ
Update from someone living in Moscow. (Moscow...not some little shtetl).
At least they caught the suspected killer in the little schetl, so we got that goin’ for us, which is nice….
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Old 01-07-2023, 07:18 AM
  #163  
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Originally Posted by MaxQ
Almost forgot. (something for those who sometimes think of taking another citizenship)
Though it may be different for other countries, those foreigners who have taken Russian citizenship are now subject to being conscripts, up to age 65.
Oorah!
In general if you take citizenship anywhere, you incur all of the usual obligations of a natural citizen.
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Old 01-08-2023, 09:05 AM
  #164  
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And the situation in Europe continues to fester:

https://www.politico.eu/article/euro...orno-karabakh/


https://www.politico.eu/article/nato...ksandar-vucic/


https://www.politico.eu/article/russ...e-war-ukraine/
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Old 01-13-2023, 11:35 AM
  #165  
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Russian forces likely captured Soledar after committing significant resources to a highly attritional tactical victory which will accelerate degraded Russian forces’ likely culmination near Bakhmut.[9] Russian forces may decide to maintain a consistently high pace of assaults in the Bakhmut area, but Russian forces’ degraded combat power and cumulative exhaustion will prevent these assaults from producing operationally significant results

Assessed as a Pyrrhic victory atm. No GLOCs interdicted. Bahkmut is still an anchor point.

My prediction is that when the Ukrainians resupply over the next 3 months we will see a heavy offensive push. It will be nice to finally put down the bear that has haunted the free world since 1945.
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Old 01-13-2023, 11:46 AM
  #166  
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Originally Posted by Hubcapped
Russian forces likely captured Soledar after committing significant resources to a highly attritional tactical victory which will accelerate degraded Russian forces’ likely culmination near Bakhmut.[9] Russian forces may decide to maintain a consistently high pace of assaults in the Bakhmut area, but Russian forces’ degraded combat power and cumulative exhaustion will prevent these assaults from producing operationally significant results
My prediction is that when the Ukrainians resupply over the next 3 months we will see a heavy offensive push.
Possibly, but the general assumption is that a meat grinder WWI style conflict generally goes to the side with the most meat to grind.


It will be nice to finally put down the bear that has haunted the free world since 1945.
Indeed, but only if the bear dies with a whimper rather than a bang, and even then assuming whatever becomes of the largest collection of nuclear weapons on the planet are safely recovered.

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Old 01-13-2023, 04:50 PM
  #167  
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Originally Posted by Hubcapped
Russian forces likely captured Soledar after committing significant resources to a highly attritional tactical victory which will accelerate degraded Russian forces’ likely culmination near Bakhmut.[9] Russian forces may decide to maintain a consistently high pace of assaults in the Bakhmut area, but Russian forces’ degraded combat power and cumulative exhaustion will prevent these assaults from producing operationally significant results

Assessed as a Pyrrhic victory atm. No GLOCs interdicted. Bahkmut is still an anchor point.

My prediction is that when the Ukrainians resupply over the next 3 months we will see a heavy offensive push. It will be nice to finally put down the bear that has haunted the free world since 1945.
While any number will be disputed, and it is not really possible for us to know, here are some from a Polish newspaper. (Gazeta Wyborcza)

Russian military deaths 100 to 110 thousand.
Ukraine military deaths approx. 1/3 of that of the Russians.
Ukraine civilian deaths est. at 250,000. Based on known deaths of liberated towns/cities and intercepted Russian comms and phone chatter. Also from a German estimate using similar methods. If and when Ukrainian areas are liberated a more certain number will be determined. There are likely many Bucha's.
Also, 10's of thousands of Ukrainian civilians abducted and transported to Russia, mostly women and children. (Russia claims they are voluntary civilian movements. No doubt some are indeed that, but abductions to make future Russian citizens I also find believable)

The last is a reminder of a very similar policy of Nazi Germany in WW2.
The wheel of history keeps on turning, covering the same ground over and over again.
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Old 01-13-2023, 07:47 PM
  #168  
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Originally Posted by MaxQ
The last is a reminder of a very similar policy of Nazi Germany in WW2.
The wheel of history keeps on turning, covering the same ground over and over again.
Which is why we stay the fight and put a bullet into its head….maybe 2. We’ve already lost 450k fighting for Europe. We can afford a few patriots Bradley’s arty etc
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Old 01-14-2023, 09:55 AM
  #169  
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Biden's sanctions really devastated Russia.
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Old 01-19-2023, 01:04 AM
  #170  
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What would happen if Poland sent their Leopard tanks to Ukraine? I realize that Germany has said they cannot. However, if Poland did it anyway, could Poland get their tanks replaced with US M1 tanks, or possibly Israeli tanks???
What negatives would Poland get from Germany for doing this? Is this solution practical???

Has anyone heard about Ukraine getting Swedish Gripens, or F-16s?
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